PythiaBasketballBETA
MBA Moscow will host Saratov in the VTB United League on 10 November 2026, and the Pythia model names MBA Moscow as the favourite with an 83% chance of victory, a probability that reflects their 2-4 season record, 81.7 points scored per game and 90.2 allowed per game, as well as a 1-1 home record with 79.0 points per game and 86.5 allowed. Saratov, positioned seventh, has a 3-5 record, 74.1 points per game and 88.2 allowed, and a 1-4 road record with 69.4 points per game and 94.8 allowed; their last five games show only one win. The teams have met ten times, with MBA Moscow winning seven and Saratov three, the most recent contest ending 94-83 in favour of Saratov. Pythia projects a 86-74 score, 160.3 total points, and an 83% probability that MBA Moscow covers the spread, while the over is 17% likely; a 3% chance of overtime. The last game in the series, where Saratov beat MBA Moscow 94-83, remains the most recent concrete result.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 82.1 | 91.7 | 173.9 | -9.6 | 29% |
| Season at home (2) | 79.0 | 86.5 | 165.5 | -7.5 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 83.4 | 93.8 | 177.2 | -10.4 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.3 | 88.6 | 164.9 | -12.3 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.6 | 93.6 | 178.2 | -9.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 73.9 | 88.0 | 161.9 | -14.1 | 13% |
| vs Similar (7) | 84.4 | 83.0 | 167.4 | +1.4 | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 86.6 | 73.0 | 159.6 | +13.6 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 72.8 | 87.2 | 160.0 | -14.4 | 33% |
| Season at home (4) | 77.0 | 77.8 | 154.8 | -0.8 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 69.4 | 94.8 | 164.2 | -25.4 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.9 | 87.1 | 158.0 | -16.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 71.6 | 94.6 | 166.2 | -23.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 66.3 | 89.0 | 155.2 | -22.7 | 12% |
| vs Similar (2) | 77.0 | 66.5 | 143.5 | +10.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 86.0 | 84.3 | 170.3 | +1.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.3 | 42.9 | 83.2 | -2.7 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.4 | 44.4 | 84.7 | -4.0 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.2 | 41.7 | 81.9 | -1.5 | 44% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.7 | 42.9 | 81.6 | -4.2 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 43.0 | 85.0 | -1.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 36.6 | 46.5 | 83.1 | -9.9 | 20% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 42.9 | 43.3 | 86.1 | -0.4 | 43% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 44.9 | 36.0 | 80.9 | +8.9 | 88% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.5 | 43.3 | 75.8 | -10.9 | 23% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 33.2 | 42.5 | 75.7 | -9.3 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 31.7 | 44.1 | 75.9 | -12.4 | 27% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.9 | 43.7 | 74.6 | -12.8 | 10% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.4 | 49.2 | 79.6 | -18.8 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 31.1 | 44.8 | 75.8 | -13.7 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 40.5 | 32.5 | 73.0 | +8.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 38.7 | 38.7 | 77.3 | +0.0 | 67% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.6 | 16.7 | 49.7% | - | 33.4 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.0 | 7.9 | 35.9% | - | 23.7 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.1 | 11.4 | 70.8% | - | 11.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18/10/26 | Saratov v MBA Moscow | 94-83 |
| 25/03/26 | Saratov v MBA Moscow | 73-91 |
| 10/12/25 | MBA Moscow v Saratov | 95-90 |
| 19/11/25 | MBA Moscow v Saratov | 77-73 |
| 02/11/25 | Saratov v MBA Moscow | 75-80 |
| 06/04/25 | Saratov v MBA Moscow | 88-69 |
| 11/03/25 | MBA Moscow v Saratov | 85-95 |
| 30/11/24 | MBA Moscow v Saratov | 88-81 |
| 15/10/24 | Saratov v MBA Moscow | 68-76 |
| 17/04/24 | Saratov v MBA Moscow | 79-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Uralmash Ekaterinburg | 85-101 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Enisey | 106-99 OT |
| 22/10/26 | A | Unics Kazan | 56-83 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Saratov | 83-94 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Parma Perm | 93-91 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Lokomotiv Kuban | 87-92 |
| 27/09/26 | H | CSKA Moscow | 65-82 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Unics Kazan | 63-74 |
| 28/04/26 | A | Unics Kazan | 63-83 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Unics Kazan | 62-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Unics Kazan | 62-79 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Dynamo Vladivostok | 73-98 |
| 23/10/26 | A | CSKA Moscow | 55-117 |
| 18/10/26 | H | MBA Moscow | 94-83 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Lokomotiv Kuban | 74-96 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Zenit Petersburg | 71-91 |
| 06/10/26 | A | Enisey | 74-72 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Uralmash Ekaterinburg | 75-80 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Samara | 77-69 |
| 22/04/26 | A | Uralmash Ekaterinburg | 54-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 29% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LLLWL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| Win % | 29% | 50% | 20% |
| Points / game | 82.1 | 79.0 | 83.4 |
| Allowed / game | 91.7 | 86.5 | 93.8 |
| Point differential | -9.6 | -7.5 | -10.4 |
| Avg total | 173.9 | 165.5 | 177.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 33% |
| Home | WLWL | 50% |
| Away | WLLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Points / game | 72.8 | 77.0 | 69.4 |
| Allowed / game | 87.2 | 77.8 | 94.8 |
| Point differential | -14.4 | -0.8 | -25.4 |
| Avg total | 160.0 | 154.8 | 164.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Moscow | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 90.4 | 70.1 | +20.2 |
| 2 |  Lokomotiv Kuban | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 91.4 | 76.5 | +14.9 |
| 3 |  Unics Kazan | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 94.2 | 75.4 | +18.9 |
| 4 |  Zenit Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 84.2 | 77.2 | +7.0 |
| 5 |  Parma Perm | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 89.6 | 86.8 | +2.9 |
| 6 |  Uralmash Ekaterinburg | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 83.9 | 84.6 | -0.8 |
| 7 |  Dynamo Vladivostok | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 88.9 | 94.1 | -5.2 |
| 8 | Saratov | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 72.8 | 87.2 | -14.4 |
| 9 | MBA Moscow | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 82.1 | 91.7 | -9.6 |
| 10 |  Enisey | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 81.4 | 88.7 | -7.3 |
| 11 |  Samara | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0% | 69.4 | 97.1 | -27.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBA Moscow | 25 | 33 | 29 | 16 | 103 |
| Saratov | 19 | 17 | 15 | 22 | 73 |
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