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AIK Basket W vs Marbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 58-85
16-23 15-18 10-22 17-22
Position#12
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game83.9
AIK Basket W
Sweden
vs
Marbo W 🏆
Sweden
Position#6
Record6-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game76.7
SwedenBasketligan W· Vasalundshallen
Women2023-24
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Marbo W
28 Feb 2024
AIK 58
MARB85
03 Mar 2018
AIK 87
MARB76
13 Dec 2017
AIK 67
MARB69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
74avg 50
H09/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 50
A16/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
76-106
76
106
-30
70avg 50
A06/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
40-81
40
81
-41
21avg 50
A13/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
60-90
60
90
-30
54avg 50
H24/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
64-87
64
87
-23
51avg 50
A27/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
no box
H03/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
61-98
61
98
-37
53avg 50
H14/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
69-95
69
95
-26
58avg 50
A17/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
57avg 50
H24/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
21-14
17-21
9-13
8-15
11-20
15-24
25-22
11-32
17-19
21-39
27-16
10-16
14-23
7-20
9-22
18-16
11-25
18-19
13-30
12-19
21-18
14-18
17-32
24-19
15-17
18-17
13-17
17-23
22-30
11-22
11-23
24-29
11-23
15-24
19-19
15-22
16-24
13-30
17-8
150.9Avg total
64.3Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)60.883.9144.7-23.26%
Season at home (8)60.878.6139.4-17.912%
Season away (9)60.888.7149.4-27.90%
Last 10 (10)64.386.6150.9-22.310%
Last 5 (5)66.688.8155.4-22.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)57.986.4144.3-28.40%
vs Similar (3)74.072.7146.7+1.333%
vs Weaker (13)85.145.8130.9+39.2100%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
W
86-63
86
63
+23
87avg 55
H03/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
53-87
53
87
-34
40avg 55
H09/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
67avg 55
A15/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
46-99
46
99
-53
27avg 55
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
65-67
65
67
-2
50avg 55
H14/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
87avg 55
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
81-58
81
58
+23
86avg 55
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 55
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-98
56
98
-42
41avg 55
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 55
H25/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
19-19
18-10
24-9
22-25
12-20
13-22
6-20
13-14
20-16
13-28
28-19
9-29
9-25
14-20
14-25
15-14
21-25
16-17
13-11
22-13
27-17
14-16
27-19
24-15
25-15
17-15
15-13
14-20
16-23
24-12
24-17
14-30
18-20
16-24
8-24
23-15
13-27
8-17
10-20
144.8Avg total
68.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)66.576.7143.2-10.238%
Season at home (8)69.172.4141.5-3.238%
Season away (8)63.981.0144.9-17.138%
Last 10 (10)68.376.5144.8-8.240%
Last 5 (5)71.874.4146.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)63.490.6154.0-27.10%
vs Similar (8)78.274.4152.6+3.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.569.9152.4+12.675%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -8.5-8.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -8.5-8.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
AIK Basket WMarbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H09/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A16/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A06/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A13/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H24/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A27/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H14/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H24/02
Basketligan W
74.6Avg total
32.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.270.6+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.932.271.1+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)33.636.570.1-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)32.642.074.6-9.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.444.880.2-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.942.972.8-13.17%-
vs Similar (3)39.738.778.3+1.067%-
vs Weaker (13)42.723.866.5+18.8100%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H09/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
18-54
18
54
-36
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H25/02
Basketligan W
76.8Avg total
36.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.242.678.8-6.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.039.677.6-1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)34.345.679.9-11.320%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.776.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.346.979.1-14.614%-
vs Similar (8)40.040.680.6-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.137.176.2+2.050%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 61.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.813.3
36.1%
44.5%26.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.8
29.2%
30.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.611.8
80.8%
73.7%11.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.616.5
41.7%
44.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.27.9
28.0%
30.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
73.7%11.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
LLLLLLLLLW
Marbo W
LLWWWLLLLW
#12
League position
#6
-31.8
Net rating
-9.3
79.9
Offensive rating
87.0
111.7
Defensive rating
96.3
39.4%
Effective FG%
41.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
25.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
29.2%
3-point %
28.0%
74.9%
Assist %
71.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence79.9 · 87.0Defence111.7 · 96.3Shooting39.4% · 41.8%3-point %29.2% · 28.0%Ball care25.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds29.2% · 24.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Marbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AIK Basket W wins
3
Marbo W wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Marbo W v AIK Basket W86-63
03/03/18AIK Basket W v Marbo W87-76
13/12/17AIK Basket W v Marbo W67-69
15/10/17Marbo W v AIK Basket W70-58
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HUppsala W61-84
17/02/24ASodertalje W69-95
14/02/24HNorrkoping W61-98
03/02/24HLund W78-80 OT
27/01/24AHogsbo W64-87
24/01/24HLulea W60-90
13/01/24ASjuharads W40-81
06/01/24AAlvik W76-106
16/12/23AOstersund W59-81
09/12/23HVisby W75-64
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HAlvik W54-79
18/02/24ANorrkoping W56-98
29/01/24AVisby W78-72
24/01/24HSjuharads W81-58
21/01/24HLund W90-65
14/01/24HUppsala W65-67
10/01/24ASodertalje W46-99
15/12/23AHogsbo W74-77
09/12/23HLulea W53-87
03/12/23HAIK Basket W86-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game60.860.860.8
Allowed / game83.978.688.7
Point differential-23.2-17.9-27.9
Avg total144.7139.4149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game66.569.163.9
Allowed / game76.772.481.0
Point differential-10.2-3.2-17.1
Avg total143.2141.5144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W1716194%87.460.5+26.9
2 Lulea W1816289%82.557.4+25.1
3 Norrkoping W1714382%82.164.2+17.9
4 Uppsala W1812667%78.671.4+7.1
5 Ostersund W1610662%75.466.8+8.7
6 Hogsbo W179853%72.572.5+0.0
7 Marbo W1661038%66.576.7-10.2
8 Alvik W1761135%73.680.8-7.2
9 Sjuharads W1751229%60.466.3-5.9
10 Lund W1751229%68.886.5-17.8
11 Visby W1721512%61.184.5-23.4
12 AIK Basket W171166%60.883.9-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket W1615101758
Marbo W2318222285
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