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Real Madrid vs Manresa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 120-83
34-22 28-16 24-18 34-27
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#18
Record0-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game104.0
SpainACBRound 3· Movistar Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Real Madrid v Manresa
11 Oct 2026
MAD120
MAN83
26 Oct 2025
MAD87
MAN75
14 Feb 2025
MAD92
MAN69
27 Oct 2024
MAD86
MAN61
31 Mar 2024
MAD72
MAN83
11 Dec 2022
MAD103
MAN89
25 May 2022
MAD93
MAN76
20 Mar 2022
MAD75
MAN86
22 Nov 2020
MAD100
MAN78
17 Mar 2019
MAD91
MAN57
27 Nov 2016
MAD96
MAN70
15 Nov 2015
MAD106
MAN68
24 May 2015
MAD80
MAN90
10 Nov 2013
MAD111
MAN63
17 Feb 2013
MAD104
MAN70
18 Dec 2011
MAD83
MAN61
10 Oct 2010
MAD81
MAN63
15 May 2010
MAD81
MAN79
28 Dec 2008
MAD83
MAN56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manresa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
76avg 87
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 87
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
118-83
118
83
+35
121avg 87
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 87
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 87
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 87
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
84-94
84
94
-10
86avg 87
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
98-102
98
102
-4
94avg 87
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
112avg 87
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
76avg 87
H08/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
29-30
25-18
14-20
26-21
24-27
25-23
22-27
21-24
30-21
34-20
33-18
24-23
21-26
28-21
22-37
16-20
28-18
18-25
15-15
23-22
23-25
19-24
24-16
29-27
12-26
24-19
19-22
20-29
23-34
32-12
23-27
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
187.1Avg total
94.5Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)101.597.0198.5+4.5100%
Season at home (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)114.0107.0221.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)94.592.6187.1+1.940%
Last 5 (5)94.293.2187.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (10)91.087.8178.8+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.791.6185.3+2.142%
This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
W
104-102
104
102
+2
89avg 81
H03/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
94-104
94
104
-10
84avg 81
A10/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
75avg 81
A12/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
101-83
101
83
+18
99avg 81
H16/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 81
A23/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
94-87
94
87
+7
83avg 81
H29/05
ACB
Bilbao
#8
L
92-107
92
107
-15
82avg 81
A26/09
ACB
PAOK
#7
L
78-93
78
93
-15
68avg 81
A30/09
Eurocup
Breogan
#7
L
95-101
95
101
-6
88avg 81
H03/10
ACB
Ulm
#15
W
101-89
101
89
+12
96avg 81
H07/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
30-34
30-26
26-20
28-29
22-30
23-28
21-17
15-22
17-21
16-12
31-19
23-21
23-20
25-17
30-25
21-22
21-13
27-22
18-23
26-19
30-29
18-25
20-14
18-19
20-25
27-32
27-31
20-21
21-19
15-18
22-35
27-24
13-27
27-38
28-12
31-24
31-21
20-24
19-20
184.5Avg total
92.5Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.5104.0197.5-10.50%
Season at home (1)95.0101.0196.0-6.00%
Season away (1)92.0107.0199.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)92.592.0184.5+0.560%
Last 5 (5)92.095.4187.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)87.895.9183.7-8.238%
vs Similar (14)90.190.4180.5-0.264%
vs Weaker (3)98.791.7190.3+7.067%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
Real MadridManresa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/10
Euroleague
95.4Avg total
47.5Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.044.590.5+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.844.591.2+2.354%-
Last 30 away (17)45.544.590.0+0.971%-
Last 10 (10)47.547.995.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.696.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (10)45.443.588.9+1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.445.291.6+1.263%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H03/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A10/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A12/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A23/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H29/05
ACB
Bilbao
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A26/09
ACB
PAOK
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/09
Eurocup
Breogan
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/10
ACB
Ulm
#15
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H07/10
Eurocup
91.7Avg total
45.5Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.045.391.3+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.244.892.9+3.469%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.989.4-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)45.546.291.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)47.445.693.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.447.090.4-3.646%-
vs Similar (14)46.943.990.8+3.171%-
vs Weaker (3)52.744.797.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.724.8
58.1%
55.8%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.1
32.3%
36.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.420.6
81.1%
76.0%20.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.2
59.4%
55.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.6
32.4%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws27.421.3
77.7%
76.0%21.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLLWLLWLL
Manresa
WLLLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#18
+2.1
Net rating
+0.5
104.3
Offensive rating
99.0
102.2
Defensive rating
98.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.42
32.3%
3-point %
32.4%
55.3%
Assist %
59.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 99.0Defence102.2 · 98.4Shooting54.5% · 54.5%3-point %32.3% · 32.4%Ball care13.2% · 15.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Manresa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Manresa wins
DateGameScore
29/05/26Manresa v Real Madrid94-87
26/10/25Real Madrid v Manresa87-75
18/05/25Manresa v Real Madrid65-67
14/02/25Real Madrid v Manresa92-69
27/10/24Real Madrid v Manresa86-61
31/03/24Real Madrid v Manresa72-83
29/09/23Manresa v Real Madrid88-94
29/01/23Manresa v Real Madrid69-94
11/12/22Real Madrid v Manresa103-89
28/05/22Manresa v Real Madrid74-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26HPartizan86-76
04/10/26AObradoiro CAB114-107 OT
01/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv98-102
29/09/26AAnadolu Efes84-94
27/09/26HUnicaja89-87
24/09/26ADubai77-78
06/06/26HTenerife95-107
04/06/26ATenerife118-83
02/06/26HTenerife97-98
29/05/26AManresa87-94
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26HUlm101-89
03/10/26HBreogan95-101
30/09/26APAOK78-93
26/09/26ABilbao92-107
29/05/26HReal Madrid94-87
23/05/26AGran Canaria87-80
16/05/26HBasket Zaragoza101-83
12/05/26ABasquet Girona79-74
10/05/26AMoraBanc Andorra94-104
03/05/26HValencia104-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.589.0114.0
Allowed / game97.087.0107.0
Point differential+4.5+2.0+7.0
Avg total198.5176.0221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %50%0%100%
Manresa
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game93.595.092.0
Allowed / game104.0101.0107.0
Point differential-10.5-6.0-15.0
Avg total197.5196.0199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia220100%108.087.5+20.5
2 Breogan330100%108.797.0+11.7
3 Real Madrid220100%101.597.0+4.5
4 Basket Zaragoza32167%85.082.7+2.3
5 Barcelona21150%106.5100.5+6.0
6 Bilbao21150%104.098.0+6.0
7 San Pablo Burgos21150%95.589.5+6.0
8 Valencia21150%98.593.5+5.0
9 Tenerife21150%80.078.0+2.0
10 Murcia21150%88.589.0-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB21150%98.599.5-1.0
12 Forca Lleida21150%93.097.0-4.0
13 Unicaja31233%84.784.3+0.3
14 Leyma Coruna31233%92.0104.0-12.0
15 Basquet Girona31233%84.7103.3-18.7
16 Joventut Badalona1010%104.0110.0-6.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra2020%84.591.0-6.5
18 Manresa2020%93.5104.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid34282434120
Manresa2216182783
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