Tofas vs Samsunspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023

Tip-off: 12:30

Final 104-91

23-25 14-24 31-21 36-21

Position#11

Record-

FormWWWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Tofas 🏆

Samsunspor

Position#16

Record-

FormWWWWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Basketbol Süper LigiRound 1· Tofas Spor Salonu

Domestic2023-24

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Samsunspor winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tofas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gaziantep

#15

83-77

A02/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Turk Telekom

91-94

-3

H08/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Merkezefendi

#13

95-88 OT

A16/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Anadolu Efes

66-63

H22/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Petkim Spor

#12

95-85

+10

A29/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Darussafaka

94-93

H06/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

92-77

+15

A12/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bahcesehir Kol.

92-79

+13

H20/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

78-93

-15

A27/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

87-98

-11

H31/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

14-21

17-13

24-19

28-24

22-22

25-25

27-19

17-28

17-17

26-23

11-18

23-19

20-19

15-14

18-18

13-12

18-20

15-19

28-18

34-28

20-25

25-20

23-27

26-21

19-20

24-23

24-20

25-14

30-14

21-23

22-17

19-25

20-28

15-19

20-20

23-26

13-26

25-23

22-21

27-28

172.0Avg total

87.3Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	87.3	84.7	172.0	+2.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	88.0	176.6	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	81.3	87.1	168.4	-5.9	29%
vs Similar (14)	82.7	85.8	168.5	-3.1	21%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	83.4	78.2	161.7	+5.2	78%

This opponent (Samsunspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Samsunspor Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Antalya Güneşi

#16

101-64

101

+37

H12/05

TBL

OGM Ormanspor

#11

95-69

+26

A21/05

TBL

Harem Spor

77-64

+13

H26/05

TBL

Harem Spor

95-72

+23

A30/05

TBL

iLab Basketbol

82-63

+19

H06/06

TBL

iLab Basketbol

68-53

+15

H08/06

TBL

iLab Basketbol

85-79

A11/06

TBL

Yalovaspor

82-65

+17

H17/06

TBL

Yalovaspor

88-80

H19/06

TBL

Yalovaspor

65-58

A22/06

TBL

27-14

26-17

26-16

22-17

32-15

16-15

25-21

22-18

23-22

15-9

25-14

14-19

22-25

23-21

28-16

22-10

30-18

21-10

18-18

13-17

15-5

14-24

17-12

22-12

23-26

24-17

23-18

15-18

17-21

21-16

29-9

15-19

31-24

7-26

28-14

22-16

11-20

13-13

26-12

15-13

150.5Avg total

83.8Scored

66.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	83.8	66.7	150.5	+17.1	100%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	67.0	144.6	+10.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (1)	79.0	75.0	154.0	+4.0	100%
vs Weaker (29)	84.5	70.9	155.4	+13.6	83%

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TofasSamsunspor

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	22.7	41.4	-4.0	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	22%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.0	39.9	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	16.6	38.9	+5.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	19.6	41.1	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.0	42.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (29)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	66%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.7	40.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.6	19.9	42.4	+2.7	57%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.8	16.6	36.3	+3.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.9	39.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	17.1	38.2	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.2	35.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (1)	30.0	13.0	43.0	+17.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (29)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	69%	-

TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gaziantep

#15

31-34

-3

A02/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Turk Telekom

47-47

H08/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Merkezefendi

#13

43-40

A16/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Anadolu Efes

35-33

H22/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Petkim Spor

#12

33-39

-6

A29/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Darussafaka

45-45

H06/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

43-43

A12/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bahcesehir Kol.

51-37

+14

H20/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

35-47

-12

A27/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

38-49

-11

H31/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

81.5Avg total

40.1Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	40.4	81.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	39.9	82.5	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	41.0	79.4	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	41.4	81.5	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	44.2	86.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.3	42.6	83.9	-1.3	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	42.2	42.5	84.7	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	37.7	35.6	73.2	+2.1	56%	-

This opponent (Samsunspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SamsunsporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Antalya Güneşi

#16

53-31

+22

H12/05

TBL

OGM Ormanspor

#11

48-30

+18

A21/05

TBL

Harem Spor

38-31

H26/05

TBL

Harem Spor

45-46

-1

A30/05

TBL

iLab Basketbol

51-28

+23

H06/06

TBL

iLab Basketbol

29-29

H08/06

TBL

iLab Basketbol

47-43

A11/06

TBL

Yalovaspor

38-37

H17/06

TBL

Yalovaspor

38-50

-12

H19/06

TBL

Yalovaspor

24-33

-9

A22/06

TBL

76.9Avg total

41.1Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	35.9	79.0	+7.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	33.7	77.1	+9.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.7	38.4	81.1	+4.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	35.8	76.9	+5.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	38.4	73.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (1)	48.0	31.0	79.0	+17.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (29)	42.9	36.1	79.0	+6.8	76%	-

