PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valparaiso vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-63
25-19 43-44
Position#170
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#265
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game54.0
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H05/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
59-107
59
107
-48
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-40
25-39
26-30
40-34
31-37
52-42
29-28
36-48
32-39
41-38
37-21
30-29
45-32
19-31
34-31
31-39
31-25
35-38
26-58
33-49
140.5Avg total
67.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.585.0147.5-22.550%
Season at home (1)66.063.0129.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)59.0107.0166.0-48.00%
Last 10 (10)67.772.8140.5-5.150%
Last 5 (5)64.270.6134.8-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.079.1147.1-11.122%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.375.4148.6-2.147%
vs Weaker (4)80.071.8151.8+8.250%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A15/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
94-70
94
70
+24
A01/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
74-70 OT
74
70
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A05/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
34-39
37-27
41-35
36-35
57-49
28-36
43-33
46-33
48-37
31-30
22-35
28-27
35-36
33-28
22-30
15-28
36-49
16-25
41-40
141.1Avg total
70.7Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)54.071.0125.0-17.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)54.071.0125.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)70.770.4141.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)58.067.0125.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.280.5146.8-14.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.571.0141.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (12)79.064.3143.3+14.783%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
ValparaisoNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A23/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H05/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A08/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.636.169.7-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.433.669.0+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)32.238.070.2-5.829%-
Last 10 (10)33.534.167.6-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.468.0+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.437.870.2-5.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.734.668.3-0.941%-
vs Weaker (4)35.838.874.5-3.050%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A15/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H25/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A04/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A12/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
15-28
15
28
-13
A05/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
16-25
16
25
-9
A08/11
NCAA
61.0Avg total
30.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.031.864.8+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.932.066.9+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)31.331.763.0-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)30.830.261.0+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)24.627.652.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.034.562.5-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.931.162.1-0.264%-
vs Weaker (12)37.131.868.8+5.367%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Nicholls State wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AKentucky59-107
05/11/25HEastern Illinois66-63
08/03/25ABradley65-70
08/03/25ANorthern Iowa64-63
07/03/25AIllinois (Chi.)67-50
02/03/25AIllinois (Chi.)73-77
27/02/25HBradley65-76
23/02/25ASouthern Illinois83-79
20/02/25HMissouri State66-64
17/02/25AEvansville69-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AEastern Illinois57-65
05/11/25AKentucky51-77
12/03/25ALamar55-58
11/03/25HIncarnate Word74-70 OT
04/03/25ALamar53-65
01/03/25AStephen F. Austin94-70
25/02/25HTexas A&M-CC71-69
22/02/25HUTRGV93-84
18/02/25ANew Orleans78-62
15/02/25ASE Louisiana81-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game62.566.059.0
Allowed / game85.063.0107.0
Point differential-22.5+3.0-48.0
Avg total147.5129.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game54.0-54.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential-17.0--17.0
Avg total125.0-125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois220100%92.060.0+32.0
2 Northern Iowa220100%75.557.5+18.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)32167%87.367.3+20.0
4 Murray State32167%94.779.7+15.0
5 Drake32167%81.767.7+14.0
6 Evansville32167%73.059.7+13.3
7 Indiana State32167%81.373.3+8.0
8 Belmont32167%72.380.3-8.0
9 Bradley21150%74.061.5+12.5
10 Illinois State21150%72.068.5+3.5
11 Valparaiso21150%62.585.0-22.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin330100%91.370.0+21.3
2 McNeese State32167%108.764.7+44.0
3 Incarnate Word32167%92.376.0+16.3
4 New Orleans32167%83.780.0+3.7
5 Lamar21150%79.065.5+13.5
6 Houston Christian21150%67.074.0-7.0
7 Texas A&M-CC41325%66.071.8-5.8
8 SE Louisiana3030%56.772.0-15.3
9 Nicholls State2020%54.071.0-17.0
10 UTRGV2020%73.090.5-17.5
11 Northwestern St.3030%68.088.3-20.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso254368
Nicholls State194463
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.