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Marquette vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-72 (OT)
23-27 42-38 10-7
Position#290
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#170
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marquette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A14/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H21/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H04/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
100-82
100
82
+18
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
89-49
89
49
+40
H13/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H15/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
71-77 OT
71
77
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H22/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
26-44
32-35
34-40
30-21
50-32
43-37
57-45
38-56
39-44
46-29
43-20
42-42
40-47
34-39
34-29
41-36
44-35
37-33
37-42
153.7Avg total
78.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.274.5156.8+7.850%
Season at home (7)83.070.9153.9+12.157%
Season away (1)77.0100.0177.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)78.775.0153.7+3.740%
Last 5 (5)80.272.2152.4+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.281.2153.3-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.671.3147.9+5.357%
vs Weaker (10)77.964.3142.2+13.690%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H05/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
59-107
59
107
-48
A08/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H16/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
84-55
84
55
+29
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-21
30-29
45-32
19-31
34-31
31-39
31-25
35-38
26-58
33-49
25-19
43-44
22-30
46-20
39-27
51-48
30-36
26-28
37-17
47-38
134.7Avg total
68.7Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.168.1138.3+2.071%
Season at home (5)68.459.0127.4+9.480%
Season away (2)74.591.0165.5-16.550%
Last 10 (10)68.766.0134.7+2.770%
Last 5 (5)73.261.4134.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.478.7147.1-10.329%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.973.6145.6-1.750%
vs Weaker (7)77.465.4142.9+12.057%
This opponent (Marquette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
MarquetteValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H04/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H22/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/11
NCAA
74.3Avg total
38.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.270.3+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.133.669.7+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)36.035.171.1+0.954%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.374.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.875.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.338.273.5-2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.934.769.6+0.257%-
vs Weaker (10)38.131.269.3+6.960%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H05/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A08/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
25-19
25
19
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H16/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H29/11
NCAA
62.2Avg total
32.6Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.834.067.8-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.131.565.7+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)33.536.570.0-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)32.629.662.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)30.625.856.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.737.771.4-4.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.333.466.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker (7)35.031.966.9+3.157%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marquette wins
0
Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HOklahoma74-75
22/11/25HCentral Michigan85-71
20/11/25HDayton71-77 OT
15/11/25HMaryland82-89
13/11/25HUALR89-49
09/11/25AIndiana77-100
06/11/25HSouthern Univ.100-82
04/11/25HAlbany Great Danes80-53
21/03/25HNew Mexico66-75
14/03/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)63-79
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HWestern Michigan84-55
26/11/25HSouthern Indiana56-64
20/11/25ACleveland State90-75
16/11/25HBryant University68-50
13/11/25HNicholls State68-63
08/11/25AKentucky59-107
05/11/25HEastern Illinois66-63
08/03/25ABradley65-70
08/03/25ANorthern Iowa64-63
07/03/25AIllinois (Chi.)67-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marquette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %50%57%0%
Points / game82.283.077.0
Allowed / game74.570.9100.0
Point differential+7.8+12.1-23.0
Avg total156.8153.9177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%14%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game70.168.474.5
Allowed / game68.159.091.0
Point differential+2.0+9.4-16.5
Avg total138.3127.4165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Butler87188%90.071.6+18.4
2 Seton Hall87188%75.861.4+14.4
3 Uconn76186%82.461.3+21.1
4 Villanova76186%82.066.9+15.1
5 Georgetown75271%79.373.0+6.3
6 Xavier96367%78.772.8+5.9
7 DePaul85362%77.870.9+6.9
8 St. John's (N.Y.)74357%92.376.4+15.9
9 Creighton74357%74.970.9+4.0
10 Providence95456%90.483.7+6.8
11 Marquette84450%82.274.5+7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont98189%83.168.9+14.2
2 Northern Iowa87188%74.055.4+18.6
3 Illinois State86275%78.966.0+12.9
4 Valparaiso75271%70.168.1+2.0
5 Drake96367%80.864.4+16.3
6 Murray State85362%89.480.5+8.9
7 Illinois (Chi.)74357%81.073.7+7.3
8 Indiana State95456%75.870.7+5.1
9 Southern Illinois84450%79.272.1+7.1
10 Bradley84450%75.671.0+4.6
11 Evansville83538%69.873.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Marquette23421075
Valparaiso2738772
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