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AIK Basket W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 64-69
18-16 17-13 12-22 17-18
Position#12
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game39.5
Allowed / game72.5
AIK Basket W
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.0
SwedenBasketligan W· Vasalundshallen (Solna)
Women2023-24
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W
21 Mar 2027
AIK v HOGS
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
AIK 77
HOGS73
14 Dec 2024
AIK 74
HOGS79
21 Oct 2023
AIK 64
HOGS69
25 Mar 2017
AIK 71
HOGS49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrort W
#27
W
97-31
97
31
+66
no box
A19/01
Basketettan W
Blackeberg W
#7
W
66-54
66
54
+12
no box
H28/01
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#16
W
62-50
62
50
+12
no box
A04/02
Basketettan W
Fryshuset Basket W
#13
W
106-54
106
54
+52
no box
H26/02
Basketettan W
RIG Lulea W
#2
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H04/03
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#9
W
72-46
72
46
+26
no box
A05/03
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
113-45
113
45
+68
no box
H11/03
Basketettan W
Lidingo W
#20
W
87-51
87
51
+36
no box
H02/04
Basketettan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
36-53
36
53
-17
16avg 22
H08/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
43-92
43
92
-49
27avg 22
A13/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
22-8
28-5
23-8
15-14
18-15
20-13
13-12
17-19
13-5
15-15
17-11
28-17
25-8
24-14
29-15
25-20
13-12
29-13
14-13
18-7
18-14
18-12
18-13
20-20
27-11
33-6
33-8
16-7
32-12
23-14
16-18
13-13
8-20
7-11
8-9
9-21
15-26
11-25
8-20
129.7Avg total
76.3Scored
53.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)39.572.5112.0-33.00%
Season at home (1)36.053.089.0-17.00%
Season away (1)43.092.0135.0-49.00%
Last 10 (10)76.353.4129.7+22.980%
Last 5 (5)70.257.4127.6+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.572.5112.0-33.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (28)82.650.5133.1+32.296%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
47-121
47
121
-74
no box
H21/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
A01/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H04/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
no box
H25/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
57-89
57
89
-32
no box
A05/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
55-121
55
121
-66
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
54avg 64
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
74-61
74
61
+13
75avg 64
H14/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
8-29
14-31
11-32
21-24
13-16
15-13
19-22
12-19
20-16
23-16
21-16
18-21
23-20
11-16
16-24
11-24
18-18
14-27
13-29
15-21
17-26
16-15
9-27
9-19
16-26
11-16
23-20
17-28
12-38
17-28
9-27
17-25
22-12
18-11
13-27
20-8
19-13
17-26
18-14
149.9Avg total
63.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.068.0140.0+4.050%
Season at home (1)74.061.0135.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)70.075.0145.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)63.086.9149.9-23.920%
Last 5 (5)63.085.4148.4-22.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)66.689.4156.0-22.813%
vs Similar (4)76.865.0141.8+11.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)71.064.7135.7+6.367%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -8.6-8.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -8.6-8.6
AIK Basket WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrort W
#27
W
46-18
46
18
+28
A19/01
Basketettan W
Blackeberg W
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H28/01
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#16
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A04/02
Basketettan W
Fryshuset Basket W
#13
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H26/02
Basketettan W
RIG Lulea W
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H04/03
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#9
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A05/03
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H11/03
Basketettan W
Lidingo W
#20
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H02/04
Basketettan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H08/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A13/10
Basketligan W
65.5Avg total
37.6Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.527.067.5+13.583%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.826.668.4+15.288%-
Last 30 away (13)38.827.566.4+11.377%-
Last 10 (10)37.627.965.5+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)35.230.265.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)22.540.062.5-17.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (28)41.826.167.9+15.789%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
22-58
22
58
-36
H21/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A01/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H25/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#6
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
29-66
29
66
-37
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H14/10
Basketligan W
75.4Avg total
32.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.341.876.1-7.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.340.673.9-7.321%-
Last 30 away (16)35.242.978.1-7.638%-
Last 10 (10)32.243.275.4-11.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.843.276.0-10.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.444.476.8-12.013%-
vs Similar (4)40.835.075.8+5.8100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)40.331.071.3+9.367%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 38.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers18.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.09.0
26.5%
44.5%18.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.03.5
13.0%
30.9%10.5
🏀 Free throws13.510.0
74.1%
73.7%10.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.018.0
40.0%
44.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
30.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws11.09.5
86.4%
73.7%9.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
LLWWWWWWWW
Hogsbo W
WLLLLLLWLL
#12
League position
#7
-45.8
Net rating
+5.1
51.8
Offensive rating
90.4
97.6
Defensive rating
85.3
23.4%
Effective FG%
44.2%
41.9%
Opp. effective FG%
38.7%
25.0%
Turnover %
22.5%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.16
13.0%
3-point %
34.7%
52.0%
Assist %
62.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence51.8 · 90.4Defence97.6 · 85.3Shooting23.4% · 44.2%3-point %13.0% · 34.7%Ball care25.0% · 22.5%Off. rebounds23.7% · 32.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AIK Basket W wins
0
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
01/04/17Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W70-75
25/03/17AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W71-49
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23ALulea W43-92
08/10/23HSjuharads W36-53
02/04/23HLidingo W87-51
11/03/23HOstersund 2 W113-45
05/03/23AAlvik 2 W72-46
04/03/23HRIG Lulea W81-58
26/02/23HFryshuset Basket W106-54
04/02/23ATureberg W62-50
28/01/23HBlackeberg W66-54
19/01/23ANorrort W97-31
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HAlvik W74-61
07/10/23ANorrkoping W70-75
15/03/23ASodertalje W55-121
11/03/23HAlvik W59-81
05/03/23ANorrkoping W57-89
25/02/23HUppsala W56-98
15/02/23ALund W68-81
04/02/23HSjuharads W76-67
01/02/23AVisby W68-75
21/01/23HLulea W47-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game39.536.043.0
Allowed / game72.553.092.0
Point differential-33.0-17.0-49.0
Avg total112.089.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.074.070.0
Allowed / game68.061.075.0
Point differential+4.0+13.0-5.0
Avg total140.0135.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W220100%96.558.0+38.5
2 Lulea W220100%84.547.0+37.5
3 Sodertalje W330100%86.756.0+30.7
4 Sjuharads W32167%60.746.3+14.3
5 Norrkoping W32167%76.074.0+2.0
6 Hogsbo W21150%72.068.0+4.0
7 Ostersund W21150%69.567.5+2.0
8 Marbo W21150%55.574.5-19.0
9 Alvik W2020%56.075.5-19.5
10 Lund W2020%60.583.5-23.0
11 AIK Basket W2020%39.572.5-33.0
12 Visby W3030%50.389.0-38.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket W1817121764
Hogsbo W1613221869
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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