Trelleborg face Malbas in the Superettan on 14 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating Trelleborg as the favourite at 77% to 23%, a reflection of their 4-3 record and 80.1 points per game compared with Malbas's 0-10 record and 70.0 points per game. Trelleborg's season totals show 80.1 points scored and 79.3 allowed per game, placing them 8th, while Malbas struggles with 70.0 points scored and 85.9 allowed per game, 13th in the league. At home, Trelleborg has a 1-2 record, 84.7 points scored and 83.7 allowed, and their last five games include a 70-58 win over Ockelbo, a 63-82 loss to Sollentuna and an 88-80 win over Norrort. Malbas, on the road, remains winless with 66.9 points scored and 86.3 allowed, and their last five results are three straight defeats to Djurgarden, Huddinge and Ockelbo. In head-to-head history Malbas has won both meetings, most recently 94-79 on 20 December 2025. The model projects an 85-77 score for Trelleborg, a total of 162.7 points, with a -8.5 spread that the home side covers 49% of the time and a 158.5 total over probability of 59%; overtime is expected in 4% of games. The game will hinge on whether Trelleborg can maintain its offensive edge against a Malbas defense that has yet to secure a win.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 80.1 | 79.3 | 159.4 | +0.9 | 57% |
| Season at home (3) | 84.7 | 83.7 | 168.3 | +1.0 | 33% |
| Season away (4) | 76.8 | 76.0 | 152.8 | +0.8 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.0 | 82.9 | 164.9 | -0.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.6 | 76.8 | 156.4 | +2.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 83.2 | 86.9 | 170.1 | -3.7 | 44% |
| vs Similar (16) | 87.6 | 84.6 | 172.2 | +3.1 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 81.0 | 78.6 | 159.6 | +2.4 | 60% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 70.0 | 85.9 | 155.9 | -15.9 | 0% |
| Season at home (3) | 77.3 | 85.0 | 162.3 | -7.7 | 0% |
| Season away (7) | 66.9 | 86.3 | 153.1 | -19.4 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.0 | 85.9 | 155.9 | -15.9 | 0% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.8 | 82.4 | 151.2 | -13.6 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 70.0 | 88.2 | 158.2 | -18.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 77.0 | 76.3 | 153.3 | +0.7 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (19) | 87.8 | 77.3 | 165.1 | +10.6 | 74% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.2 | 43.0 | 87.2 | +1.2 | 57% | 77% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 46.3 | 40.0 | 86.3 | +6.3 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.1 | 46.0 | 88.1 | -3.9 | 33% | 73% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.4 | 42.4 | 86.8 | +2.0 | 50% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.0 | 41.2 | 81.2 | -1.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 41.3 | 42.9 | 84.2 | -1.6 | 44% | 67% |
| vs Similar (16) | 46.5 | 43.5 | 90.0 | +3.0 | 62% | 88% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 42.0 | 41.6 | 83.6 | +0.4 | 60% | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.6 | 40.9 | 82.5 | +0.7 | 47% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 44.6 | 40.6 | 85.2 | +4.0 | 50% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (18) | 39.6 | 41.1 | 80.7 | -1.6 | 44% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.9 | 44.3 | 77.2 | -11.4 | 10% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.0 | 42.4 | 75.4 | -9.4 | 20% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 32.8 | 45.5 | 78.2 | -12.8 | 12% | 25% |
| vs Similar (3) | 37.7 | 38.7 | 76.3 | -1.0 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (19) | 45.9 | 39.3 | 85.2 | +6.6 | 63% | 74% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trelleborg over 77.5 | 78.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Malbas over 70.5 | 74.1% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Malbas over 71.5 | 70.7% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Malbas over 69.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Trelleborg over 79.5 | 72.3% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Lost |
| Trelleborg over 78.5 | 75.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 95.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Trelleborg (regulation) | 74.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Lost |
| Malbas +14.5 | 71.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Trelleborg win | 76.6% | 1.24 | 1.31 | 1.27 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.25 | -1.0pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.8 | 20.7 | 50.0% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.8 | 9.6 | 29.5% | 28.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.0 | 16.4 | 65.7% | 16.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.8 | 15.5 | 50.0% | 31.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.4 | 6.6 | 29.5% | 19.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.2 | 14.8 | 65.7% | 14.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 | Trelleborg v Malbas | 79-94 |
| 28/09/25 | Malbas v Trelleborg | 96-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Ockelbo | 70-58 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Sollentuna | 63-82 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Norrort | 88-80 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Alvik | 84-97 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Sollentuna | 93-67 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Huddinge | 86-84 |
| 19/09/26 | H | Wetterbygden Stars | 77-87 |
| 11/04/26 | H | AIK Basket | 106-91 |
| 29/03/26 | A | AIK Basket | 71-92 |
| 28/03/26 | A | Huddinge | 82-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Djurgarden | 77-83 OT |
| 01/11/26 | A | Huddinge | 67-81 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Ockelbo | 69-80 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Alvik | 65-86 |
| 24/10/26 | A | AIK Basket | 66-82 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Fryshuset Basket | 73-84 |
| 14/10/26 | A | IK Eos | 55-91 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Wetterbygden Stars | 73-100 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Ockelbo | 71-73 |
| 19/09/26 | H | Eskilstuna | 84-99 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 57% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | WWLW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Points / game | 80.1 | 84.7 | 76.8 |
| Allowed / game | 79.3 | 83.7 | 76.0 |
| Point differential | +0.9 | +1.0 | +0.8 |
| Avg total | 159.4 | 168.3 | 152.8 |
| Over 159.25 | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LLLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.0 | 77.3 | 66.9 |
| Allowed / game | 85.9 | 85.0 | 86.3 |
| Point differential | -15.9 | -7.7 | -19.4 |
| Avg total | 155.9 | 162.3 | 153.1 |
| Over 159.25 | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AIK Basket | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 83.3 | 71.0 | +12.3 |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 89.6 | 79.2 | +10.4 | |
| 3 | Alvik | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 93.3 | 75.1 | +18.2 |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 91.1 | 74.6 | +16.6 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 84.6 | 80.8 | +3.8 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.0 | 80.3 | +6.7 | |
| 7 | Trelleborg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.1 | 79.3 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Huddinge | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 77.2 | 80.9 | -3.7 |
| 9 | Eskilstuna | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 83.4 | 84.2 | -0.8 |
| 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 85.7 | 81.6 | +4.1 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 79.1 | 88.1 | -9.0 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 71.6 | 81.8 | -10.2 | |
| 13 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0% | 70.0 | 85.9 | -15.9 | |
| 14 | Cross Over | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.2 | 93.8 | -23.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trelleborg | 25 | 21 | 13 | 19 | 78 |
| 19 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 85 |
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