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Marbo W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-63
25-25 19-19 18-10 24-9
Position#6
Record2-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#12
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game54.5
Allowed / game79.2
SwedenBasketligan W· Kinnahallen (Kinna)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Marbo W v AIK Basket W
03 Dec 2023
MARB86
AIK 63
15 Oct 2017
MARB70
AIK 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#5
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
H12/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
62-102
62
102
-40
no box
A22/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
no box
H24/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
58-97
58
97
-39
35avg 49
A07/10
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
53-52
53
52
+1
46avg 49
A14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 49
H22/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
36avg 49
A04/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
46-79
46
79
-33
27avg 49
H19/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
83avg 49
A25/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-24
16-21
19-25
17-31
18-18
22-25
31-17
13-38
21-24
14-22
14-18
12-30
19-30
20-27
17-19
16-15
18-26
17-29
7-27
19-19
10-11
14-9
10-13
16-15
18-17
22-22
22-27
16-16
10-19
16-16
16-16
8-19
19-29
16-16
3-15
21-24
18-22
23-8
26-32
151.5Avg total
66.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)63.577.0140.5-13.533%
Season at home (2)62.080.0142.0-18.00%
Season away (4)64.275.5139.8-11.250%
Last 10 (10)66.684.9151.5-18.320%
Last 5 (5)64.673.0137.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.191.7161.8-21.77%
vs Similar (8)79.076.1155.1+2.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.771.9152.6+8.957%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#2
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H04/03
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#9
W
72-46
72
46
+26
no box
A05/03
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
113-45
113
45
+68
no box
H11/03
Basketettan W
Lidingo W
#20
W
87-51
87
51
+36
no box
H02/04
Basketettan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
36-53
36
53
-17
16avg 43
H08/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
43-92
43
92
-49
27avg 43
A13/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
64-69
64
69
-5
62avg 43
H21/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 43
A04/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
51-91
51
91
-40
42avg 43
H18/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
64-96
64
96
-32
55avg 43
A25/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
13-12
29-13
14-13
18-7
18-14
18-12
18-13
20-20
27-11
33-6
33-8
16-7
32-12
23-14
16-18
13-13
8-20
7-11
8-9
9-21
15-26
11-25
8-20
18-16
17-13
12-22
17-18
15-19
16-31
19-13
19-11
7-24
17-22
11-30
16-15
20-30
12-18
21-28
11-20
135.5Avg total
68.0Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)54.579.2133.7-24.70%
Season at home (3)50.371.0121.3-20.70%
Season away (3)58.787.3146.0-28.70%
Last 10 (10)68.067.5135.5+0.540%
Last 5 (5)58.284.4142.6-26.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)51.680.2131.8-28.60%
vs Similar (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (24)83.949.4133.2+34.596%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
Marbo WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H12/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A15/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A22/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
H24/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A07/10
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H19/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A25/11
Basketligan W
76.6Avg total
32.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.342.279.5-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.639.175.7-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.845.082.8-7.231%-
Last 10 (10)32.144.576.6-12.410%-
Last 5 (5)31.038.269.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.147.182.1-12.020%-
vs Similar (8)39.139.878.9-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.934.774.6+5.171%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H04/03
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#9
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A05/03
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H11/03
Basketettan W
Lidingo W
#20
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H02/04
Basketettan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H08/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A13/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A04/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H18/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A25/11
Basketligan W
69.2Avg total
33.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.628.367.9+11.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.326.267.5+15.187%-
Last 30 away (15)37.930.468.3+7.567%-
Last 10 (10)33.635.669.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)29.244.073.2-14.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.240.667.8-13.420%-
vs Similar (1)31.050.081.0-19.00%-
vs Weaker (24)42.524.867.4+17.792%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 62.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.516.5
38.8%
44.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.3
25.2%
30.9%19.0
🏀 Free throws15.010.8
72.2%
73.7%10.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 54.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.713.2
39.1%
44.5%26.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.75.5
19.9%
30.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws16.711.3
68.0%
73.7%11.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marbo W
WLLLWLLLLL
AIK Basket W
LLLLLLWWWW
#6
League position
#12
-17.3
Net rating
-31.6
78.8
Offensive rating
69.8
96.1
Defensive rating
101.4
38.4%
Effective FG%
34.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
22.7%
Turnover %
27.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.2%
3-point %
19.9%
64.2%
Assist %
66.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence78.8 · 69.8Defence96.1 · 101.4Shooting38.4% · 34.9%3-point %25.2% · 19.9%Ball care22.7% · 27.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 27.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Marbo W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Marbo W wins
1
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
03/03/18AIK Basket W v Marbo W87-76
13/12/17AIK Basket W v Marbo W67-69
15/10/17Marbo W v AIK Basket W70-58
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AAlvik W88-86
19/11/23HNorrkoping W46-79
04/11/23AOstersund W58-67
22/10/23HVisby W78-81
14/10/23ASjuharads W53-52
07/10/23AUppsala W58-97
24/03/23HLulea W68-106
22/03/23ALulea W62-102
15/03/23AOstersund W88-91
12/03/23HUppsala W67-88
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AUppsala W64-96
18/11/23HSodertalje W51-91
04/11/23ALund W69-74
21/10/23HHogsbo W64-69
13/10/23ALulea W43-92
08/10/23HSjuharads W36-53
02/04/23HLidingo W87-51
11/03/23HOstersund 2 W113-45
05/03/23AAlvik 2 W72-46
04/03/23HRIG Lulea W81-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game63.562.064.2
Allowed / game77.080.075.5
Point differential-13.5-18.0-11.2
Avg total140.5142.0139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game54.550.358.7
Allowed / game79.271.087.3
Point differential-24.7-20.7-28.7
Avg total133.7121.3146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W770100%87.454.9+32.6
2 Norrkoping W76186%79.464.6+14.9
3 Lulea W65183%81.854.7+27.2
4 Uppsala W64267%82.269.8+12.3
5 Ostersund W73443%69.366.7+2.6
6 Sjuharads W73443%58.361.3-3.0
7 Hogsbo W73443%68.172.9-4.7
8 Alvik W73443%72.381.7-9.4
9 Lund W73443%66.977.3-10.4
10 Marbo W62433%63.577.0-13.5
11 Visby W71614%59.983.4-23.6
12 AIK Basket W6060%54.579.2-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marbo W2519182486
AIK Basket W251910963
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