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Marbo W vs Lulea W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 53-66
20-16 14-13 4-19 15-18
Position#6
Record11-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game76.4
Marbo W
Sweden
vs
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
Position#3
Record20-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game59.0
SwedenBasketligan WBasketligan Women - Quarter-finals· Kinnahallen
Women2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Marbo W v Lulea W
04 Apr 2024
MARB53
LULE66
09 Dec 2023
MARB53
LULE87
24 Mar 2023
MARB68
LULE106
09 Oct 2022
MARB81
LULE72
21 Nov 2021
MARB59
LULE96
29 Jan 2021
MARB54
LULE101
10 Jan 2020
MARB61
LULE78
03 Mar 2019
MARB34
LULE90
26 Mar 2018
MARB85
LULE80
27 Oct 2017
MARB62
LULE96
09 Oct 2016
MARB65
LULE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lulea W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 59
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-98
56
98
-42
41avg 59
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 59
H25/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 59
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
73-97
73
97
-24
65avg 59
A01/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
62-61
62
61
+1
52avg 59
H10/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
93-68
93
68
+25
96avg 59
A16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
75avg 59
H22/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
no box
H23/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
48-99
48
99
-51
32avg 59
A02/04
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
16-23
24-12
24-17
14-30
18-20
16-24
8-24
23-15
13-27
8-17
10-20
23-16
18-15
22-10
22-17
27-23
16-18
12-27
18-29
8-11
21-17
15-10
18-23
26-19
13-18
26-10
28-21
22-14
27-22
17-15
16-18
16-16
15-22
8-12
26-15
13-31
9-31
17-23
9-14
149.4Avg total
71.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.176.4145.6-7.348%
Season at home (11)70.971.6142.5-0.755%
Season away (12)67.580.8148.3-13.342%
Last 10 (10)71.478.0149.4-6.660%
Last 5 (5)73.675.2148.8-1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)65.188.1153.1-23.016%
vs Similar (4)69.068.8137.8+0.275%
vs Weaker (7)86.167.7153.9+18.486%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
65avg 79
H02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
63-54
63
54
+9
61avg 79
H14/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
110-51
110
51
+59
111avg 79
A18/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 79
H23/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
85-61
85
61
+24
76avg 79
A28/02
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
96avg 79
H01/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
93-56
93
56
+37
87avg 79
H08/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
78-57
78
57
+21
73avg 79
A16/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 79
A23/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
99-48
99
48
+51
103avg 79
H02/04
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
15-17
28-21
10-10
19-18
18-20
16-14
10-2
39-20
18-8
30-19
23-4
23-13
15-27
30-19
16-15
15-20
28-13
13-18
29-10
23-27
18-16
27-12
29-18
29-13
20-17
26-10
18-16
23-19
23-8
19-13
13-17
26-17
14-22
17-23
18-26
31-13
31-9
23-17
14-9
148.0Avg total
85.7Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.859.0142.7+24.887%
Season at home (12)81.858.7140.5+23.292%
Season away (11)85.959.3145.2+26.682%
Last 10 (10)85.762.3148.0+23.490%
Last 5 (5)88.464.4152.8+24.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.576.5148.0-5.050%
vs Similar (2)65.078.5143.5-13.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.856.7142.5+29.196%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +5.3+5.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +5.3+5.3
Marbo WLulea W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H25/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A01/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H10/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H22/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H23/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
22-62
22
62
-40
A02/04
Basketligan W
76.0Avg total
35.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.341.977.2-6.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.738.976.7-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)32.844.977.7-12.127%-
Last 10 (10)35.240.876.0-5.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.274.2-6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.945.378.3-12.426%-
vs Similar (4)38.237.075.2+1.225%-
vs Weaker (7)39.935.475.3+4.471%-
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A18/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/02
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H01/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H08/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A16/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A23/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
62-22
62
22
+40
H02/04
Basketligan W
77.8Avg total
44.8Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.530.472.9+12.183%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.130.573.6+12.681%-
Last 30 away (14)41.930.372.1+11.686%-
Last 10 (10)44.833.077.8+11.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.632.279.8+15.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.537.070.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (2)34.531.566.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.829.873.7+14.088%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.817.7
39.5%
44.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.6
31.4%
30.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.112.3
76.4%
73.7%12.3
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.5
50.1%
44.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.3
36.9%
30.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws15.712.2
77.7%
73.7%12.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marbo W
LWWWWLWLLW
Lulea W
WLWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#3
-5.9
Net rating
+29.9
89.9
Offensive rating
108.0
95.7
Defensive rating
78.0
42.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
39.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.4%
3-point %
36.9%
68.8%
Assist %
66.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence89.9 · 108.0Defence95.7 · 78.0Shooting42.2% · 52.4%3-point %31.4% · 36.9%Ball care19.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 33.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Marbo W   ■ Lulea W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Marbo W wins
9
Lulea W wins
DateGameScore
02/04/24Lulea W v Marbo W99-48
01/03/24Lulea W v Marbo W97-73
09/12/23Marbo W v Lulea W53-87
24/03/23Marbo W v Lulea W68-106
22/03/23Lulea W v Marbo W102-62
03/03/23Lulea W v Marbo W127-68
09/10/22Marbo W v Lulea W81-72
23/01/22Lulea W v Marbo W97-57
21/11/21Marbo W v Lulea W59-96
13/03/21Lulea W v Marbo W95-65
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/24ALulea W48-99
23/03/24HSodertalje W83-79 OT
22/03/24HOstersund W82-69
16/03/24ALund W93-68
10/03/24HHogsbo W62-61
01/03/24ALulea W73-97
28/02/24AAIK Basket W85-58
25/02/24HAlvik W54-79
18/02/24ANorrkoping W56-98
29/01/24AVisby W78-72
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/24HMarbo W99-48
23/03/24ANorrkoping W75-88
16/03/24AOstersund W78-57
08/03/24HVisby W93-56
01/03/24HMarbo W97-73
28/02/24AUppsala W85-61
23/02/24HSodertalje W84-74
18/02/24ALund W110-51
14/02/24HOstersund W63-54
02/02/24HHogsbo W73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL48%
HomeWLWWW55%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%55%42%
Points / game69.170.967.5
Allowed / game76.471.680.8
Point differential-7.3-0.7-13.3
Avg total145.6142.5148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Lulea W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %87%92%82%
Points / game83.881.885.9
Allowed / game59.058.759.3
Point differential+24.8+23.2+26.6
Avg total142.7140.5145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%83%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W2321291%87.761.0+26.7
2 Lulea W2320387%83.859.0+24.8
3 Norrkoping W2319483%81.764.8+16.8
4 Uppsala W2315865%77.372.1+5.2
5 Ostersund W2314961%74.968.3+6.6
6 Hogsbo W23111248%74.072.7+1.3
7 Marbo W23111248%69.176.4-7.3
8 Alvik W2391439%73.780.1-6.3
9 Sjuharads W2261627%60.568.9-8.3
10 Lund W2251723%67.086.1-19.0
11 Visby W2241818%62.283.9-21.7
12 AIK Basket W221215%61.283.0-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marbo W201441553
Lulea W1613191866
← all games of the day
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