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Mechelen W vs Liege W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 95-50
25-17 15-10 27-13 28-10
Position#1
Record16-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game53.8
Mechelen W 🏆
Belgium
vs
Liege W
Belgium
Position#5
Record8-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game66.2
BelgiumTop Division WomenRound 19· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Women2023-24
Meetings · Mechelen W v Liege W
03 Oct 2026
MECH92
LIEG50
19 Oct 2025
MECH88
LIEG48
26 Jan 2025
MECH85
LIEG42
03 Mar 2024
MECH95
LIEG50
15 Apr 2023
MECH99
LIEG50
26 Mar 2023
MECH99
LIEG54
20 Mar 2022
MECH63
LIEG56
27 Feb 2021
MECH102
LIEG106
07 Mar 2020
MECH94
LIEG90
03 Apr 2019
MECH83
LIEG81
22 Dec 2018
MECH63
LIEG76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Liege W
#5
W
78-35
78
35
+43
76avg 83
A09/12
Top Division Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#28
W
75-70
75
70
+5
63avg 83
H14/12
EuroCup Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
119-49
119
49
+70
120avg 83
H17/12
Top Division Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#28
L
58-69
58
69
-11
48avg 83
A20/12
EuroCup Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
99-66
99
66
+33
92avg 83
A23/12
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
64-55
64
55
+9
56avg 83
A13/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
105-62
105
62
+43
104avg 83
H21/01
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
105-57
105
57
+48
108avg 83
H28/01
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
W
99-60
99
60
+39
no box
H18/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
106-49
106
49
+57
no box
A24/02
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
20-8
21-8
14-10
18-13
12-19
20-19
25-19
33-14
27-12
30-8
29-15
14-21
9-19
19-16
16-13
22-24
22-12
33-12
22-18
12-16
17-19
20-11
15-9
35-18
25-8
23-19
22-17
24-12
29-9
29-12
23-24
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
148.0Avg total
90.8Scored
57.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.553.8147.3+39.7100%
Season at home (8)101.453.9155.2+47.5100%
Season away (8)85.653.8139.4+31.9100%
Last 10 (10)90.857.2148.0+33.690%
Last 5 (5)95.856.6152.4+39.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.073.2151.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.457.8149.2+33.692%
This opponent (Liege W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liege WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#4
L
60-73
60
73
-13
47avg 60
A25/11
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
51-103
51
103
-52
37avg 60
A02/12
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
35-78
35
78
-43
25avg 60
H09/12
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#9
W
63-43
63
43
+20
53avg 60
A16/12
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
101-39
101
39
+62
101avg 60
A22/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
60-71
60
71
-11
53avg 60
H06/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
60-79
60
79
-19
50avg 60
A13/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
59-73
59
73
-14
56avg 60
H20/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
77-56
77
56
+21
76avg 60
H27/01
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
51-85
51
85
-34
no box
H17/02
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
15-12
15-21
13-19
16-31
10-26
19-20
6-26
9-23
8-20
8-21
10-14
22-14
21-14
10-8
10-7
23-5
34-14
23-8
21-12
20-11
13-18
9-20
18-22
20-21
11-18
11-24
18-16
19-14
11-15
17-20
12-24
16-17
25-13
13-16
23-10
–
–
–
–
131.7Avg total
61.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)65.366.2131.5-0.950%
Season at home (8)64.267.6131.9-3.450%
Season away (8)66.464.8131.1+1.650%
Last 10 (10)61.770.0131.7-8.330%
Last 5 (5)61.472.8134.2-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)57.183.4140.5-26.320%
vs Similar (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
vs Weaker (14)78.857.6136.4+21.286%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +11.2+11.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +11.2+11.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
Mechelen WLiege W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege W
#5
W
43-17
43
17
+26
A09/12
Top Division Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#28
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H14/12
EuroCup Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H17/12
Top Division Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#28
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A20/12
EuroCup Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A23/12