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	21.8	39.8	-3.7	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.1	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.1	21.9	38.9	-4.8	21%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.6	20.8	41.3	-0.2	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	16.9	38.4	+4.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	17.1	38.1	+4.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	16.7	38.7	+5.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	15.0	39.5	+9.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	13.0	37.6	+11.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (1)	11.0	26.0	37.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (29)	21.9	16.6	38.4	+5.3	66%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.2	43.6	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.5	46.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.8	46.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.9	25.3	46.1	-4.4	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.4	21.4	44.9	+2.0	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.6	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.3	38.0	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	18.4	39.1	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	15.9	34.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	15.6	33.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (29)	19.8	18.3	38.0	+1.5	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	43.0	84.4	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	43.0	83.4	-2.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.5	43.1	85.6	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	42.2	87.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	43.8	90.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.0	44.6	84.6	-4.6	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.5	43.3	83.8	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.8	41.4	85.2	+2.3	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	35.2	76.4	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	35.2	75.2	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.8	35.1	77.9	+7.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	30.9	73.6	+11.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	28.6	71.0	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (1)	31.0	44.0	75.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (29)	41.6	34.9	76.5	+6.8	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	20.9	53.0%	53.6%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	8.3	36.4%	36.3%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	19.3	13.1	67.9%	74.7%	13.1

They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Samsunsportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samsunspor: 84.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.0	50.0%	53.6%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	11.2	39.2%	36.3%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.6	71.6%	74.7%	12.6

They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	16.3	45.9%	53.6%	32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	7.1	29.1%	36.3%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	17.1	80.7%	74.7%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	16.0	47.6%	53.6%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	11.0	38.5%	36.3%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	17.4	11.0	63.2%	74.7%	11.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	22.0	54.4%	53.6%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	8.5	38.3%	36.3%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.1	74.5%	74.7%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	16.9	50.0%	53.6%	33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.5	32.9%	36.3%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	19.7	15.7	79.7%	74.7%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	16.0	47.6%	53.6%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	11.0	38.5%	36.3%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	17.4	11.0	63.2%	74.7%	11.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Tofas

LLWWWWWWLW

Samsunspor

WWWWWWWWWW

#11

League position

#16

+12.1

Net rating

+11.3

110.1

Offensive rating

116.1

98.0

Defensive rating

104.8

53.6%

Effective FG%

53.8%

45.0%

Opp. effective FG%

52.3%

18.6%

Turnover %

14.2%

33.1%

Off. rebound %

33.1%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.26

36.4%

3-point %

39.2%

62.3%

Assist %

74.2%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

100%

Profile

■ Tofas ■ Samsunspor

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tofas wins

Samsunspor wins

No previous meetings.

Tofaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/05/23	H	Fenerbahce	87-98
27/05/23	A	Fenerbahce	78-93
20/05/23	H	Bahcesehir Kol.	92-79
12/05/23	A	Bursaspor	92-77
06/05/23	H	Darussafaka	94-93
29/04/23	A	Petkim Spor	95-85
22/04/23	H	Anadolu Efes	66-63
16/04/23	A	Merkezefendi	95-88 OT
08/04/23	H	Turk Telekom	91-94
02/04/23	A	Gaziantep	83-77

Samsunsporlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/06/23	A	Yalovaspor	65-58
19/06/23	H	Yalovaspor	88-80
17/06/23	H	Yalovaspor	82-65
11/06/23	A	iLab Basketbol	85-79
08/06/23	H	iLab Basketbol	68-53
06/06/23	H	iLab Basketbol	82-63
30/05/23	A	Harem Spor	95-72
26/05/23	H	Harem Spor	77-64
21/05/23	A	OGM Ormanspor	95-69
12/05/23	H	Antalya Güneşi	101-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Samsunspor

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Galatasaray	1	1	0	100%	93.0	77.0	+16.0
2	Manisa	1	1	0	100%	90.0	88.0	+2.0
3	Bahcesehir Kol.	1	0	1	0%	88.0	90.0	-2.0
4	Merkezefendi	1	0	1	0%	77.0	93.0	-16.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tofas	23	14	31	36	104
Samsunspor	25	24	21	21	91

← all games of the day

Tofas vs Samsunspor Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature