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Manisa vs Samsunspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 90-60
27-18 19-16 21-10 23-16
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game86.5
Manisa 🏆
Turkey
vs
Samsunspor
Turkey
Position#16
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game94.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 3· Muradiye Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Manisa v Samsunspor
14 Oct 2023
MAI90
SAM60
12 Nov 2021
MAI84
SAM77
25 Sep 2021
MAI78
SAM77
20 May 2021
MAI72
SAM76
16 Jan 2021
MAI76
SAM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samsunspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#7
L
84-95
84
95
-11
no box
A16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 81
H29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nevezis
#48
W
98-88
98
88
+10
92avg 81
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 81
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 81
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-31
16-23
27-17
16-23
24-21
23-28
19-15
19-30
18-21
31-20
17-18
18-19
20-17
22-18
27-20
24-21
23-14
20-22
24-30
16-24
23-12
23-24
17-24
20-27
25-19
18-17
27-25
12-20
30-25
33-25
23-18
23-14
20-18
22-17
15-21
20-12
13-28
23-18
25-27
170.4Avg total
85.7Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.586.5172.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)90.088.0178.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)85.784.7170.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.683.0168.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.083.7160.7-6.733%
vs Similar (17)82.182.5164.6-0.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamsunsporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamsunspor
Date
Competition
Harem Spor
#9
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
H26/05
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
W
95-72
95
72
+23
no box
A30/05
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
H06/06
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
68-53
68
53
+15
no box
H08/06
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A11/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H17/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H19/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
A22/06
TBL
Tofas
#11
L
91-104
91
104
-13
91avg 91
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
95-85
95
85
+10
90avg 91
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
15-9
25-14
14-19
22-25
23-21
28-16
22-10
30-18
21-10
18-18
13-17
15-5
14-24
17-12
22-12
23-26
24-17
23-18
15-18
17-21
21-16
29-9
15-19
31-24
7-26
28-14
22-16
11-20
13-13
26-12
15-13
25-23
24-14
21-31
21-36
21-15
22-24
37-20
15-26
155.1Avg total
82.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)91.0104.0195.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)82.872.3155.1+10.590%
Last 5 (5)84.278.4162.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Similar (1)79.075.0154.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (27)84.770.6155.2+14.185%
This opponent (Manisa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +8.8+8.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +8.8+8.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
ManisaSamsunspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#7
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nevezis
#48
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.5Avg total
40.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.180.1-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.237.177.3+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.843.182.9-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.082.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.880.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.039.478.4-0.458%-
vs Similar (17)40.640.380.9+0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)42.045.087.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamsunsporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harem Spor
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H26/05
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A30/05
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H06/06
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H08/06
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A11/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H19/06
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A22/06
TBL
Tofas
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.5Avg total
40.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.335.879.1+7.480%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.233.977.1+9.281%-
Last 30 away (14)43.438.081.4+5.479%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.377.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.277.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)46.038.084.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (1)48.031.079.0+17.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)42.935.978.7+7.078%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.2
50.5%
53.6%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.7
37.7%
36.3%29.0
🏀 Free throws29.514.2
48.0%
74.7%14.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samsunsportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samsunspor: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.9 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.4
51.1%
53.6%38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.7
40.6%
36.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.412.4
71.3%
74.7%12.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/7 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Manisa
LWWWLWWLLL
Samsunspor
WLWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#16
-6.4
Net rating
+7.3
101.2
Offensive rating
116.9
107.6
Defensive rating
109.5
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.3%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.48
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.7%
3-point %
40.6%
62.9%
Assist %
74.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 116.9Defence107.6 · 109.5Shooting53.0% · 55.3%3-point %37.7% · 40.6%Ball care14.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds22.0% · 33.1%Free throws0.48 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Manisa   ■ Samsunspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Manisa wins
3
Samsunspor wins
DateGameScore
04/03/22Samsunspor v Manisa62-76
12/11/21Manisa v Samsunspor84-77
25/09/21Manisa v Samsunspor78-77
20/05/21Manisa v Samsunspor72-76
17/05/21Samsunspor v Manisa73-65
08/05/21Samsunspor v Manisa85-76
16/01/21Manisa v Samsunspor76-73
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23AGalatasaray81-85
05/10/23HFC Porto80-70
04/10/23ANevezis98-88
29/09/23HBahcesehir Kol.90-88
20/05/23AGalatasaray79-84
13/05/23AKonyaspor91-87
07/05/23HBuyukcekmece87-74
01/05/23ABahcesehir Kol.85-89
22/04/23HBursaspor82-87
16/04/23ADarussafaka84-95
Samsunsporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23HMerkezefendi95-85
30/09/23ATofas91-104
22/06/23AYalovaspor65-58
19/06/23HYalovaspor88-80
17/06/23HYalovaspor82-65
11/06/23AiLab Basketbol85-79
08/06/23HiLab Basketbol68-53
06/06/23HiLab Basketbol82-63
30/05/23AHarem Spor95-72
26/05/23HHarem Spor77-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.590.081.0
Allowed / game86.588.085.0
Point differential-1.0+2.0-4.0
Avg total172.0178.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samsunspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game93.095.091.0
Allowed / game94.585.0104.0
Point differential-1.5+10.0-13.0
Avg total187.5180.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes220100%88.076.5+11.5
2 Galatasaray220100%89.079.0+10.0
3 Tofas32167%85.084.3+0.7
4 Fenerbahce21150%87.071.0+16.0
5 Besiktas21150%65.059.0+6.0
6 Bahcesehir Kol.21150%89.585.0+4.5
7 Turk Telekom21150%77.576.0+1.5
8 Petkim Spor21150%80.580.0+0.5
9 Bursaspor21150%68.068.0+0.0
10 Darussafaka21150%64.064.5-0.5
11 Manisa21150%85.586.5-1.0
12 Samsunspor21150%93.094.5-1.5
13 Karsiyaka21150%76.580.0-3.5
14 Buyukcekmece21150%81.086.0-5.0
15 Merkezefendi3030%85.095.0-10.0
16 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor2020%66.591.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manisa2719212390
Samsunspor1816101660
← all games of the day
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