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Penarol vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-64
22-21 21-16 15-12 11-15
Position#13
Record4-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game76.8
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#15
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game83.7
ArgentinaLiga ARound 16
Other2022-23
Meetings · Penarol v Ferro
12 Apr 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
10 Jan 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
02 May 2026
PENA68
FERR84
30 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR75
19 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR80
27 Apr 2025
PENA73
FERR75
12 May 2024
PENA70
FERR86
26 Nov 2022
PENA69
FERR64
01 Dec 2021
PENA80
FERR89
10 Oct 2021
PENA97
FERR101
08 Jan 2021
PENA111
FERR101
18 Mar 2020
PENA v FERR
upcoming
04 Mar 2019
PENA66
FERR88
26 Mar 2018
PENA96
FERR73
01 Feb 2017
PENA73
FERR75
18 Oct 2016
PENA76
FERR75
18 Mar 2016
PENA70
FERR75
25 Nov 2015
PENA88
FERR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#20
W
82-56
82
56
+26
A28/10
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A30/10
Liga A
Trouville
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Independiente de Oliva
#14
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A02/11
Liga A
Aguada
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#9
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H24/11
Liga A
Goes
#4
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-8
18-21
27-18
11-9
26-19
27-32
24-24
16-20
19-26
6-21
24-17
19-19
25-19
9-19
25-13
19-21
20-25
16-28
22-13
22-17
19-17
20-21
16-16
20-22
13-14
18-20
22-30
20-17
12-14
14-15
17-17
13-24
16-21
21-15
24-19
25-26
20-29
25-15
24-10
18-27
155.6Avg total
77.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.976.8153.7+0.144%
Season at home (3)81.081.3162.3-0.367%
Season away (6)74.874.5149.3+0.333%
Last 10 (10)77.877.8155.6+0.040%
Last 5 (5)75.477.8153.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.087.2164.2-10.20%
vs Similar ◀ (22)79.176.5155.6+2.550%
vs Weaker (3)79.766.0145.7+13.7100%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
84-118
84
118
-34
A12/10
Liga A
Argentino
#16
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H19/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H21/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H30/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A03/11
Liga A
Atenas
#20
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A04/11
Liga A
Riachuelo
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A06/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A19/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
65-92
65
92
-27
H22/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-24
11-26
16-24
27-34
15-25
31-28
11-31
17-12
9-8
22-23
18-15
15-20
26-11
20-15
18-14
26-23
20-28
33-30
20-15
13-17
16-19
16-23
20-24
23-17
13-15
24-14
25-22
16-20
8-22
20-17
35-26
13-25
11-19
26-22
21-20
11-17
10-27
21-23
23-25
159.4Avg total
75.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.783.7159.4-8.040%
Season at home (4)77.276.5153.8+0.875%
Season away (6)74.788.5163.2-13.817%
Last 10 (10)75.783.7159.4-8.040%
Last 5 (5)73.082.8155.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.685.9161.5-10.340%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.384.1165.4-2.844%
vs Weaker (6)78.567.8146.3+10.783%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
PenarolFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#20
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A28/10
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A30/10
Liga A
Trouville
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Independiente de Oliva
#14
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A02/11
Liga A
Aguada
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/11
Liga A
Goes
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H26/11
Liga Uruguaya
76.9Avg total
37.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.675.7+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.836.877.6+4.154%-
Last 30 away (17)36.038.374.3-2.359%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.976.9-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.271.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.643.879.4-8.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.737.175.9+1.664%-
vs Weaker (3)37.731.068.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A12/10
Liga A
Argentino
#16
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H19/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H21/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H30/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A03/11
Liga A
Atenas
#20
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A04/11
Liga A
Riachuelo
#11
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A06/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A19/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H22/11
Liga A
72.6Avg total
32.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.574.7-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.636.676.2+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)33.240.173.4-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)32.640.072.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)26.839.666.4-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.341.977.2-6.513%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.439.078.4+0.456%-
vs Weaker (6)33.529.362.8+4.283%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Penarol wins
6
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
03/04/22Ferro v Penarol90-78
02/12/21Penarol v Ferro80-89
10/10/21Penarol v Ferro97-101 OT
20/01/21Ferro v Penarol90-98 OT
09/01/21Penarol v Ferro111-101 OT
16/02/20Ferro v Penarol80-69
05/03/19Penarol v Ferro66-88
15/12/18Ferro v Penarol82-77
01/05/18Ferro v Penarol77-89
27/03/18Penarol v Ferro96-73
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HGoes87-81
24/11/22HBoca Juniors86-81
21/11/22ADefensor56-70
18/11/22HBigua73-81
04/11/22AAguada75-76
02/11/22AIndependiente de Oliva80-83
31/10/22HTrouville78-72
30/10/22AInstituto de Cordoba68-83
28/10/22AHebraica y Macabi93-95
28/10/22AAtenas82-56
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22HGimnasia65-92
19/11/22AGimnasia71-86
06/11/22ARiachuelo79-85
04/11/22AAtenas85-68
03/11/22AInstituto de Cordoba65-83
30/10/22HBoca Juniors99-96
21/10/22HObras Sanitarias79-60
19/10/22HArgentino66-58
12/10/22AOlimpico84-118
11/10/22AQuimsa64-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game76.981.074.8
Allowed / game76.881.374.5
Point differential+0.1-0.3+0.3
Avg total153.7162.3149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%75%17%
Points / game75.777.274.7
Allowed / game83.776.588.5
Point differential-8.0+0.8-13.8
Avg total159.4153.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia119282%84.676.6+8.0
2 Quimsa108280%85.274.5+10.7
3 Instituto de Cordoba1411379%80.674.1+6.5
4 Olimpico97278%83.674.7+8.9
5 Obras Sanitarias129375%80.977.3+3.6
6 Obera TC107370%77.373.0+4.3
7 San Martin64267%79.772.2+7.5
8 Boca Juniors94544%84.682.4+2.1
9 Penarol94544%76.976.8+0.1
10 Regatas94544%76.678.8-2.2
11 La Union146843%79.177.6+1.4
12 San Lorenzo104640%79.783.2-3.5
13 Ferro104640%75.783.7-8.0
14 Platense83538%79.481.9-2.5
15 Argentino114736%70.580.0-9.5
16 Riachuelo62433%83.090.5-7.5
17 Union De Santa Fe72529%78.077.9+0.1
18 Independiente de Oliva72529%75.178.9-3.7
19 Atenas91811%74.885.4-10.7
20 Comunicaciones Mercedes111109%74.684.8-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2221151169
Ferro2116121564
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