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Marquette vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-76
38-44 35-32
Position#290
Record6-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#46
Record12-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Marquette v Villanova
10 Jan 2026
MARQ73
VILL76
24 Jan 2025
MARQ87
VILL74
14 Mar 2024
MARQ71
VILL65
15 Jan 2024
MARQ87
VILL74
01 Feb 2023
MARQ73
VILL64
02 Feb 2022
MARQ83
VILL73
23 Dec 2020
MARQ68
VILL85
04 Jan 2020
MARQ71
VILL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marquette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H22/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
H03/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A06/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A13/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H18/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A21/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A04/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
44-35
37-33
37-42
23-27
42-38
31-43
45-53
21-37
38-42
33-37
36-41
32-46
31-38
38-39
35-40
29-37
28-36
37-27
29-38
146.9Avg total
69.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.876.4151.1-1.638%
Season at home (11)78.571.8150.4+6.755%
Season away (5)66.486.4152.8-20.00%
Last 10 (10)69.777.2146.9-7.530%
Last 5 (5)65.675.8141.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.881.4151.2-11.60%
vs Similar (14)75.073.1148.1+1.950%
vs Weaker (6)77.764.2141.8+13.583%
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A09/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
76-66 OT
76
66
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A24/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A03/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
49-39
29-28
45-28
44-29
46-34
23-53
38-36
41-32
38-29
35-22
21-34
31-27
33-29
28-32
43-34
30-33
55-34
34-30
38-46
143.6Avg total
76.1Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.167.5145.6+10.780%
Season at home (10)82.667.4150.0+15.290%
Season away (5)69.267.6136.8+1.660%
Last 10 (10)76.167.5143.6+8.680%
Last 5 (5)73.666.2139.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.080.0147.0-13.050%
vs Similar (13)70.268.2138.5+2.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.464.9141.3+11.587%
This opponent (Marquette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: +6.3+6.3
MarquetteVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H22/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H03/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A06/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A13/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H08/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
32.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.171.2-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.333.469.6+2.953%-
Last 30 away (13)33.539.773.2-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)32.236.268.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.271.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.138.571.6-5.430%-
vs Similar (14)34.936.170.9-1.243%-
vs Weaker (6)38.832.271.0+6.767%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H01/12
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
23-53
23
53
-30
A09/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H08/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
33.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.631.766.2+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.130.668.6+7.578%-
Last 30 away (12)29.333.362.7-4.042%-
Last 10 (10)33.532.265.7+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)31.628.860.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.542.571.0-14.050%-
vs Similar (13)33.830.664.4+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.131.167.2+4.967%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Marquette wins
2
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Villanova v Marquette81-66
25/01/25Marquette v Villanova87-74
15/03/24Marquette v Villanova71-65 OT
31/01/24Villanova v Marquette80-85
15/01/24Marquette v Villanova87-74
02/02/23Marquette v Villanova73-64
31/12/22Villanova v Marquette66-68
03/02/22Marquette v Villanova83-73
20/01/22Villanova v Marquette54-57
11/02/21Villanova v Marquette96-64
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HXavier66-65
04/01/26AUconn57-73
31/12/25HSeton Hall73-79
21/12/25ACreighton63-84
18/12/25HGeorgetown69-78
13/12/25APurdue59-79
06/12/25AWisconsin76-96
03/12/25HValparaiso75-72 OT
28/11/25HOklahoma74-75
22/11/25HCentral Michigan85-71
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HCreighton72-76
03/01/26AButler85-67
31/12/25HDePaul71-66
24/12/25ASeton Hall64-56
20/12/25HWisconsin76-66 OT
13/12/25HPittsburgh79-61
09/12/25AMichigan61-89
07/12/25HPenn90-63
01/12/25HTemple74-56
26/11/25HOld Dominion89-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marquette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLWLLW55%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %38%55%0%
Points / game74.878.566.4
Allowed / game76.471.886.4
Point differential-1.6+6.7-20.0
Avg total151.1150.4152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %12%18%0%
Villanova
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %80%90%60%
Points / game78.182.669.2
Allowed / game67.567.467.6
Point differential+10.7+15.2+1.6
Avg total145.6150.0136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1716194%79.963.3+16.6
2 Seton Hall1513287%73.762.4+11.3
3 Villanova1512380%78.167.5+10.7
4 Butler1610662%84.175.4+8.6
5 St. John's (N.Y.)1811761%82.074.3+7.7
6 Georgetown159660%77.873.9+3.9
7 Creighton1710759%77.271.6+5.5
8 DePaul1710759%72.968.6+4.2
9 Xavier169756%75.575.2+0.3
10 Providence158753%89.584.1+5.3
11 Marquette1661038%74.876.4-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Marquette383573
Villanova443276
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