PythiaBasketballBETA
Manresa will host PAOK in a EuroCup clash on 18 November 2026, a game that feels almost evenly matched as both sides sit at 5-2 with similar scoring averages, 88.1 points per game for Manresa and 87.7 for PAOK, and both allowing just over 82 points per contest. Manresa has been flawless at home, winning all three of its matches with an average of 98.3 points, while PAOK has split its four road outings 2-2, averaging 80.2 points on the road. In their last five games each, both clubs have won four and lost one, with Manresa's recent victories including a 100-99 win over Obradoiro CAB and a 80-66 win at Lietkabelis, and PAOK's recent wins featuring a 113-111 win over BC Roma and a 93-67 win at Vikos. Their only prior meeting ended with PAOK defeating Manresa 93-78 on 30 September 2026, giving PAOK a slight edge in the head-to-head record. Pythia rates PAOK as the favourite with a 53% chance of victory against Manresa's 47%, projecting a final score of 83-84 and a total of 167.1 points; the home team line of 4.5 gives a 61% probability of covering, while the over on 171.5 points has a 39% chance, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime. The contest will hinge on whether Manresa can sustain its high-scoring home form to keep the game within a single point.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 88.1 | 83.3 | 171.4 | +4.9 | 71% |
| Season at home (3) | 98.3 | 86.3 | 184.7 | +12.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 80.5 | 81.0 | 161.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.7 | 90.9 | 176.6 | -5.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.0 | 83.6 | 168.6 | +1.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 85.9 | 95.9 | 181.9 | -10.0 | 31% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 86.9 | 88.2 | 175.1 | -1.4 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 88.3 | 80.3 | 168.7 | +8.0 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 87.7 | 82.0 | 169.7 | +5.7 | 71% |
| Season at home (3) | 97.7 | 89.0 | 186.7 | +8.7 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 80.2 | 76.8 | 157.0 | +3.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.9 | 75.9 | 158.8 | +7.0 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.4 | 71.2 | 155.6 | +13.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 84.9 | 89.1 | 174.0 | -4.3 | 29% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 83.2 | 78.2 | 161.3 | +5.0 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 86.3 | 77.0 | 163.3 | +9.3 | 94% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.4 | 44.3 | 86.7 | -1.8 | 47% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.5 | 44.4 | 88.9 | +0.1 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.3 | 44.1 | 84.5 | -3.8 | 40% | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.0 | 45.3 | 86.3 | -4.3 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 38.4 | 78.2 | +1.4 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 40.8 | 47.2 | 88.1 | -6.4 | 25% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 42.8 | 42.5 | 85.2 | +0.2 | 75% | 25% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 46.3 | 38.7 | 85.0 | +7.7 | 67% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.0 | 40.3 | 83.3 | +2.6 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 46.3 | 40.7 | 87.0 | +5.5 | 73% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.7 | 39.9 | 79.6 | -0.3 | 47% | 27% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.5 | 40.4 | 83.9 | +3.1 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.4 | 36.8 | 84.2 | +10.6 | 100% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 42.1 | 44.1 | 86.3 | -2.0 | 43% | 43% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 40.5 | 39.8 | 80.3 | +0.7 | 67% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 44.2 | 38.9 | 83.1 | +5.2 | 65% | 41% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half: PAOK under 46.5 | 75.3% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | +17.4pp |
| 1st half: PAOK under 45.5 | 70.3% | 1.75 | 1.75 | - | - | - | - | +17.2pp |
| 1st half: Under 90.5 | 74.4% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +14.2pp |
| Manresa +11.5 | 80.5% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp |
| Manresa under 90.5 | 75.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.1 | 21.8 | 54.0% | 43.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.8 | 8.8 | 34.0% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.6 | 16.5 | 75.6% | 16.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 31.8 | 18.5 | 54.0% | 37.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.8 | 8.5 | 34.0% | 25.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.9 | 18.5 | 75.6% | 18.5 |
Manresa
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | KK Bosna | 86-82 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Obradoiro CAB | 100-99 OT |
| 04/11/26 | A | Lietkabelis | 80-66 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Baskonia | 83-106 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Balkan | 76-65 |
| 24/10/26 | H | San Pablo Burgos | 81-99 |
| 20/10/26 | H | BC Roma | 108-88 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Unicaja | 72-84 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Bahcesehir Kol. | 88-100 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Real Madrid | 83-120 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | AS Karditsas | 74-69 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Balkan | 79-56 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Vikos | 93-67 |
| 03/11/26 | H | BC Roma | 113-111 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Iraklis | 63-53 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Bahcesehir Kol. | 81-84 |
| 24/10/26 | H | AEK Athens | 65-62 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Ulm | 87-78 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Kolossos Rhodes | 88-84 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Lietkabelis | 86-95 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 71% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LLWW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 88.1 | 98.3 | 80.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.3 | 86.3 | 81.0 |
| Point differential | +4.9 | +12.0 | -0.5 |
| Avg total | 171.4 | 184.7 | 161.5 |
| Over 171.5 | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 71% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WLLW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 87.7 | 97.7 | 80.2 |
| Allowed / game | 82.0 | 89.0 | 76.8 |
| Point differential | +5.7 | +8.7 | +3.5 |
| Avg total | 169.7 | 186.7 | 157.0 |
| Over 171.5 | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hapoel Jerusalem | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 88.4 | 74.0 | +14.4 |
| 2 |  Basket Napoli | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 94.9 | 84.0 | +10.9 |
| 3 |  Bahcesehir Kol. | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 92.6 | 76.6 | +16.0 |
| 4 |  Aris | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 90.6 | 77.0 | +13.6 |
| 5 |  Tenerife | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.4 | 79.0 | +12.4 |
| 6 |  Tofas | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.7 | 82.9 | +8.9 |
| 7 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 87.7 | 82.0 | +5.7 |
| 8 | Manresa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 88.1 | 83.3 | +4.9 |
| 9 |  London Lions | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 81.1 | 75.3 | +5.9 |
| 10 |  Buducnost | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.4 | 84.4 | +4.0 |
| 11 | Maxima Roma | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.4 | 84.7 | +3.7 |
| 12 |  Le Mans | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.7 | 78.1 | +2.6 |
| 13 |  Chemnitz | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.9 | 85.4 | +2.4 |
| 14 |  Venezia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.3 | 80.6 | +5.7 |
| 15 |  Ulm | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 87.6 | 87.4 | +0.1 |
| 16 |  Turk Telekom | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.6 | 80.9 | -0.3 |
| 17 |  Tortona | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.6 | 83.3 | -2.7 |
| 18 | BC Roma | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 87.0 | 90.6 | -3.6 |
| 19 |  Siauliai | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 86.3 | -6.3 |
| 20 |  Rigas Zelli | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 78.6 | 85.3 | -6.7 |
| 21 |  Lietkabelis | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 73.7 | 81.7 | -8.0 |
| 22 |  Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.6 | 94.7 | -8.1 |
| 23 |  KK Bosna | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 79.9 | 81.9 | -2.0 |
| 24 |  JL Bourg | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 81.1 | 84.7 | -3.6 |
| 25 |  Cedevita Olimpija | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 74.9 | 79.0 | -4.1 |
| 26 |  Neptunas | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 84.7 | 90.3 | -5.6 |
| 27 |  Trento | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 82.1 | 89.0 | -6.9 |
| 28 |  Rostock | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 78.4 | 86.4 | -8.0 |
| 29 |  Cluj-Napoca | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 81.3 | 94.3 | -13.0 |
| 30 |  San Pablo Burgos | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 76.9 | 85.9 | -9.0 |
| 31 |  Slask Wroclaw | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 79.7 | 89.9 | -10.1 |
| 32 |  Balkan | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 67.4 | 80.6 | -13.1 |
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