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Lund W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 74-69
19-15 31-16 13-19 11-19
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game87.0
Lund W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#12
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game47.7
Allowed / game71.3
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen (Lund)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Lund W v AIK Basket W
16 Jan 2027
LUND v AIK
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
LUND80
AIK 73
15 Feb 2025
LUND80
AIK 66
04 Nov 2023
LUND74
AIK 69
25 Nov 2017
LUND68
AIK 40
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#2
L
91-118
91
118
-27
no box
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
W
91-63
91
63
+28
no box
H25/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
86-101
86
101
-15
no box
A04/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
H11/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
83-103
83
103
-20
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
64-113
64
113
-49
no box
A23/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
H25/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
59-88
59
88
-29
42avg 57
H08/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 57
H14/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
87-94
87
94
-7
83avg 57
A21/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
21-33
21-21
27-32
21-16
25-17
25-18
20-12
20-30
28-23
17-25
21-23
29-18
14-22
23-16
24-18
24-34
11-28
31-21
17-20
12-26
20-26
12-34
20-27
9-17
17-26
15-21
22-16
16-25
13-26
15-13
15-24
6-25
22-16
21-21
13-17
14-23
23-22
22-28
28-21
168.9Avg total
77.6Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.387.0156.3-17.70%
Season at home (2)60.583.5144.0-23.00%
Season away (1)87.094.0181.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)77.691.3168.9-13.720%
Last 5 (5)67.090.8157.8-23.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.593.9167.4-20.40%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.080.4159.4-1.440%
vs Weaker (6)81.564.7146.2+16.8100%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Blackeberg W
#7
W
66-54
66
54
+12
no box
H28/01
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#16
W
62-50
62
50
+12
no box
A04/02
Basketettan W
Fryshuset Basket W
#13
W
106-54
106
54
+52
no box
H26/02
Basketettan W
RIG Lulea W
#2
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H04/03
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#9
W
72-46
72
46
+26
no box
A05/03
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
113-45
113
45
+68
no box
H11/03
Basketettan W
Lidingo W
#20
W
87-51
87
51
+36
no box
H02/04
Basketettan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
36-53
36
53
-17
16avg 35
H08/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
43-92
43
92
-49
27avg 35
A13/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
64-69
64
69
-5
62avg 35
H21/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
18-15
20-13
13-12
17-19
13-5
15-15
17-11
28-17
25-8
24-14
29-15
25-20
13-12
29-13
14-13
18-7
18-14
18-12
18-13
20-20
27-11
33-6
33-8
16-7
32-12
23-14
16-18
13-13
8-20
7-11
8-9
9-21
15-26
11-25
8-20
18-16
17-13
12-22
17-18
130.2Avg total
73.0Scored
57.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)47.771.3119.0-23.70%
Season at home (2)50.061.0111.0-11.00%
Season away (1)43.092.0135.0-49.00%
Last 10 (10)73.057.2130.2+15.870%
Last 5 (5)68.662.0130.6+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.771.3119.0-23.70%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (27)82.650.5133.1+32.196%
This opponent (Lund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
Lund WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#2
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A04/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A15/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A23/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H25/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H08/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H14/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/10
Basketligan W
85.2Avg total
36.7Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.843.180.9-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.142.279.3-5.133%-
Last 30 away (15)38.644.082.6-5.433%-
Last 10 (10)36.748.585.2-11.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.446.476.8-16.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.549.983.4-16.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.839.680.4+1.250%-
vs Weaker (6)43.033.076.0+10.083%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blackeberg W
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H28/01
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#16
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A04/02
Basketettan W
Fryshuset Basket W
#13
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H26/02
Basketettan W
RIG Lulea W
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H04/03
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#9
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A05/03
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H11/03
Basketettan W
Lidingo W
#20
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H02/04
Basketettan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H08/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A13/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/10
Basketligan W
65.5Avg total
36.5Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.226.967.1+13.383%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.226.467.6+14.888%-
Last 30 away (13)38.827.566.4+11.377%-
Last 10 (10)36.529.065.5+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.866.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.736.363.0-9.733%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (27)41.725.967.5+15.889%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.024.0
46.2%
44.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.03.5
21.9%
30.9%10.5
🏀 Free throws18.513.5
73.0%
73.7%13.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 47.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.012.7
35.2%
44.5%25.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.73.3
13.5%
30.9%10.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.7
76.1%
73.7%11.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LLLLLLWLWL
AIK Basket W
LLLWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#12
-21.8
Net rating
-31.1
87.3
Offensive rating
61.8
109.2
Defensive rating
92.9
43.0%
Effective FG%
29.1%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
38.3%
25.4%
Turnover %
26.7%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
21.9%
3-point %
13.5%
54.5%
Assist %
66.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 61.8Defence109.2 · 92.9Shooting43.0% · 29.1%3-point %21.9% · 13.5%Ball care25.4% · 26.7%Off. rebounds34.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Lund W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lund W wins
0
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
17/03/18AIK Basket W v Lund W67-83
25/11/17Lund W v AIK Basket W68-40
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AAlvik W87-94
14/10/23HNorrkoping W62-79
08/10/23HOstersund W59-88
25/03/23HSodertalje W63-80
23/03/23ASodertalje W64-113
15/03/23ALulea W83-103
11/03/23HNorrkoping W90-74
04/03/23AOstersund W86-101
25/02/23HAlvik W91-63
18/02/23ASodertalje W91-118
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HHogsbo W64-69
13/10/23ALulea W43-92
08/10/23HSjuharads W36-53
02/04/23HLidingo W87-51
11/03/23HOstersund 2 W113-45
05/03/23AAlvik 2 W72-46
04/03/23HRIG Lulea W81-58
26/02/23HFryshuset Basket W106-54
04/02/23ATureberg W62-50
28/01/23HBlackeberg W66-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.360.587.0
Allowed / game87.083.594.0
Point differential-17.7-23.0-7.0
Avg total156.3144.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game47.750.043.0
Allowed / game71.361.092.0
Point differential-23.7-11.0-49.0
Avg total119.0111.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W330100%87.345.0+42.3
2 Sodertalje W440100%90.055.8+34.2
3 Uppsala W330100%89.362.0+27.3
4 Hogsbo W32167%71.066.7+4.3
5 Norrkoping W32167%76.074.0+2.0
6 Sjuharads W42250%55.858.0-2.2
7 Ostersund W31233%69.770.0-0.3
8 Marbo W31233%63.076.7-13.7
9 Alvik W41325%65.284.5-19.2
10 Visby W41325%58.086.2-28.2
11 Lund W3030%69.387.0-17.7
12 AIK Basket W3030%47.771.3-23.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W1931131174
AIK Basket W1516191969
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