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Marinos vs Brillantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-81
24-16 23-22 22-19 20-24
Position#4
Record15-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game78.0
Marinos 🏆
Venezuela
vs
Position#9
Record13-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game79.1
VenezuelaSuperligaSuperliga - Quarter-finals· Rodriguez A.
Other2025Neutral venue
Meetings · Marinos v Brillantes
18 May 2025
MARI93
BRIL79
17 May 2025
MARI89
BRIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marinos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brillantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarinosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarinos
Date
Competition
Cocodrilos
#8
L
66-91
66
91
-25
51avg 72
A15/04
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 72
A16/04
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 72
H20/04
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 72
H21/04
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A27/04
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 72
A28/04
Superliga
Panteras
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 72
A02/05
Superliga
Panteras
#12
W
87-65
87
65
+22
79avg 72
A03/05
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
60avg 72
H06/05
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
71avg 72
H07/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
27-25
9-17
9-22
25-26
18-18
18-20
23-15
22-20
21-21
20-31
20-23
29-16
16-10
21-18
15-26
25-28
21-18
19-23
21-19
20-22
24-28
26-14
21-17
22-26
25-22
16-21
29-17
28-20
15-15
26-20
18-10
20-29
10-14
22-15
12-20
23-16
25-17
17-20
8-20
163.1Avg total
81.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.078.0159.0+3.062%
Season at home (12)79.277.2156.3+2.050%
Season away (12)82.878.8161.7+4.075%
Last 10 (10)81.881.3163.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)83.678.0161.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)81.782.0163.7-0.252%
vs Weaker (4)84.872.5157.2+12.275%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 75
A17/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 75
A20/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
87-67
87
67
+20
80avg 75
H22/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
79-96
79
96
-17
71avg 75
H23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 75
A27/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
100-90
100
90
+10
95avg 75
A28/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
56avg 75
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
111-67
111
67
+44
122avg 75
H05/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
115-90
115
90
+25
120avg 75
H06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
84-65
84
65
+19
78avg 75
H10/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
17-26
24-15
21-30
23-20
20-18
16-24
18-20
26-26
17-11
27-15
17-15
23-18
18-24
9-24
29-30
23-21
25-20
21-23
16-23
26-21
24-22
26-16
24-31
5-19
20-15
23-29
20-19
30-23
39-12
20-21
22-11
29-21
27-28
32-27
27-14
18-24
24-16
16-12
26-13
169.9Avg total
88.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.479.1161.5+3.452%
Season at home (13)84.877.5162.3+7.262%
Season away (12)79.980.8160.7-0.842%
Last 10 (10)88.881.1169.9+7.750%
Last 5 (5)95.678.8174.4+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.482.4153.8-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.082.8166.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (17)86.578.6165.1+7.965%
This opponent (Marinos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
MarinosBrillantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarinosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cocodrilos
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A15/04
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A16/04
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/04
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#10
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/04
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A27/04
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A28/04
Superliga
Panteras
#12
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A02/05
Superliga
Panteras
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/05
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/05
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H07/05
Superliga
85.5Avg total
43.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.780.6+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.836.777.5+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.942.783.6-1.927%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.885.5+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.884.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.043.081.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)41.040.081.0+1.048%-
vs Weaker (4)40.237.277.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A17/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H22/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A27/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
69-35
69
35
+34
H05/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/05
Superliga
85.3Avg total
45.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.083.8+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.040.383.3+2.771%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.684.2+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.439.985.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.288.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.042.478.4-6.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.943.585.4-1.638%-
vs Weaker (17)45.239.484.6+5.982%-
This opponent (Marinos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marinostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marinos: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.5
52.7%
50.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.8
32.0%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
67.2%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.3
53.6%
50.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.6
39.1%
32.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.914.8
70.8%
67.2%14.8
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marinos
WLWWWLWLWL
Brillantes
WWWLWLLWLL
#4
League position
#9
+0.4
Net rating
+10.5
105.9
Offensive rating
117.6
105.5
Defensive rating
107.0
50.9%
Effective FG%
55.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
39.1%
50.5%
Assist %
68.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 117.6Defence105.5 · 107.0Shooting50.9% · 55.9%3-point %32.0% · 39.1%Ball care15.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds26.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Marinos   ■ Brillantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marinos wins
0
Brillantes wins
No previous meetings.
Marinoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25HPiratas de La Guaira84-80 OT
06/05/25HPiratas de La Guaira64-78
03/05/25APanteras87-65
02/05/25APanteras92-86
28/04/25APiratas de La Guaira91-81
27/04/25APiratas de La Guaira86-88
21/04/25HGuaiqueries81-70
20/04/25HGuaiqueries83-95
16/04/25ACocodrilos84-79
15/04/25ACocodrilos66-91
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HToros de Aragua84-65
06/05/25HFrontinos115-90
05/05/25HFrontinos111-67
02/05/25AGaiteros del Zulia68-82
28/04/25ALlaneros100-90
27/04/25ALlaneros85-87
23/04/25HToros de Aragua79-96
22/04/25HToros de Aragua87-67
20/04/25AGaiteros del Zulia77-82
17/04/25ATrotamundos82-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marinos
Superliga 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game81.079.282.8
Allowed / game78.077.278.8
Point differential+3.0+2.0+4.0
Avg total159.0156.3161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %17%25%8%
Brillantes
Superliga 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game82.484.879.9
Allowed / game79.177.580.8
Point differential+3.4+7.2-0.8
Avg total161.5162.3160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%54%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gaiteros del Zulia2219386%84.369.5+14.8
2 Marinos2415962%81.078.0+3.0
3 Pioneros2415962%80.379.0+1.2
4 Trotamundos2415962%79.778.7+1.0
5 Spartans24141058%80.577.7+2.8
6 Brillantes25131252%82.479.1+3.4
7 Gladiadores25131252%86.184.5+1.6
8 Guaiqueries24121250%79.779.4+0.3
9 Piratas de La Guaira24121250%83.584.5-1.1
10 Cocodrilos25121348%78.177.3+0.8
11 Toros de Aragua25101540%74.580.1-5.6
12 Panteras2471729%77.184.7-7.6
13 Frontinos2461825%70.678.9-8.3
14 Llaneros2251723%73.078.6-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marinos2423222089
Brillantes1622192481
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