PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Manhattan hosts Fordham on 17 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Manhattan as the favourite and predicting a 65% chance of a home win. Manhattan has played three games this season, recording 1-2, scoring an average of 64.3 points and allowing 73.0, and sits 293rd in the league; at home they are 0-1, averaging 68.0 points and conceding 72.0, and have won one of their last five games, with a recent 68-62 victory over Maine Black Bears away, a 68-72 loss to Albany Great Danes at home and a 57-85 defeat to Kentucky away. Fordham, meanwhile, is 2-1 with 75.3 points per game and 76.7 points allowed, positioned 195th, and is 0-1 on the road, averaging 65.0 points and conceding 95.0; they have won three of their last five games, including a 78-72 win over Iona at home, a 83-63 victory over Stonehill at home and a 65-95 loss to Kansas away. Their head-to-head record stands at 3-2 in favour of Manhattan, though Fordham last beat Manhattan 82-53 on 13 December 2025. Pythia projects a 77-73 score, a total of 149.8 points, a 5% chance of overtime, and a 65% probability that Manhattan will cover the spread. The game will hinge on Manhattan's ability to contain Fordham's 75.3-point average while Fordham will look to exploit their recent offensive form.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 64.3 | 73.0 | 137.3 | -8.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 68.0 | 72.0 | 140.0 | -4.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 62.5 | 73.5 | 136.0 | -11.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 67.8 | 72.0 | 139.8 | -4.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 63.6 | 71.8 | 135.4 | -8.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 68.6 | 81.0 | 149.6 | -12.4 | 11% |
| vs Similar (9) | 74.0 | 70.9 | 144.9 | +3.1 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 84.5 | 80.5 | 165.0 | +4.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 76.5 | 72.0 | 148.5 | +4.5 | 75% |
| Season at home (3) | 80.3 | 64.3 | 144.7 | +16.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 65.0 | 95.0 | 160.0 | -30.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.1 | 69.0 | 139.1 | +1.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 70.8 | 144.4 | +2.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 60.8 | 79.5 | 140.2 | -18.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (14) | 66.3 | 67.4 | 133.6 | -1.1 | 43% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 75.5 | 62.6 | 138.1 | +12.8 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.9 | 36.9 | 68.8 | -5.1 | 23% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 35.6 | 37.9 | 73.5 | -2.4 | 36% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 28.6 | 36.1 | 64.7 | -7.4 | 12% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.2 | 35.5 | 65.7 | -5.3 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 26.6 | 35.0 | 61.6 | -8.4 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 30.1 | 38.6 | 68.7 | -8.5 | 11% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 34.0 | 32.7 | 66.7 | +1.3 | 44% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 39.0 | 40.0 | 79.0 | -1.0 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.7 | 31.5 | 62.2 | -0.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 31.1 | 28.8 | 59.9 | +2.3 | 61% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 30.2 | 35.6 | 65.8 | -5.4 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.3 | 32.7 | 63.0 | -2.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.4 | 34.6 | 66.0 | -3.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 26.2 | 39.8 | 66.0 | -13.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 27.7 | 30.8 | 58.5 | -3.1 | 43% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 35.2 | 29.5 | 64.6 | +5.7 | 73% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 | Fordham v Manhattan | 82-53 |
| 16/11/24 | Manhattan v Fordham | 78-76 |
| 28/11/23 | Fordham v Manhattan | 93-61 |
| 13/11/21 | Manhattan v Fordham | 66-60 |
| 07/12/19 | Fordham v Manhattan | 53-54 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Maine Black Bears | 68-62 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Albany Great Danes | 68-72 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Kentucky | 57-85 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Fairfield | 60-71 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Iona | 65-69 |
| 28/02/26 | A | St. Peters | 65-75 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Marist | 70-84 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Canisius | 69-65 |
| 13/02/26 | A | Niagara | 76-69 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Sacred Heart | 80-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | LIU Sharks | 80-58 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Iona | 78-72 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Stonehill | 83-63 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Kansas | 65-95 |
| 12/03/26 | H | George Washington | 62-66 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Rhode Island | 61-49 |
| 04/03/26 | A | La Salle | 84-87 |
| 28/02/26 | A | VCU Rams | 63-82 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Davidson | 63-59 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Loyola Chicago | 62-59 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLW | 33% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Points / game | 64.3 | 68.0 | 62.5 |
| Allowed / game | 73.0 | 72.0 | 73.5 |
| Point differential | -8.7 | -4.0 | -11.0 |
| Avg total | 137.3 | 140.0 | 136.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWW | 75% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 76.5 | 80.3 | 65.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.0 | 64.3 | 95.0 |
| Point differential | +4.5 | +16.0 | -30.0 |
| Avg total | 148.5 | 144.7 | 160.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 67% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Siena | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 79.0 | +6.3 |
| 2 |  Sacred Heart | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 84.8 | 68.2 | +16.5 |
| 3 |  Merrimack Warriors | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 62.8 | 65.8 | -3.0 |
| 4 |  Canisius | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.2 | 81.5 | -4.2 |
| 5 |  Quinnipiac | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 68.5 | 75.5 | -7.0 |
| 6 |  Iona | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 64.8 | 69.6 | -4.8 |
| 7 | Manhattan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.3 | 73.0 | -8.7 |
| 8 |  Fairfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 59.0 | 75.7 | -16.7 |
| 9 |  Mount St. Mary's | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 60.7 | 78.7 | -18.0 |
| 10 |  Marist | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 67.8 | 69.2 | -1.5 |
| 11 |  Rider | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.5 | 72.2 | -7.8 |
| 12 |  St. Peters | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 47.5 | 63.8 | -16.2 |
| 13 |  Niagara | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 63.0 | 84.0 | -21.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Louis Billikens | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 71.3 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  George Washington | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 51.8 | +28.2 |
| 3 |  Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.2 | 59.2 | +22.0 |
| 4 |  George Mason | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 75.3 | 57.7 | +17.7 |
| 5 |  Davidson | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 75.3 | 60.7 | +14.7 |
| 6 |  Saint Josephs Hawks | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 77.3 | 70.0 | +7.3 |
| 7 |  Duquesne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 66.7 | +6.0 |
| 8 |  Richmond Spiders | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 64.0 | +25.0 |
| 9 | Fordham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.5 | 72.0 | +4.5 |
| 10 |  St. Bonaventure | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.3 | 64.0 | +18.3 |
| 11 |  VCU Rams | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 70.0 | +15.7 |
| 12 |  Loyola Chicago | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.0 | 70.7 | +11.3 |
| 13 |  Dayton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 79.3 | +5.3 |
| 14 |  La Salle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 84.7 | -17.3 |
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