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Mali vs Uganda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-59
18-11 21-14 21-18 22-16
Position#25
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.8
Mali 🏆
vs
Position#86
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.8
Allowed / game90.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Pavilhao Multiusos de Luanda
Other2027
Meetings · Mali v Uganda
04 Jul 2026
MALI82
UGAN59
26 Nov 2021
MALI76
UGAN66
24 Feb 2018
MALI79
UGAN76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mali winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Uganda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kenya
#14
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A29/08
AfroBasket
Uganda
#71
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H26/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A27/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A28/11
World Cup
Uganda
#71
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A01/07
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H02/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H01/03
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
11-11
16-22
21-17
17-9
19-21
25-19
15-17
15-16
24-14
16-23
15-19
17-12
16-18
14-19
17-9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-12
23-16
17-27
23-17
22-31
24-13
15-12
19-20
27-24
19-18
15-17
21-19
22-16
15-11
20-24
121.1Avg total
60.4Scored
60.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.074.8156.8+7.2100%
Season at home (2)83.078.0161.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)81.071.5152.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)60.460.7121.1-0.360%
Last 5 (5)65.663.8129.4+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)56.971.0127.9-14.112%
vs Similar (5)80.472.2152.6+8.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)68.863.5132.2+5.262%
This opponent (Uganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UgandaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angola
#19
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A26/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H27/08
World Cup
Guinea
#59
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A28/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
49-82
49
82
-33
H24/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
44-89
44
89
-45
A25/02
World Cup
Guinea
#59
L
47-88
47
88
-41
H26/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A26/02
World Cup
Mali
#25
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H28/02
World Cup
Egypt
#53
L
52-91
52
91
-39
H01/03
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
62-95
62
95
-33
H02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
15-30
13-14
22-14
19-27
31-19
13-18
17-27
15-20
18-11
18-16
18-29
9-17
19-17
10-25
11-23
10-31
11-19
13-17
10-22
16-25
20-20
9-25
2-18
13-27
14-18
19-28
22-17
17-23
31-22
13-24
12-15
14-27
9-16
16-22
13-26
14-19
21-23
11-31
16-22
147.6Avg total
60.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)63.890.0153.8-26.20%
Season at home (3)62.390.0152.3-27.70%
Season away (1)68.090.0158.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)60.687.0147.6-26.40%
Last 5 (5)60.489.6150.0-29.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)62.782.0144.7-19.314%
vs Similar (7)77.680.0157.6-2.429%
vs Weaker (1)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Mali) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -10.3-10.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -7.0-7.0
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -10.3-10.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -7.0-7.0
MaliUganda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kenya
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A29/08
AfroBasket
Uganda
#71
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A27/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A28/11
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/03
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A02/07
World Cup
75.1Avg total
39.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.036.169.1-3.032%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.536.869.3-4.431%-
Last 30 away (15)33.535.468.9-1.933%-
Last 10 (8)39.635.575.1+4.175%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.280.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)28.537.465.9-8.912%-
vs Similar (5)36.432.669.0+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.035.676.6+5.457%-
This opponent (Uganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UgandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angola
#19
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A26/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H27/08
World Cup
Guinea
#59
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A28/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H24/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A25/02
World Cup
Guinea
#59
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H26/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A26/02
World Cup
Mali
#25
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H28/02
World Cup
Egypt
#53
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H01/03
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H02/07
World Cup
76.5Avg total
32.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.240.375.5-5.134%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.540.178.6-1.642%-
Last 30 away (17)32.940.573.4-7.629%-
Last 10 (10)32.843.776.5-10.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.844.077.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.842.175.9-8.324%-
vs Similar (7)38.136.074.1+2.157%-
vs Weaker (1)44.033.077.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Mali) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mali wins
1
Uganda wins
DateGameScore
28/02/26Uganda v Mali73-84
01/07/22Uganda v Mali20-0
26/11/21Mali v Uganda76-66
30/06/18Uganda v Mali80-95
24/02/18Mali v Uganda79-76
Malilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26AEgypt78-70
01/03/26HAngola80-79
28/02/26AUganda84-73
26/02/26HEgypt86-77
02/07/22HNigeria0-20
01/07/22AUganda0-20
28/11/21ACape Verde64-58
27/11/21ANigeria70-72
26/11/21HUganda76-66
29/08/21AKenya66-72
Ugandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26HAngola62-95
01/03/26HEgypt52-91
28/02/26HMali73-84
26/02/26AAngola68-90
26/02/23HGuinea47-88
25/02/23AIvory Coast44-89
24/02/23HAngola49-82
28/08/22AGuinea69-76
27/08/22HIvory Coast80-91
26/08/22AAngola62-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mali
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.083.081.0
Allowed / game74.878.071.5
Point differential+7.2+5.0+9.5
Avg total156.8161.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Uganda
World Cup 2027
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game63.862.368.0
Allowed / game90.090.090.0
Point differential-26.2-27.7-22.0
Avg total153.8152.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
5 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
6 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
7 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
8 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
9 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
10 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
11 South Sudan54180%84.462.8+21.6
12 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
13 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
14 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
15 Guinea54180%77.065.0+12.0
16 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
17 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
18 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
19 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
20 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
21 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
22 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
23 Ivory Coast43175%89.274.5+14.8
24 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
25 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
26 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
29 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
30 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
31 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
32 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
33 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
34 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
35 Tunisia53260%77.672.2+5.4
36 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
37 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
38 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
39 Nigeria53260%74.477.2-2.8
40 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
43 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
44 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
45 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
46 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
47 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
48 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
49 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
50 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
51 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
52 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
53 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
54 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
55 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
56 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
57 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
58 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
59 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
60 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
61 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
62 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
63 Cape Verde52340%76.285.0-8.8
64 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
65 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
66 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
67 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
68 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
69 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
77 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
78 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
79 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
80 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
81 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda5050%67.081.6-14.6
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
90 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
91 Uganda4040%63.890.0-26.2
92 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mali1821212282
Uganda1114181659
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