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A13/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H21/01
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
53-21
53
21
+32
H28/01
Top Division Women
71.9Avg total
42.8Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)45.630.676.2+15.075%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.930.178.1+17.879%-
Last 30 away (14)43.331.174.4+12.271%-
Last 10 (8)42.829.171.9+13.662%-
Last 5 (5)41.831.673.4+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.540.082.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.129.075.2+17.179%-
This opponent (Liege W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liege WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A25/11
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A02/12
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
17-43
17
43
-26
H09/12
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A16/12
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
57-19
57
19
+38
A22/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H06/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H20/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H27/01
Top Division Women
68.6Avg total
34.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.834.570.3+1.362%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.735.967.6-4.262%-
Last 30 away (16)39.133.372.4+5.862%-
Last 10 (9)34.434.168.6+0.356%-
Last 5 (5)38.429.267.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)28.642.270.9-13.629%-
vs Similar (1)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (14)42.026.168.1+15.993%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.6
52.3%
46.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.8
38.0%
31.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.816.1
73.9%
71.8%16.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liege Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege W: 63.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.719.1
42.7%
46.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.23.9
29.5%
31.6%11.7
🏀 Free throws19.813.7
69.2%
71.8%13.7
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen W
WWWWWWLWWW
Liege W
LWLLLWWLLL
#1
League position
#5
+35.7
Net rating
-4.1
112.9
Offensive rating
83.4
77.2
Defensive rating
87.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
43.1%
42.2%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
24.7%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.0%
3-point %
29.5%
53.2%
Assist %
58.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 83.4Defence77.2 · 87.4Shooting53.8% · 43.1%3-point %38.0% · 29.5%Ball care17.4% · 24.7%Off. rebounds31.9% · 25.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Mechelen W   ■ Liege W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mechelen W wins
2
Liege W wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Liege W v Mechelen W35-78
15/04/23Mechelen W v Liege W99-50
13/04/23Liege W v Mechelen W45-95
26/03/23Mechelen W v Liege W99-54
12/11/22Liege W v Mechelen W25-64
20/03/22Mechelen W v Liege W63-56
20/11/21Liege W v Mechelen W42-75
27/02/21Mechelen W v Liege W102-106 OT
07/03/20Mechelen W v Liege W94-90 OT
02/11/19Liege W v Mechelen W71-69
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24ACharleroi W106-49
18/02/24HKortrijk W99-60
28/01/24HLaarne W105-57
21/01/24HWaregem W105-62
13/01/24ANamur W64-55
23/12/23APhantoms W99-66
20/12/23AGernika Bizkaia W58-69
17/12/23HBrunehaut W119-49
14/12/23HGernika Bizkaia W75-70
09/12/23ALiege W78-35
Liege Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HBraine W51-85
27/01/24HBrunehaut W77-56
20/01/24HNamur W59-73
13/01/24AWaregem W60-79
06/01/24HCharleroi W60-71
22/12/23ALaarne W101-39
16/12/23ALummen W63-43
09/12/23HMechelen W35-78
02/12/23ABraine W51-103
25/11/23APhantoms W60-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.5101.485.6
Allowed / game53.853.953.8
Point differential+39.7+47.5+31.9
Avg total147.3155.2139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liege W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game65.364.266.4
Allowed / game66.267.664.8
Point differential-0.9-3.4+1.6
Avg total131.5131.9131.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W16160100%93.553.8+39.7
2 Braine W1817194%91.454.9+36.6
3 Phantoms W1712571%76.569.3+7.2
4 Namur W1712571%69.965.8+4.1
5 Liege W168850%65.366.2-0.9
6 Waregem W1771041%70.676.4-5.8
7 Charleroi W1771041%67.478.5-11.1
8 Kortrijk W1771041%66.277.5-11.3
9 Lummen W1741324%60.476.5-16.1
10 Brunehaut W1821611%62.180.5-18.4
11 Laarne W1821611%58.880.2-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen W2515272895
Liege W1710131050
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