Manchester Basketball host the Bristol Flyers on 15 November 2026 in the SLB, and the contest is finely balanced with both sides holding 5-5 records across the season. Manchester's 5-5 mark comes with 81.3 points per game and 83.2 allowed, while Bristol's 5-5 tally is 77.5 points scored and 77.9 conceded, placing the Flyers fourth and the Bears fifth in the league. At home Manchester has struggled, winning only 1 of 5 with 83.2 points scored and 86.4 allowed, and their last five have yielded two wins and three losses; they recently lost 73-94 to Chalon/Saone, 90-93 to Cheshire Phoenix, and 74-80 to Valmiera Glass Via. Bristol, on the other hand, has been more comfortable on the road, winning 3 of 5 with 80.8 points per game and 81.2 allowed, and their last five include three wins and two losses, highlighted by an 81-66 home win over Dubrava and an 81-65 away victory over Newcastle Eagles. In their ten meetings Manchester has edged Bristol 6-4, most recently triumphing 78-74 on 30 October. Pythia gives Manchester a 54% chance to win versus Bristol's 46%, projecting a close 83-81 score and a total of 164.2 points; the home team's line of -3.5 carries a 44% chance of covering, while the 161.5 total has a 55% probability of going over, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Manchester can turn their home woes into a decisive advantage.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 81.3 | 83.2 | 164.5 | -1.9 | 50% |
| Season at home (5) | 83.2 | 86.4 | 169.6 | -3.2 | 20% |
| Season away (5) | 79.4 | 80.0 | 159.4 | -0.6 | 80% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.8 | 88.2 | 171.0 | -5.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.2 | 85.2 | 166.4 | -4.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 84.2 | 95.7 | 179.9 | -11.4 | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 84.1 | 85.3 | 169.5 | -1.2 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 96.5 | 96.0 | 192.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 77.5 | 77.9 | 155.4 | -0.4 | 50% |
| Season at home (5) | 74.2 | 74.6 | 148.8 | -0.4 | 40% |
| Season away (5) | 80.8 | 81.2 | 162.0 | -0.4 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.8 | 75.7 | 153.5 | +2.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.8 | 69.8 | 144.6 | +5.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 75.5 | 88.3 | 163.8 | -12.8 | 10% |
| vs Similar ◀ (16) | 81.4 | 82.1 | 163.5 | -0.8 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 83.8 | 73.2 | 157.0 | +10.5 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.8 | 45.1 | 86.9 | -3.3 | 27% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 40.9 | 46.3 | 87.2 | -5.4 | 23% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 42.5 | 44.2 | 86.7 | -1.8 | 29% | 65% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.1 | 44.0 | 85.1 | -2.9 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.6 | 39.8 | 78.4 | -1.2 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 40.2 | 49.0 | 89.2 | -8.8 | 8% | 75% |
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 41.8 | 42.6 | 84.4 | -0.8 | 27% | 60% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 51.5 | 45.0 | 96.5 | +6.5 | 100% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.3 | 41.4 | 80.7 | -2.1 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.8 | 40.1 | 79.9 | -0.2 | 50% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 38.6 | 42.9 | 81.6 | -4.3 | 50% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.1 | 38.0 | 76.1 | +0.1 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.2 | 35.6 | 74.8 | +3.6 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 36.3 | 44.0 | 80.3 | -7.7 | 30% | 70% |
| vs Similar ◀ (16) | 40.7 | 40.8 | 81.5 | -0.1 | 56% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 41.0 | 37.2 | 78.2 | +3.8 | 75% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Flyers +13.5 | 85.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp |
| Bristol Flyers +11.5 | 81.4% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp |
| Bristol Flyers over 74.5 | 74.7% | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +9.2pp |
| Manchester Basketball over 76.5 | 72.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp |
| Over 151.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.1 | 22.9 | 50.9% | 45.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.7 | 6.9 | 34.9% | 20.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.5 | 15.1 | 70.8% | 15.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.1 | 17.1 | 50.9% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.7 | 10.8 | 34.9% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.9 | 12.6 | 70.8% | 12.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | Bristol Flyers v Manchester Basketball | 74-78 |
| 02/10/26 | Bristol Flyers v Manchester Basketball | 76-58 |
| 03/05/26 | Bristol Flyers v Manchester Basketball | 85-90 |
| 30/04/26 | Manchester Basketball v Bristol Flyers | 98-95 |
| 12/04/26 | Manchester Basketball v Bristol Flyers | 80-83 |
| 13/03/26 | Bristol Flyers v Manchester Basketball | 77-86 |
| 30/01/26 | Manchester Basketball v Bristol Flyers | 80-85 |
| 25/01/26 | Manchester Basketball v Bristol Flyers | 92-67 |
| 05/12/25 | Bristol Flyers v Manchester Basketball | 78-84 |
| 20/04/25 | Manchester Basketball v Bristol Flyers | 92-97 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Chalon/Saone | 73-94 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Cheshire Phoenix | 90-93 OT |
| 04/11/26 | A | Valmiera Glass Via | 74-80 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Liverpool | 91-85 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Bristol Flyers | 78-74 |
| 28/10/26 | H | BC Kalev/Cramo | 89-85 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Leicester Riders | 89-87 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Korfez Basket | 71-112 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Caledonia Gladiators | 92-94 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 81-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Dubrava | 81-66 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Surrey 89ers | 53-68 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 81-65 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 74-78 |
| 27/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 85-72 |
| 24/10/26 | A | London Lions | 76-82 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Liverpool | 90-89 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Syntainics MBC | 84-106 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Leicester Riders | 78-73 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 76-58 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWL | 50% |
| Home | WLLLL | 20% |
| Away | LWWWW | 80% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Win % | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Points / game | 81.3 | 83.2 | 79.4 |
| Allowed / game | 83.2 | 86.4 | 80.0 |
| Point differential | -1.9 | -3.2 | -0.6 |
| Avg total | 164.5 | 169.6 | 159.4 |
| Over 160.75 | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 0% (2) | 100% (3) |
| Overtime % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 50% |
| Home | LWWLL | 40% |
| Away | WLWLW | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Points / game | 77.5 | 74.2 | 80.8 |
| Allowed / game | 77.9 | 74.6 | 81.2 |
| Point differential | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 |
| Avg total | 155.4 | 148.8 | 162.0 |
| Over 160.75 | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 33% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 81.4 | 75.9 | +5.5 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 84.7 | 76.6 | +8.1 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.7 | 81.4 | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 77.5 | 77.9 | -0.4 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 81.3 | 83.2 | -1.9 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 94.9 | 95.0 | -0.1 | |
| 7 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 84.2 | 84.3 | -0.1 |
| 8 | Caledonia Gladiators | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.9 | 93.0 | -9.1 |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 78.9 | 81.6 | -2.8 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 84.2 | 89.4 | -5.1 |
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