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Malvin vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 84-72
33-17 18-13 20-20 13-22
Position#6
Record5-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game81.5
Malvin 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game75.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya
Other2022-23
Meetings · Malvin v Penarol
08 Dec 2022
MALV84
PENA72
05 May 2022
MALV70
PENA67
26 Apr 2022
MALV71
PENA49
22 Mar 2022
MALV84
PENA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#10
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#5
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A22/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#9
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#11
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#13
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
17-14
24-19
20-22
11-16
25-16
31-14
15-21
9-11
25-21
18-15
15-15
26-17
21-21
19-31
26-23
18-17
18-15
18-21
19-15
23-30
18-31
25-24
24-15
26-18
16-7
14-19
19-21
20-29
11-26
20-12
24-16
13-22
20-20
27-24
24-27
22-17
14-18
16-20
19-21
160.3Avg total
80.1Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.181.5161.5-1.445%
Season at home (5)76.073.6149.6+2.480%
Season away (6)83.588.0171.5-4.517%
Last 10 (10)80.180.2160.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)79.083.4162.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.081.8159.8-3.825%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.079.2157.2-1.247%
vs Weaker (7)87.479.1166.6+8.371%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#9
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H24/11
Liga A
Goes
#4
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Ferro
#15
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H26/11
Liga A
Larre Borges
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Riachuelo
#11
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H03/12
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H08/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-21
16-16
20-22
13-14
18-20
22-30
20-17
12-14
14-15
17-17
13-24
16-21
21-15
24-19
25-26
20-29
25-15
24-10
18-27
22-21
21-16
15-12
11-15
23-25
19-14
17-20
25-15
17-21
21-20
16-18
17-10
24-19
22-14
16-24
18-31
19-18
18-14
17-20
19-18
150.8Avg total
75.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.275.7153.9+2.560%
Season at home (5)79.474.4153.8+5.080%
Season away (5)77.077.0154.0+0.040%
Last 10 (10)75.475.4150.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)75.473.0148.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.087.2164.2-10.20%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.976.7156.6+3.257%
vs Weaker (4)77.566.8144.2+10.8100%
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
MalvinPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A22/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#9
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
76.4Avg total
37.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.279.2-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.536.574.9+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)39.543.082.5-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.176.4-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.680.2-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.542.882.2-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.839.175.9-2.342%-
vs Weaker (7)45.041.686.6+3.471%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/11
Liga A
Goes
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Ferro
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H26/11
Liga A
Larre Borges
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#13
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Riachuelo
#11
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H03/12
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H08/12
Liga A
74.7Avg total
38.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.475.8+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.778.0+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)35.638.073.6-2.460%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.374.7+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.477.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.643.879.4-8.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.236.675.8+2.771%-
vs Weaker (4)37.833.571.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Malvin wins
4
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
10/05/22Penarol v Malvin69-64
06/05/22Malvin v Penarol70-67
30/04/22Penarol v Malvin71-61
27/04/22Malvin v Penarol71-49
22/04/22Penarol v Malvin91-71
23/03/22Malvin v Penarol84-70
08/01/22Penarol v Malvin93-64
08/05/21Penarol v Malvin82-86
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/22AOlimpia Kings71-76
02/12/22HLarre Borges84-93
29/11/22AGoes75-83
25/11/22HDefensor75-65
22/11/22ABigua90-100
18/11/22HAguada73-68
03/11/22ATrouville103-108 OT
31/10/22HHebraica y Macabi67-62
27/10/22ANacional82-67
24/10/22HUrupan81-80
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/22HPlatense73-70
03/12/22HRiachuelo80-88
01/12/22HOlimpia Kings71-69
28/11/22ALarre Borges84-74
26/11/22HFerro69-64
26/11/22HGoes87-81
24/11/22HBoca Juniors86-81
21/11/22ADefensor56-70
18/11/22HBigua73-81
04/11/22AAguada75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game80.176.083.5
Allowed / game81.573.688.0
Point differential-1.4+2.4-4.5
Avg total161.5149.6171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game78.279.477.0
Allowed / game75.774.477.0
Point differential+2.5+5.0+0.0
Avg total153.9153.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bigua108280%84.278.8+5.4
2 Goes108280%83.178.3+4.8
3 Hebraica y Macabi106460%83.078.1+4.9
4 Penarol106460%78.275.7+2.5
5 Aguada95456%80.778.8+1.9
6 Nacional95456%77.877.2+0.6
7 Larre Borges105550%81.481.1+0.3
8 Trouville105550%86.788.7-2.0
9 Malvin115645%80.181.5-1.4
10 Defensor114736%75.679.8-4.2
11 Urupan103730%80.882.7-1.9
12 Olimpia Kings103730%72.978.0-5.1
13 Urunday102820%75.780.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin3318201384
Penarol1713202272
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