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Marinos vs Brillantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 May 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 93-79
16-16 32-18 26-25 19-20
Position#4
Record16-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game78.1
Marinos 🏆
Venezuela
vs
Position#9
Record13-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game79.5
VenezuelaSuperligaSuperliga - Quarter-finals· Gimnasio Luis Ramos
Other2025
Meetings · Marinos v Brillantes
18 May 2025
MARI93
BRIL79
17 May 2025
MARI89
BRIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marinos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brillantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarinosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarinos
Date
Competition
Cocodrilos
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 73
A16/04
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 73
H20/04
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 73
H21/04
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A27/04
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 73
A28/04
Superliga
Panteras
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 73
A02/05
Superliga
Panteras
#12
W
87-65
87
65
+22
79avg 73
A03/05
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
60avg 73
H06/05
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
71avg 73
H07/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
89-81
89
81
+8
86avg 73
H17/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
18-18
18-20
23-15
22-20
21-21
20-31
20-23
29-16
16-10
21-18
15-26
25-28
21-18
19-23
21-19
20-22
24-28
26-14
21-17
22-26
25-22
16-21
29-17
28-20
15-15
26-20
18-10
20-29
10-14
22-15
12-20
23-16
25-17
17-20
8-20
24-16
23-22
22-19
20-24
164.4Avg total
84.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.378.1159.4+3.264%
Season at home (13)79.977.5157.4+2.554%
Season away (12)82.878.8161.7+4.075%
Last 10 (10)84.180.3164.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)83.278.0161.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)81.481.2162.7+0.256%
vs Weaker (4)84.872.5157.2+12.275%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 75
A20/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
87-67
87
67
+20
80avg 75
H22/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
79-96
79
96
-17
71avg 75
H23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 75
A27/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
100-90
100
90
+10
95avg 75
A28/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
56avg 75
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
111-67
111
67
+44
122avg 75
H05/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
115-90
115
90
+25
120avg 75
H06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
84-65
84
65
+19
78avg 75
H10/05
Superliga
Marinos
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 75
A17/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
20-18
16-24
18-20
26-26
17-11
27-15
17-15
23-18
18-24
9-24
29-30
23-21
25-20
21-23
16-23
26-21
24-22
26-16
24-31
5-19
20-15
23-29
20-19
30-23
39-12
20-21
22-11
29-21
27-28
32-27
27-14
18-24
24-16
16-12
26-13
16-24
22-23
19-22
24-20
170.2Avg total
88.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.479.5161.8+2.950%
Season at home (13)84.877.5162.3+7.262%
Season away (13)80.081.4161.4-1.438%
Last 10 (10)88.781.5170.2+7.250%
Last 5 (5)91.878.6170.4+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.881.0150.8-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.783.4167.1+0.244%
vs Weaker (17)86.578.6165.1+7.965%
This opponent (Marinos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
MarinosBrillantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarinosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cocodrilos
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A16/04
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/04
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#10
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/04
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A27/04
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A28/04
Superliga
Panteras
#12
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A02/05
Superliga
Panteras
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/05
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/05
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H07/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/05
Superliga
84.0Avg total
43.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.979.6+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.236.878.0+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.041.481.4-1.429%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.484.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.482.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.043.081.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)40.839.079.8+1.852%-
vs Weaker (4)40.237.277.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H22/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A27/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
69-35
69
35
+34
H05/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/05
Superliga
Marinos
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/05
Superliga
86.1Avg total
45.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.983.6+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.040.383.3+2.771%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.483.8+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.686.1+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.087.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.840.575.2-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.443.985.3-2.433%-
vs Weaker (17)45.239.484.6+5.982%-
This opponent (Marinos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marinostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marinos: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.6
53.2%
50.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
67.2%13.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.7
54.9%
50.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.3
37.7%
32.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
67.2%14.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marinos
WWLWWWLWLW
Brillantes
LWWWLWLLWL
#4
League position
#9
+2.0
Net rating
+9.7
108.5
Offensive rating
118.1
106.5
Defensive rating
108.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
37.7%
52.4%
Assist %
66.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 118.1Defence106.5 · 108.4Shooting52.0% · 55.6%3-point %33.3% · 37.7%Ball care14.8% · 15.8%Off. rebounds25.4% · 31.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Marinos   ■ Brillantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Marinos wins
0
Brillantes wins
DateGameScore
17/05/25Marinos v Brillantes89-81
Marinoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HBrillantes89-81
07/05/25HPiratas de La Guaira84-80 OT
06/05/25HPiratas de La Guaira64-78
03/05/25APanteras87-65
02/05/25APanteras92-86
28/04/25APiratas de La Guaira91-81
27/04/25APiratas de La Guaira86-88
21/04/25HGuaiqueries81-70
20/04/25HGuaiqueries83-95
16/04/25ACocodrilos84-79
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25AMarinos81-89
10/05/25HToros de Aragua84-65
06/05/25HFrontinos115-90
05/05/25HFrontinos111-67
02/05/25AGaiteros del Zulia68-82
28/04/25ALlaneros100-90
27/04/25ALlaneros85-87
23/04/25HToros de Aragua79-96
22/04/25HToros de Aragua87-67
20/04/25AGaiteros del Zulia77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marinos
Superliga 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLWLWW54%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%54%75%
Points / game81.379.982.8
Allowed / game78.177.578.8
Point differential+3.2+2.5+4.0
Avg total159.4157.4161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%23%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %16%23%8%
Brillantes
Superliga 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game82.484.880.0
Allowed / game79.577.581.4
Point differential+2.9+7.2-1.4
Avg total161.8162.3161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%54%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gaiteros del Zulia2219386%84.369.5+14.8
2 Marinos2516964%81.378.1+3.2
3 Pioneros2516964%80.679.1+1.6
4 Trotamundos26161062%79.578.5+1.1
5 Spartans26151158%80.277.7+2.5
6 Gladiadores25131252%86.184.5+1.6
7 Brillantes26131350%82.479.5+2.9
8 Piratas de La Guaira24121250%83.584.5-1.1
9 Cocodrilos25121348%78.177.3+0.8
10 Guaiqueries25121348%79.779.8-0.0
11 Toros de Aragua25101540%74.580.1-5.6
12 Panteras2471729%77.184.7-7.6
13 Frontinos2461825%70.678.9-8.3
14 Llaneros2251723%73.078.6-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marinos1632261993
Brillantes1618252079
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