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Marshall vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 88-81
44-32 44-49
Position#124
Record9-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#119
Record9-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Marshall v Appalachian State
03 Jan 2026
MARS88
APPA81
28 Feb 2025
MARS75
APPA57
24 Feb 2024
MARS58
APPA65
29 Dec 2022
MARS79
APPA53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marshall winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H20/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H26/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A06/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H11/12
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H13/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A20/12
NCAA
West Virginia University
#628
W
102-52
102
52
+50
H24/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
63-33
27-23
42-37
27-43
40-47
29-31
40-39
34-40
47-48
29-28
48-33
32-39
44-35
32-36
31-34
46-26
56-26
33-35
51-45
150.1Avg total
78.6Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.275.2155.4+5.064%
Season at home (8)83.672.0155.6+11.688%
Season away (6)75.779.5155.2-3.833%
Last 10 (10)78.671.5150.1+7.160%
Last 5 (5)80.467.4147.8+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.082.8158.8-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.071.7146.7+3.367%
vs Weaker (12)80.272.8153.0+7.383%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#216
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
53-88
53
88
-35
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A30/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
133-45
133
45
+88
H03/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A12/12
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
86-78 OT
86
78
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
35-26
23-44
30-44
29-26
38-49
26-33
29-34
62-21
71-24
33-17
34-37
34-33
37-38
28-28
39-21
28-31
35-39
37-19
44-54
139.9Avg total
73.7Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.966.4140.3+7.560%
Season at home (8)79.461.6141.0+17.875%
Season away (7)67.771.9139.6-4.143%
Last 10 (10)73.766.2139.9+7.560%
Last 5 (5)72.864.8137.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.571.5142.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (6)61.067.2128.2-6.233%
vs Weaker (22)71.463.3134.7+8.164%
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +2.6+2.6
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +2.6+2.6
MarshallAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H26/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H11/12
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H13/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A20/12
NCAA
West Virginia University
#628
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H24/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/12
NCAA
66.2Avg total
32.4Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.470.6-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.135.170.3+0.053%-
Last 30 away (15)33.337.771.0-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)32.433.866.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.867.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.641.674.2-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.435.567.9-3.142%-
vs Weaker (12)35.836.071.8-0.242%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#216
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A30/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
62-21
62
21
+41
H03/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
33-17
33
17
+16
A12/12
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
37-19
37
19
+18
A31/12
NCAA
61.9Avg total
33.0Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.629.562.1+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.530.066.5+6.571%-
Last 30 away (16)29.229.058.2+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)33.028.961.9+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.025.657.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.531.561.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)26.730.056.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker (22)34.529.163.7+5.464%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Marshall wins
2
Appalachian State wins
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HGeorgia State84-80
24/12/25HWest Virginia University102-52
20/12/25ATroy63-70
13/12/25HWright State76-74
11/12/25HWestern Kentucky77-61
06/12/25AOhio81-88
04/12/25ANC Wilmington69-70
26/11/25HLipscomb67-90
24/11/25HMercyhurst Lakers69-60
20/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff98-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25AOld Dominion81-73
20/12/25HGeorgia State63-70
18/12/25HCoastal Carolina67-49
14/12/25HHigh Point86-78 OT
12/12/25AEast Carolina67-54
03/12/25HVirginia-Lynchburg133-45
30/11/25AUNC Asheville55-67
26/11/25AMercer67-75
24/11/25HElon53-88
21/11/25HCharlotte65-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marshall
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%88%33%
Points / game80.283.675.7
Allowed / game75.272.079.5
Point differential+5.0+11.6-3.8
Avg total155.4155.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game73.979.467.7
Allowed / game66.461.671.9
Point differential+7.5+17.8-4.1
Avg total140.3141.0139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia Southern1712571%84.479.4+5.1
2 Arkansas State1510567%83.178.0+5.1
3 Troy149564%88.478.8+9.6
4 Marshall149564%80.275.2+5.0
5 Appalachian State159660%73.966.4+7.5
6 South Alabama159660%74.068.5+5.5
7 Texas State169756%74.871.0+3.8
8 Southern Miss169756%76.173.3+2.8
9 James Madison158753%75.977.7-1.9
10 Coastal Carolina168850%73.272.6+0.6
11 Georgia State1651131%70.976.4-5.5
12 Old Dominion1641225%73.978.1-4.2
13 Louisiana Monroe1631319%74.283.2-9.0
14 Louisiana Lafayette1631319%58.568.6-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Marshall444488
Appalachian State324981
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