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Malbas vs Norrort Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Projected 80-80
Projected total 159.6
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game85.2
Malbas
Sweden
Vs
50%
50%
■ MALB 50%■ NORR 50%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Norrort
Sweden
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.3
SwedenSuperettan· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Malbas v Norrort
22 Nov 2026
MALB v NORR
upcoming
04 Feb 2024
MALB55
NORR62
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Malbas host Norrort in the Superettan. Pythia makes Malbas the favourite at 50% and projects 80-80, about 160 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Malbas are 1-10 this season (71.4 scored, 85.2 allowed a game), form LLLLW; Norrort are 4-3 this season (87.0 scored, 80.3 allowed a game), form WWLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas win
50.1%fair 2.00
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Norrort win
49.9%fair 2.00
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
71-73
71
73
-2
57avg 70
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
73-100
73
100
-27
38avg 70
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
55-91
55
91
-36
36avg 70
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 70
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
61avg 70
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 70
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 70
A31/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
49avg 70
A01/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H08/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
16-15
18-23
19-13
22-34
17-29
19-20
15-17
4-21
14-16
22-24
15-30
15-18
15-24
20-20
23-22
9-31
16-19
13-20
28-12
13-16
18-26
18-22
16-22
21-17
12-25
15-26
21-12
14-24
22-16
16-23
15-18
20-13
20-25
19-23
15-13
19-25
19-21
22-13
25-19
153.9Avg total
70.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.485.2156.5-13.89%
Season at home (3)77.385.0162.3-7.70%
Season away (8)69.185.2154.4-16.112%
Last 10 (10)70.183.8153.9-13.710%
Last 5 (5)72.681.6154.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.787.1158.8-15.411%
vs Similar (3)77.076.3153.3+0.733%
vs Weaker (18)87.776.9164.6+10.772%
This opponent (Norrort) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrortSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrort
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
H26/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
H02/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A06/04
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
49avg 72
H19/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
75avg 72
H26/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
73avg 72
H04/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 72
A10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
92avg 72
H20/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
A11/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
22-21
16-20
26-26
17-20
23-20
16-19
18-22
15-20
25-23
24-24
14-20
21-24
27-18
25-13
27-18
29-18
12-22
19-14
26-19
25-19
24-19
17-15
21-25
18-15
17-17
24-16
21-21
25-23
18-17
34-24
15-28
24-23
22-19
16-20
18-26
24-17
18-25
12-8
19-27
165.7Avg total
83.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.080.3167.3+6.757%
Season at home (5)91.283.2174.4+8.060%
Season away (2)76.573.0149.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)83.881.9165.7+1.940%
Last 5 (5)84.683.2167.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.285.2161.4-9.119%
vs Similar (8)75.971.5147.4+4.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.281.5168.7+5.750%
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
54.2%
Under 157.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
42.2%
Under 162.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
31.0%
Under 167.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Malbas total 78.5
Over 78.5
54.7%
Under 78.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malbas total 82.5
Over 82.5
39.4%
Under 82.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malbas total 86.5
Over 86.5
25.7%
Under 86.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrort total 76
Over 76
64.6%
Under 76
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrort total 80
Over 80
48.8%
Under 80
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrort total 84
Over 84
33.4%
Under 84
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Malbas -3
MALB -3
40.9%
NORR +3
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
MALB
No market prices yet.
NORR
No market prices yet.
Spread Malbas 0
MALB 0
50.1%
NORR 0
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
MALB
No market prices yet.
NORR
No market prices yet.
Spread Malbas +3
MALB +3
59.2%
NORR -3
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
MALB
No market prices yet.
NORR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
MalbasNorrort
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A31/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/11
Superettan
76.1Avg total
32.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.382.3-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.641.384.9+2.445%-
Last 30 away (19)39.541.480.8-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)32.443.776.1-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.677.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.345.678.9-12.211%-
vs Similar (3)37.738.776.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker (18)45.439.785.1+5.761%-
This opponent (Norrort) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrortLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A06/04
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H04/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H20/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A11/11
Superettan
82.1Avg total
41.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.873.8-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.638.976.5-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)34.236.670.8-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.282.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.881.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.440.675.0-6.16%-
vs Similar (8)33.431.164.5+2.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.839.383.2+4.583%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.815.5
43.3%
50.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.46.6
25.0%
29.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.8
69.8%
65.7%14.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Norrorttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrort: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.622.7
50.9%
50.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.8
30.8%
29.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.512.9
66.2%
65.7%12.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
WLLLLLLLLL
Norrort
LLLWWWWLLL
#13
League position
#6
-23.1
Net rating
+2.0
72.5
Offensive rating
96.9
95.6
Defensive rating
94.9
40.8%
Effective FG%
49.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
25.0%
3-point %
30.8%
58.4%
Assist %
65.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence72.5 · 96.9Defence95.6 · 94.9Shooting40.8% · 49.3%3-point %25.0% · 30.8%Ball care19.4% · 14.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Malbas   ■ Norrort
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Malbas wins
1
Norrort wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Malbas v Norrort55-62
08/10/23Norrort v Malbas62-75
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATrelleborg85-78
08/11/26HDjurgarden77-83 OT
01/11/26AHuddinge67-81
31/10/26AOckelbo69-80
25/10/26AAlvik65-86
24/10/26AAIK Basket66-82
18/10/26AFryshuset Basket73-84
14/10/26AIK Eos55-91
10/10/26AWetterbygden Stars73-100
03/10/26HOckelbo71-73
Norrortlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AEskilstuna73-77
24/10/26HTrelleborg80-88
20/10/26HHuddinge103-104 OT
10/10/26AOckelbo80-69
04/10/26HDjurgarden87-78
26/09/26HWetterbygden Stars86-73
19/09/26HCross Over100-73
06/04/24AKFUM Fryshuset78-87
02/04/24HSloga Uppsala74-81
26/03/24HKFUM Fryshuset77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW9%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %9%0%12%
Points / game71.477.369.1
Allowed / game85.285.085.2
Point differential-13.8-7.7-16.1
Avg total156.5162.3154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%33%0%
Norrort
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game87.091.276.5
Allowed / game80.383.273.0
Point differential+6.7+8.0+3.5
Avg total167.3174.4149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos75271%91.174.6+16.6
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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