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Providence vs Marquette Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 56-78
0-0 23-37 0-0 33-41
Position#246
Record14-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#290
Record10-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Providence v Marquette
04 Mar 2026
PROV56
MARQ78
31 Dec 2024
PROV50
MARQ78
19 Dec 2023
PROV72
MARQ57
20 Dec 2022
PROV103
MARQ98
30 Jan 2022
PROV65
MARQ63
27 Jan 2021
PROV72
MARQ63
22 Feb 2020
PROV84
MARQ72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marquette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
97-87 OT
97
87
+10
H05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H14/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-25
0-0
35-56
0-0
37-41
0-0
44-46
0-0
28-45
0-0
45-42
0-0
32-34
0-0
41-39
0-0
43-26
0-0
47-46
0-0
43-39
0-0
37-48
0-0
29-34
0-0
40-45
0-0
38-35
0-0
33-33
0-0
47-34
0-0
47-50
0-0
39-37
0-0
40-39
162.0Avg total
81.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.884.4171.2+2.448%
Season at home (16)88.481.1169.5+7.262%
Season away (13)84.888.5173.3-3.631%
Last 10 (10)81.280.8162.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.678.8157.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.188.6168.8-8.512%
vs Similar ◀ (18)88.285.6173.7+2.650%
vs Weaker (4)89.568.5158.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Marquette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
W
105-104 OT
105
104
+1
H19/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H28/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A14/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H19/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
54-44
0-0
40-50
0-0
36-41
0-0
40-46
0-0
52-23
0-0
34-39
0-0
41-33
0-0
23-36
0-0
32-28
0-0
38-27
0-0
32-36
0-0
42-41
0-0
35-51
0-0
53-45
0-0
35-44
0-0
35-32
0-0
40-35
0-0
36-25
0-0
14-32
0-0
37-30
150.8Avg total
76.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.976.5151.4-1.634%
Season at home (17)77.672.1149.6+5.553%
Season away (12)71.182.8153.8-11.78%
Last 10 (10)76.074.8150.8+1.240%
Last 5 (5)71.874.2146.0-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.780.8150.4-11.10%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.672.6150.3+5.059%
vs Weaker (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
ProvidenceMarquette
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H07/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/02
NCAA
72.9Avg total
37.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.576.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.835.174.8+4.759%-
Last 30 away (13)38.140.778.8-2.646%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.072.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.642.176.8-7.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.437.778.1+2.861%-
vs Weaker (4)41.527.569.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H19/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H28/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A11/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
14-32
14
32
-18
H01/03
NCAA
73.8Avg total
37.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.972.7-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.734.371.0+2.450%-
Last 30 away (12)34.440.975.3-6.525%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.773.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.239.670.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.040.174.1-6.117%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.734.471.1+2.359%-
vs Weaker (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Providence wins
7
Marquette wins
DateGameScore
19/01/26Marquette v Providence105-104 OT
26/02/25Marquette v Providence82-52
31/12/24Providence v Marquette50-78
16/03/24Marquette v Providence79-68
29/02/24Marquette v Providence91-69
20/12/23Providence v Marquette72-57
19/01/23Marquette v Providence83-75
21/12/22Providence v Marquette103-98 OT
30/01/22Providence v Marquette65-63
05/01/22Marquette v Providence88-56
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ACreighton79-76
26/02/26HXavier94-84
22/02/26ADePaul71-68
14/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)69-79
12/02/26ASeton Hall80-87
07/02/26HDePaul90-72
05/02/26HButler97-87 OT
31/01/26AVillanova73-87
28/01/26AUconn81-87
24/01/26HGeorgetown78-81
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HDePaul51-62
25/02/26AGeorgetown76-60
19/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)70-76
14/02/26AXavier88-96
11/02/26AVillanova74-77
07/02/26HButler70-55
31/01/26ASeton Hall64-69
28/01/26HCreighton86-62
24/01/26AButler76-87
19/01/26HProvidence105-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %48%62%31%
Points / game86.888.484.8
Allowed / game84.481.188.5
Point differential+2.4+7.2-3.6
Avg total171.2169.5173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %17%12%23%
Marquette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL34%
HomeWWWLL53%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %34%53%8%
Points / game74.977.671.1
Allowed / game76.572.182.8
Point differential-1.6+5.5-11.7
Avg total151.4149.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3027390%78.765.2+13.5
2 Villanova2922776%77.270.8+6.4
3 St. John's (N.Y.)3224875%80.471.8+8.6
4 Seton Hall30201067%70.564.8+5.7
5 DePaul29161355%71.269.2+2.0
6 Butler30151550%79.377.3+2.0
7 Creighton31151648%75.675.1+0.5
8 Providence29141548%86.884.4+2.4
9 Xavier30141647%78.479.7-1.3
10 Georgetown30131743%74.473.8+0.6
11 Marquette29101934%74.976.5-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Providence02303356
Marquette03704178
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