Marquette will host Detroit on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Marquette the clear favourite, rating them 91% to win largely because of their 1-0 season record, 78.0 points per game and only 43.0 points allowed per game, a stark contrast to Detroit's 3-2 record, 70.0 points per game and 66.0 points allowed per game. Marquette's single game, a 78-43 victory over Mercyhurst Lakers at home, shows a dominant offensive and defensive output, while Detroit's recent results include a 70-64 win over Robert Morris away and a 84-63 win over Wisc. Milwaukee at home, indicating a solid but less explosive performance. In their only meeting, Marquette defeated Detroit 84-68, a result that echoes the projected score. Pythia projects a 84-68 win for Marquette with a total of 152.1 points; the home team covers the 155.0 total line with a 42% probability of the over, and the game has a 2% chance of overtime. The model's confidence in Marquette's superiority is reflected in the 91% win probability, leaving Detroit with only 9%.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Marquette winWon
91.3%fair 1.09
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit winLost
8.7%fair 11.56
Best odds100.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Marquette total 93.5 · main lineActual: Marquette under 93.5
Over 93.5
16.6%
@ 1.89-33.4pp
Under 93.5
83.4%
@ 1.91+33.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Marquette total 97.5Actual: Marquette under 97.5
Over 97.5
8.5%
@ 2.45-28.5pp
Under 97.5
91.5%
@ 1.44+28.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.44
Detroit total 57Actual: Detroit under 57
Over 57
87.4%
Under 57
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Detroit total 61 · main lineActual: Detroit under 61
Over 61
76.9%
@ 1.82+26.1pp
Under 61
23.1%
@ 1.88-26.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
Detroit total 65Actual: Detroit under 65
Over 65
62.5%
Under 65
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Marquette -35.5Actual: Marquette -35.5
MARQ -35.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
DETR +35.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
MARQ
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.25
DETR
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Spread Marquette -32.5 · main lineActual: Marquette -32.5
MARQ -32.5
no forecast
@ 1.94
DETR +32.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
MARQ
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.93
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.80
DETR
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Spread Marquette -29.5Actual: Marquette -29.5
MARQ -29.5
no forecast
@ 1.64
DETR +29.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
Best 5 market prices
MARQ
Bet365
1.64
Betano
1.57
DETR
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.12
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
MarquetteDetroit
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Detroit +24
77.6%
3.60
Bet365
3.60
-
-
-
-
+51.7pp
Lost
Detroit +22.5
72.8%
4.40
Bet365
4.40
-
-
-
-
+51.6pp
Lost
Detroit +25
80.2%
3.20
Bet365
3.20
-
-
-
-
+51.1pp
Lost
Detroit +23.5
75.6%
3.70
Bet365
3.70
-
-
-
-
+50.3pp
Lost
Detroit +24.5
78.2%
3.25
Bet365
3.25
-
-
-
-
+49.6pp
Lost
Marquette under 90.5
74.7%
2.42
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.35
-
-
-
+36.8pp
Lost
Marquette under 89.5
71.4%
2.55
Betano
2.55
-
-
-
-
+36.0pp
Lost
Marquette under 91.5
77.9%
2.15
Betano
2.15
-
-
-
-
+35.7pp
Lost
Marquette under 94
85.4%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+35.4pp
Won
Marquette under 92.5
80.7%
1.96
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.02
Bet365
1.83
-
-
+34.6pp
Lost
Marquette under 93.5
83.4%
1.88
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Bet
1.88
Bet365
1.83
+33.4pp
Won
Marquette under 94.5
85.8%
1.79
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
-
-
-
+33.1pp
Won
Marquette under 95.5
87.9%
1.60
Betano
1.60
-
-
-
-
+31.5pp
Won
Marquette under 96.5
89.8%
1.54
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
+30.1pp
Won
Marquette under 97.5
91.5%
1.44
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
-
+28.5pp
Won
Detroit over 61.5
74.5%
1.89
Pinnacle
1.99
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
+26.8pp
Lost
Marquette under 98.5
92.9%
1.39
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
+26.7pp
Won
Detroit over 62.5
71.2%
2.01
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.05
Bet365
1.86
-
-
+26.5pp
Lost
Detroit over 61
76.9%
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.82
-
-
-
-
+26.1pp
Lost
Marquette under 99.5
94.2%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+26.0pp
Won
Detroit over 60.5
77.6%
1.79
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75
-
-
+25.9pp
Lost
Detroit over 59.5
80.5%
1.60
Betano
1.60
-
-
-
-
+23.7pp
Lost
Marquette under 100.5
95.2%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+22.9pp
Won
Detroit over 58.5
83.1%
1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+21.1pp
Lost
Detroit over 57.5
85.5%
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
-
+21.0pp
Lost
Marquette under 102.5
96.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Won
Detroit over 56.5
87.7%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Lost
Marquette under 103.5
97.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Won
Detroit over 55.5
89.6%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+16.5pp
Lost
Marquette under 104.5
98.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+15.7pp
Won
Detroit over 53.5
92.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+13.2pp
Lost
Detroit over 54.5
91.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Lost
Detroit over 52.5
94.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
Detroit over 51.5
95.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
Detroit over 50.5
96.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Lost
Under 162
73.6%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Under 161
71.5%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Under 161.5
72.1%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Under 162.5
74.1%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
Under 163
75.6%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Under 163.5
76.0%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Under 165.5
79.7%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Under 180.5
95.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
Under 175.5
92.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
Under 164.5
77.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Under 179.5
95.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Under 174.5
91.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Under 170.5
87.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Under 169.5
85.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Over 129.5
91.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Lost
Over 130.5
90.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Lost
Over 134.5
86.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Lost
Over 135.5
84.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Lost
Over 139.5
78.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Lost
Over 140.5
76.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Lost
Marquette over 75.5
80.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-10.8pp
Won
Detroit under 76.5
79.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-12.6pp
Won
Marquette over 76.5
77.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-13.8pp
Won
Marquette over 77.5
74.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-15.1pp
Won
Detroit under 74.5
73.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-16.7pp
Won
Marquette over 78.5
70.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-18.5pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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