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NC Wilmington vs Marshall Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-69
31-29 39-40
Position#17
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#124
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game79.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC Wilmington v Marshall
03 Dec 2025
NC W70
MARS69
07 Dec 2024
NC W78
MARS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Wilmington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marshall winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#246
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A21/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#463
W
106-77
106
77
+29
H04/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A11/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H16/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H19/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A22/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H27/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H28/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
40-44
34-38
38-44
62-33
44-44
34-43
43-43
39-26
34-34
42-30
43-30
31-27
50-46
27-33
43-24
45-19
42-38
48-30
40-32
150.1Avg total
81.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.466.5149.9+16.988%
Season at home (6)84.862.2147.0+22.7100%
Season away (2)79.079.5158.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)81.568.6150.1+12.980%
Last 5 (5)82.261.8144.0+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.569.5149.0+10.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)77.368.2145.5+9.181%
This opponent (Marshall) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#157
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A08/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A04/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A08/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
78-104
78
104
-26
A15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H20/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
36-31
34-39
45-37
36-39
38-38
38-37
40-35
30-40
55-33
45-43
51-46
33-61
45-43
35-37
63-33
27-23
42-37
27-43
40-47
156.7Avg total
79.9Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.679.7161.3+1.971%
Season at home (4)82.577.2159.8+5.275%
Season away (3)80.383.0163.3-2.767%
Last 10 (10)79.976.8156.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)81.682.6164.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.886.0163.8-8.225%
vs Similar (13)73.570.5144.0+2.969%
vs Weaker (12)78.771.8150.5+6.875%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +7.5+7.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +7.5+7.5
NC WilmingtonMarshall
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#246
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#463
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H04/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A11/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H16/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A22/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H27/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H28/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H29/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
39.8Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.932.071.0+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.331.072.3+10.383%-
Last 30 away (12)35.333.668.9+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)39.830.770.5+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)38.627.866.4+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)39.528.568.0+11.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)38.032.370.3+5.874%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#157
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H26/11
NCAA
73.2Avg total
34.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.670.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.633.468.9+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)33.438.171.5-4.821%-
Last 10 (10)34.438.873.2-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.441.474.8-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.544.277.8-10.80%-
vs Similar (13)33.233.266.3+0.054%-
vs Weaker (12)35.836.372.2-0.542%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NC Wilmington wins
0
Marshall wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24NC Wilmington v Marshall78-69
22/12/23Marshall v NC Wilmington69-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HGardner Webb88-62
28/11/25HNavy87-57
27/11/25HSE Louisiana70-57
22/11/25ARadford81-73
19/11/25HEast Carolina85-60
16/11/25HUSC Upstate73-60
11/11/25AKent State77-86
04/11/25HMount Olive Trojans106-77
21/03/25ATexas Tech72-82
11/03/25HDelaware76-72
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HLipscomb67-90
24/11/25HMercyhurst Lakers69-60
20/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff98-70
15/11/25AVirginia78-104
13/11/25HElon96-89
08/11/25AToledo85-73
04/11/25AUMass78-72
08/03/25AArkansas State74-77
07/03/25HGeorgia State79-76
01/03/25HAppalachian State75-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Wilmington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %88%100%50%
Points / game83.484.879.0
Allowed / game66.562.279.5
Point differential+16.9+22.7-0.5
Avg total149.9147.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marshall
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game81.682.580.3
Allowed / game79.777.283.0
Point differential+1.9+5.2-2.7
Avg total161.3159.8163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington87188%83.466.5+16.9
2 William & Mary108280%86.073.0+13.0
3 Stony Brook86275%74.165.8+8.4
4 Hofstra85362%77.969.8+8.1
5 Towson85362%68.664.5+4.1
6 Elon74357%88.480.6+7.9
7 Monmouth84450%75.673.6+2.0
8 Drexel84450%72.571.1+1.4
9 N. Carolina A&T63350%76.078.8-2.8
10 Hampton94544%72.867.2+5.6
11 Charleston94544%73.874.2-0.4
12 Northeastern83538%72.075.5-3.5
13 Campbell83538%76.481.2-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall75271%81.679.7+1.9
2 South Alabama96367%75.467.8+7.7
3 Arkansas State96367%79.879.8+0.0
4 Coastal Carolina85362%74.967.0+7.9
5 Texas State106460%73.764.3+9.4
6 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
7 James Madison95456%76.876.3+0.4
8 Appalachian State105550%74.567.2+7.3
9 Troy105550%88.182.8+5.3
10 Georgia Southern94544%79.880.8-1.0
11 Old Dominion93633%75.177.8-2.7
12 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette81712%57.072.8-15.8
14 Georgia State91811%63.675.2-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC Wilmington313970
Marshall294069
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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