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Hogsbo W vs Lund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 95-83
23-23 25-17 26-17 21-26
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game70.8
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Lund W
Sweden
Position#9
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game77.4
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Lund W
05 Dec 2026
HOGS v LUND
upcoming
30 Nov 2025
HOGS95
LUND83
01 Mar 2025
HOGS99
LUND83
24 Feb 2024
HOGS103
LUND70
10 Dec 2022
HOGS74
LUND82
09 Mar 2022
HOGS77
LUND59
28 Nov 2020
HOGS101
LUND60
21 Dec 2019
HOGS73
LUND59
07 Apr 2019
HOGS70
LUND64
19 Jan 2019
HOGS64
LUND69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
72avg 82
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
75-97
75
97
-22
58avg 82
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 82
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-46
105
46
+59
105avg 82
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 82
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
107-63
107
63
+44
113avg 82
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 82
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
87avg 82
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
61-53
61
53
+8
58avg 82
H22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
86-45
86
45
+41
88avg 82
H28/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
14-25
26-12
20-26
9-19
28-28
23-22
15-28
24-23
21-12
26-26
19-20
18-3
33-17
31-14
23-12
16-21
15-13
16-11
25-20
36-22
21-14
26-17
24-10
18-18
20-26
16-14
19-19
36-20
17-26
21-15
11-29
13-8
9-11
17-18
22-16
21-14
22-15
25-8
18-8
154.8Avg total
84.0Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.070.8154.8+13.260%
Season at home (4)82.264.5146.8+17.875%
Season away (6)85.275.0160.2+10.250%
Last 10 (10)84.070.8154.8+13.260%
Last 5 (5)82.465.6148.0+16.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.884.2156.0-12.420%
vs Similar (10)79.073.1152.1+5.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.767.8159.5+23.987%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
62-88
62
88
-26
35avg 61
A19/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 61
A22/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
65avg 61
H27/09
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 61
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
71-65
71
65
+6
47avg 61
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
51avg 61
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 61
H22/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 61
A26/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 61
A01/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 61
A22/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
9-26
18-16
17-23
17-25
23-20
15-17
25-20
20-20
11-19
17-23
27-26
18-21
17-30
22-14
21-23
23-24
18-16
14-13
16-12
23-19
12-12
15-16
11-22
23-17
23-24
18-28
17-21
8-12
22-23
11-24
25-20
17-22
19-12
11-17
16-16
26-19
10-18
23-18
10-18
149.5Avg total
70.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.577.4147.9-6.912%
Season at home (3)75.781.0156.7-5.333%
Season away (5)67.475.2142.6-7.80%
Last 10 (10)70.678.9149.5-8.310%
Last 5 (5)68.075.6143.6-7.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)71.186.7157.8-15.69%
vs Similar (1)64.086.0150.0-22.00%
vs Weaker (7)76.972.7149.6+4.143%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
Hogsbo WLund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
22-19
22
19
+3
H22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H28/11
Basketligan W
75.9Avg total
40.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.578.3+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.636.278.8+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.236.877.9+4.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.075.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.877.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
vs Similar (10)37.937.975.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.834.281.0+12.687%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A19/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H27/09
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H22/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A26/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/11
Basketligan W
75.9Avg total
35.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.140.775.8-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.439.676.1-3.250%-
Last 30 away (16)33.941.775.6-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)35.740.275.9-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.672.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.942.977.8-8.023%-
vs Similar (1)30.038.068.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (7)36.634.370.9+2.371%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.3
44.6%
46.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.9
36.1%
31.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
72.5%16.5
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.820.3
42.5%
46.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.1
25.9%
31.2%15.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.7
75.3%
72.5%13.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WWLLWWWWLL
Lund W
LLLLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#9
+15.9
Net rating
-11.4
104.4
Offensive rating
86.4
88.5
Defensive rating
97.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
41.4%
43.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
22.4%
Turnover %
22.4%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.1%
3-point %
25.9%
62.8%
Assist %
53.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 86.4Defence88.5 · 97.8Shooting48.5% · 41.4%3-point %36.1% · 25.9%Ball care22.4% · 22.4%Off. rebounds39.0% · 30.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Lund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hogsbo W wins
3
Lund W wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Hogsbo W v Lund W99-83
30/11/24Lund W v Hogsbo W80-97
24/02/24Hogsbo W v Lund W103-70
25/11/23Lund W v Hogsbo W75-69
15/02/23Lund W v Hogsbo W81-68
10/12/22Hogsbo W v Lund W74-82
09/03/22Hogsbo W v Lund W77-59
24/10/21Lund W v Hogsbo W59-69
23/01/21Lund W v Hogsbo W74-76
28/11/20Hogsbo W v Lund W101-60
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HRIG Lulea W86-45
22/11/25HSodertalje W61-53
08/11/25AUppsala W85-90
01/11/25AAIK Basket W73-77
25/10/25HOstersund W107-63
18/10/25AOstersund W72-65
12/10/25ARIG Lulea W105-46
10/10/25ALulea W90-81
04/10/25HAIK Basket W75-97
28/09/25ASodertalje W86-91 OT
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AAIK Basket W69-73
01/11/25ABrahe W63-67
26/10/25AUppsala W66-79
22/10/25HLulea W81-90
19/10/25ASodertalje W61-69
11/10/25HSodertalje W71-65
04/10/25ANorrkoping W78-88
27/09/25HUppsala W75-88
22/03/25AVisby W80-82
19/03/25ANorrkoping W62-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game84.082.285.2
Allowed / game70.864.575.0
Point differential+13.2+17.8+10.2
Avg total154.8146.8160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Lund W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game70.575.767.4
Allowed / game77.481.075.2
Point differential-6.9-5.3-7.8
Avg total147.9156.7142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W10100100%85.471.6+13.8
2 Lulea W98189%91.064.8+26.2
3 Norrkoping W96367%81.168.9+12.2
4 AIK Basket W96367%81.974.8+7.1
5 Hogsbo W106460%84.070.8+13.2
6 Ostersund W95456%80.276.4+3.8
7 Malbas Malmo W95456%75.478.7-3.2
8 Sodertalje W94544%74.670.6+4.0
9 Brahe W104640%70.370.7-0.4
10 Alvik W83538%71.173.2-2.1
11 Lund W81712%70.577.4-6.9
12 Visby W91811%61.985.7-23.8
13 RIG Lulea W111109%49.188.3-39.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W2325262195
Lund W2317172683
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