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Lulea W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-61
20-13 15-17 28-21 10-10
Position#3
Record11-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game56.4
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#7
Record7-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game74.8
SwedenBasketligan W· Lulea Energi Arena (Luleå)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Lulea W v Hogsbo W
30 Oct 2026
LULE108
HOGS43
10 Oct 2025
LULE81
HOGS90
27 Apr 2025
LULE89
HOGS63
22 Apr 2025
LULE88
HOGS67
18 Jan 2025
LULE77
HOGS66
02 Feb 2024
LULE73
HOGS61
14 Oct 2022
LULE106
HOGS58
26 Mar 2022
LULE101
HOGS66
02 Oct 2021
LULE93
HOGS57
31 Oct 2020
LULE78
HOGS74
01 Dec 2019
LULE77
HOGS62
30 Mar 2019
LULE90
HOGS94
24 Mar 2019
LULE83
HOGS76
11 Oct 2018
LULE91
HOGS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lulea W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#7
W
88-68
88
68
+20
80avg 77
A04/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
82-46
82
46
+36
75avg 77
H17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
59-79
59
79
-20
41avg 77
A25/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
94-67
94
67
+27
91avg 77
H03/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
87-53
87
53
+34
89avg 77
A09/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
103-43
103
43
+60
108avg 77
A15/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
55-69
55
69
-14
39avg 77
H05/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
86-62
86
62
+24
90avg 77
H13/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
90-60
90
60
+30
82avg 77
A24/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
64-51
64
51
+13
51avg 77
H27/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-13
29-19
24-20
19-9
27-15
21-9
15-13
14-20
15-14
16-20
14-25
29-11
29-22
18-18
18-16
25-22
20-12
22-13
20-6
30-11
20-9
21-13
32-10
15-16
14-8
15-24
11-21
23-16
15-17
20-18
28-11
16-18
25-11
19-18
30-13
12-9
23-19
16-17
13-6
140.6Avg total
80.8Scored
59.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.356.4138.7+25.985%
Season at home (6)78.856.3135.2+22.583%
Season away (7)85.356.4141.7+28.986%
Last 10 (10)80.859.8140.6+21.080%
Last 5 (5)79.657.0136.6+22.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.079.0138.0-20.00%
vs Similar (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.959.6150.5+31.296%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#3
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 65
H04/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
80avg 65
H16/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 65
A25/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
39avg 65
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
59-79
59
79
-20
49avg 65
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
71avg 65
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 65
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
33avg 65
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 65
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
91avg 65
H27/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
13-19
19-29
20-24
24-15
22-18
10-15
20-17
24-22
17-15
14-21
14-17
12-21
17-11
8-22
14-28
18-14
13-22
11-21
17-22
14-13
16-20
28-13
19-28
22-14
26-22
20-21
27-19
20-20
6-19
19-26
11-23
19-25
23-14
23-18
21-25
19-12
18-21
18-14
32-17
149.7Avg total
72.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.174.8146.9-2.854%
Season at home (7)69.974.6144.4-4.757%
Season away (6)74.775.2149.8-0.550%
Last 10 (10)72.477.3149.7-4.950%
Last 5 (5)80.276.8157.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)65.587.5152.9-22.015%
vs Similar (1)59.079.0138.0-20.00%
vs Weaker (9)77.970.7148.6+7.278%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
Lulea WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#7
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A25/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H03/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A09/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
50-20
50
20
+30
A15/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H05/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H13/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A24/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H27/01
Basketligan W
69.4Avg total
40.6Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.130.276.2+15.993%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.430.177.5+17.3100%-
Last 30 away (15)44.730.274.9+14.587%-
Last 10 (10)40.628.869.4+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)38.626.865.4+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.034.063.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (1)29.024.053.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.330.277.5+17.096%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H04/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A25/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/01
Basketligan W
71.2Avg total
35.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.139.974.0-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.938.470.3-6.520%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.477.7-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.371.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.072.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.442.775.1-10.415%-
vs Similar (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (9)38.434.172.6+4.367%-
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.9
47.5%
44.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.4
32.6%
30.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.612.0
68.2%
73.7%12.0
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.017.6
40.9%
44.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.3
33.5%
30.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.411.5
79.9%
73.7%11.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lulea W
WWWLWWWLWW
Hogsbo W
WWLWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#7
+28.2
Net rating
-6.3
107.6
Offensive rating
92.3
79.3
Defensive rating
98.6
48.2%
Effective FG%
44.3%
40.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
22.5%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.6%
3-point %
33.5%
69.3%
Assist %
69.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 92.3Defence79.3 · 98.6Shooting48.2% · 44.3%3-point %32.6% · 33.5%Ball care17.6% · 22.5%Off. rebounds38.3% · 33.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Lulea W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Lulea W wins
1
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Hogsbo W v Lulea W68-88
21/01/23Hogsbo W v Lulea W47-121
14/10/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W106-58
28/03/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W79-92
26/03/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W101-66
16/02/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W73-77
02/10/21Lulea W v Hogsbo W93-57
15/02/21Hogsbo W v Lulea W84-79
31/10/20Lulea W v Hogsbo W78-74
29/02/20Hogsbo W v Lulea W67-100
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HSjuharads W64-51
24/01/24AAIK Basket W90-60
13/01/24HAlvik W86-62
05/01/24HNorrkoping W55-69
15/12/23AVisby W103-43
09/12/23AMarbo W87-53
03/12/23HUppsala W94-67
25/11/23ASodertalje W59-79
17/11/23HLund W82-46
04/11/23AHogsbo W88-68
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HAIK Basket W87-64
24/01/24AAlvik W86-82
13/01/24HNorrkoping W56-88
03/01/24AVisby W95-76
15/12/23HMarbo W77-74
09/12/23AUppsala W59-79
02/12/23HSodertalje W51-82
25/11/23ALund W69-75
16/11/23HSjuharads W76-65
04/11/23HLulea W68-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lulea W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game82.378.885.3
Allowed / game56.456.356.4
Point differential+25.9+22.5+28.9
Avg total138.7135.2141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+85%83%86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game72.169.974.7
Allowed / game74.874.675.2
Point differential-2.8-4.7-0.5
Avg total146.9144.4149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W14140100%87.657.6+29.9
2 Lulea W1311285%82.356.4+25.9
3 Norrkoping W1311285%81.564.7+16.8
4 Uppsala W149564%79.971.7+8.1
5 Ostersund W127558%75.268.4+6.8
6 Hogsbo W137654%72.174.8-2.8
7 Marbo W146843%68.175.0-6.9
8 Sjuharads W145936%60.865.3-4.5
9 Alvik W145936%73.982.4-8.4
10 Lund W1441029%69.184.3-15.1
11 AIK Basket W131128%58.882.3-23.5
12 Visby W141137%60.484.5-24.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lulea W2015281073
Hogsbo W1317211061
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