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Marshall vs Mercyhurst Lakers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-60
27-23 42-37
Position#124
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#206
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marshall winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#157
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A22/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A08/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A04/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A08/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
78-104
78
104
-26
A15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
38-27
39-38
44-28
39-26
36-31
34-39
45-37
36-39
38-38
38-37
40-35
30-40
55-33
45-43
51-46
33-61
45-43
35-37
63-33
155.8Avg total
81.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.081.6168.6+5.480%
Season at home (2)97.079.5176.5+17.5100%
Season away (3)80.383.0163.3-2.767%
Last 10 (10)81.574.3155.8+7.280%
Last 5 (5)87.081.6168.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.084.4160.4-8.420%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.871.2146.1+3.667%
vs Weaker (12)78.771.8150.5+6.875%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
47-70
47
70
-23
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#626
W
93-43
93
43
+50
H08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A13/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-35
25-38
36-40
37-45
24-24
41-36
48-37
42-31
25-36
22-34
34-27
39-38
44-17
49-26
25-32
30-26
42-24
44-48
29-37
42-39
138.6Avg total
71.6Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.864.0134.8+6.850%
Season at home (2)89.557.5147.0+32.0100%
Season away (4)61.567.2128.8-5.825%
Last 10 (10)71.667.0138.6+4.650%
Last 5 (5)75.662.8138.4+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)61.874.9136.6-13.112%
vs Similar ◀ (13)64.868.2133.0-3.354%
vs Weaker (7)75.372.1147.4+3.157%
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +10.4+10.42nd half: +1.0+1.0
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +10.4+10.42nd half: +1.0+1.0
MarshallMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#157
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/11
NCAA
75.2Avg total
36.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.170.8-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.833.470.2+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)32.938.471.4-5.519%-
Last 10 (10)36.039.275.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.243.679.8-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.644.277.8-10.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.633.567.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker (12)35.836.372.2-0.542%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#24
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#626
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A13/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A21/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.5Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.830.762.6+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.228.163.2+7.183%-
Last 30 away (18)29.632.562.1-2.939%-
Last 10 (10)34.530.965.4+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.827.462.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.432.962.2-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.230.860.9-0.646%-
vs Weaker (7)35.930.666.4+5.371%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marshall wins
0
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
No previous meetings.
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff98-70
15/11/25AVirginia78-104
13/11/25HElon96-89
08/11/25AToledo85-73
04/11/25AUMass78-72
08/03/25AArkansas State74-77
07/03/25HGeorgia State79-76
01/03/25HAppalachian State75-57
26/02/25HOld Dominion83-66
22/02/25AAppalachian State69-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25AMiami (Ohio)71-76
15/11/25HMorgan State86-72
13/11/25ACanisius55-58
08/11/25HPenn State-New Kensington93-43
07/11/25ALoyola Chicago73-65
04/11/25ANorthwestern47-70
28/02/25HChicago State90-68
21/02/25HFairleigh Dickinson65-60
15/02/25AStonehill73-85
14/02/25ACentral Connecticut State63-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marshall
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game87.097.080.3
Allowed / game81.679.583.0
Point differential+5.4+17.5-2.7
Avg total168.6176.5163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game70.889.561.5
Allowed / game64.057.567.2
Point differential+6.8+32.0-5.8
Avg total134.8147.0128.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall54180%87.081.6+5.4
2 Texas State75271%74.065.4+8.6
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 Appalachian State64267%72.866.2+6.7
5 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
6 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
7 Troy74357%92.985.1+7.7
8 James Madison63350%76.276.0+0.2
9 Georgia Southern63350%85.586.8-1.3
10 Arkansas State63350%79.385.3-6.0
11 Old Dominion73443%75.174.7+0.4
12 Georgia State61517%64.074.0-10.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette61517%59.275.7-16.5
14 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State53260%74.064.6+9.4
2 Mercyhurst Lakers63350%70.864.0+6.8
3 LIU Sharks63350%72.782.8-10.2
4 Stonehill73443%71.071.7-0.7
5 New Haven Chargers73443%65.167.9-2.7
6 Le Moyne62433%76.777.7-1.0
7 Fairleigh Dickinson51420%74.485.0-10.6
8 Wagner5050%68.279.4-11.2
9 Chicago State6060%64.287.3-23.2
10 St. Francis (PA)4040%64.289.8-25.5
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Marshall274269
Mercyhurst Lakers233760
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