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Arkansas State vs Marshall Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 77-74
39-36 38-38
Position#54
Record22-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#124
Record20-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arkansas State v Marshall
31 Jan 2026
ARKA61
MARS70
08 Mar 2025
ARKA77
MARS74
21 Jan 2023
ARKA78
MARS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marshall winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A30/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
94-67
94
67
+27
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-41
44-27
39-33
46-41
35-29
37-48
39-36
36-40
55-36
46-31
34-30
36-41
21-25
35-35
50-29
45-41
44-28
39-36
41-28
53-39
150.6Avg total
81.2Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.469.2148.6+10.171%
Season at home (17)78.665.3143.9+13.376%
Season away (14)80.374.0154.3+6.364%
Last 10 (10)81.269.4150.6+11.860%
Last 5 (5)79.666.4146.0+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)76.176.2152.4-0.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.466.7146.1+12.781%
This opponent (Marshall) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#274
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H06/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
82-91 OT
82
91
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A22/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-51
44-34
30-29
37-33
29-35
48-37
36-42
41-35
30-35
38-44
41-26
40-51
31-32
38-27
39-38
44-28
39-26
36-31
34-39
45-37
148.6Avg total
76.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.871.5147.3+4.262%
Season at home (18)78.968.3147.2+10.783%
Season away (14)71.775.7147.4-4.036%
Last 10 (10)76.272.4148.6+3.870%
Last 5 (5)77.467.0144.4+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.573.5151.0+4.050%
vs Similar (11)69.671.9141.5-2.345%
vs Weaker (14)77.671.0148.6+6.679%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +5.4+5.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +5.4+5.4
Arkansas StateMarshall
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A06/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A01/03
NCAA
71.0Avg total
39.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.231.869.9+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.628.266.9+10.475%-
Last 30 away (14)37.635.873.4+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)39.531.571.0+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)38.028.066.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)33.637.571.1-3.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.130.069.1+9.281%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#274
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H31/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H06/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A20/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/03
NCAA
69.9Avg total
34.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.768.7+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.431.168.4+6.369%-
Last 30 away (14)32.436.669.1-4.221%-
Last 10 (10)34.635.369.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.269.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.235.571.8+0.825%-
vs Similar (11)32.232.564.6-0.345%-
vs Weaker (14)36.634.871.4+1.850%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
3
Marshall wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25Marshall v Arkansas State77-72
21/01/23Arkansas State v Marshall78-87 OT
27/11/20Marshall v Arkansas State70-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ALouisiana Monroe94-67
27/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette83-64
22/02/25HLouisiana Monroe95-70
20/02/25HSouth Alabama56-60
16/02/25HTroy70-71
13/02/25HSouthern Miss101-67
08/02/25AKent State75-76
06/02/25AMarshall72-77
01/02/25ATexas State85-74
30/01/25ASouthern Miss81-68
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HGeorgia State79-76
01/03/25HAppalachian State75-57
26/02/25HOld Dominion83-66
22/02/25AAppalachian State69-59
20/02/25AOld Dominion81-77
16/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette68-79
14/02/25ASouth Alabama82-91 OT
06/02/25HArkansas State77-72
01/02/25HCoastal Carolina67-62
31/01/25HGeorgia State81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWLLW76%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %71%76%64%
Points / game79.478.680.3
Allowed / game69.265.374.0
Point differential+10.1+13.3+6.3
Avg total148.6143.9154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%59%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Marshall
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %62%83%36%
Points / game75.878.971.7
Allowed / game71.568.375.7
Point differential+4.2+10.7-4.0
Avg total147.3147.2147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%44%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)71% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State3122971%79.469.2+10.1
2 South Alabama31211068%72.964.3+8.7
3 Troy30201067%73.065.3+7.7
4 James Madison31201165%74.470.2+4.1
5 Marshall32201262%75.871.5+4.2
6 Appalachian State31171455%67.863.5+4.3
7 Georgia Southern33171652%74.275.9-1.7
8 Texas State32161650%76.273.3+2.9
9 Old Dominion34151944%68.171.4-3.2
10 Georgia State33141942%75.178.3-3.2
11 Louisiana Lafayette33122136%65.473.0-7.6
12 Southern Miss33112233%71.376.0-4.7
13 Coastal Carolina32102231%66.871.1-4.3
14 Louisiana Monroe3272522%68.975.5-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State393877
Marshall363874
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