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Mechelen W vs Liege W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:15
Final 88-48
26-12 22-11 23-4 17-21
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game49.6
Mechelen W 🏆
Belgium
vs
Liege W
Belgium
Position#7
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game71.6
BelgiumTop Division Women· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Women2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen W v Liege W
03 Oct 2026
MECH92
LIEG50
19 Oct 2025
MECH88
LIEG48
26 Jan 2025
MECH85
LIEG42
03 Mar 2024
MECH95
LIEG50
15 Apr 2023
MECH99
LIEG50
26 Mar 2023
MECH99
LIEG54
20 Mar 2022
MECH63
LIEG56
27 Feb 2021
MECH102
LIEG106
07 Mar 2020
MECH94
LIEG90
03 Apr 2019
MECH83
LIEG81
22 Dec 2018
MECH63
LIEG76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Braine W
#1
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 82
H18/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
63avg 82
A20/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 82
A22/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
90-58
90
58
+32
86avg 82
A13/09
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
96-48
96
48
+48
98avg 82
H21/09
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
78-51
78
51
+27
64avg 82
A27/09
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
110-49
110
49
+61
113avg 82
H05/10
Top Division Women
Sepsi SIC W
#43
W
91-55
91
55
+36
98avg 82
H09/10
EuroCup Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
79-42
79
42
+37
77avg 82
A12/10
Top Division Women
San Giovanni W
#33
W
72-54
72
54
+18
72avg 82
A15/10
EuroCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
13-15
24-14
21-23
16-12
14-23
21-21
18-13
21-17
19-22
11-20
18-22
20-19
26-11
18-12
26-16
27-13
21-9
23-11
25-15
16-9
14-17
29-14
19-11
34-17
35-13
22-10
19-9
22-18
20-15
31-12
18-10
17-16
17-13
26-11
19-2
19-15
17-18
17-11
19-10
142.8Avg total
83.9Scored
58.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.649.6140.2+41.0100%
Season at home (2)103.048.5151.5+54.5100%
Season away (3)82.350.3132.7+32.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.958.9142.8+25.080%
Last 5 (5)86.050.2136.2+35.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)70.672.4143.0-1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.755.9144.6+32.8100%
This opponent (Liege W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liege WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 54
H15/03
Top Division Women
Donza W
#8
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
A22/03
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 54
H29/03
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
72-54
72
54
+18
68avg 54
H03/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A06/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 54
H10/09
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
74-57
74
57
+17
67avg 54
A20/09
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
61-81
61
81
-20
52avg 54
H27/09
Top Division Women
Donza W
#5
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
A04/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
60-78
60
78
-18
54avg 54
H11/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
14-23
15-16
29-18
11-25
11-21
13-15
24-20
22-14
15-27
17-14
16-18
18-17
22-18
25-10
7-9
–
–
–
–
23-14
16-10
10-19
18-21
15-18
15-12
16-11
28-16
17-26
13-17
15-22
16-16
–
–
–
–
15-19
18-15
10-28
17-16
139.6Avg total
68.6Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.871.6137.4-5.840%
Season at home (3)62.774.3137.0-11.733%
Season away (2)70.567.5138.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)68.671.0139.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)65.871.6137.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)56.177.1133.2-21.012%
vs Similar (5)62.075.8137.8-13.80%
vs Weaker (9)74.461.1135.6+13.378%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +8.6+8.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +8.6+8.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Mechelen WLiege W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braine W
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H18/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A20/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A13/09
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H21/09
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A27/09
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
69-30
69
30
+39
H05/10
Top Division Women
Sepsi SIC W
#43
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H09/10
EuroCup Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A12/10
Top Division Women
San Giovanni W
#33
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/10
EuroCup Women
71.6Avg total
40.7Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.929.773.5+14.283%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.527.875.2+19.777%-
Last 30 away (17)41.131.172.2+10.088%-
Last 10 (10)40.730.971.6+9.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.230.272.4+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)32.435.668.0-3.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.228.574.6+17.796%-
This opponent (Liege W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liege WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phantoms W
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/03
Top Division Women
Donza W
#8
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A22/03
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H29/03
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H10/09
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A20/09
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H27/09
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/10
Top Division Women
70.2Avg total
33.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)31.436.367.7-5.032%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.334.767.9-1.427%-
Last 30 away (13)29.238.267.4-9.138%-
Last 10 (8)33.536.870.2-3.225%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.267.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.740.268.9-11.612%-
vs Similar (4)27.037.064.0-10.025%-
vs Weaker (8)38.928.167.0+10.875%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.623.8
50.0%
46.2%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.1
30.3%
28.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws23.517.3
73.6%
68.5%17.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liege Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege W: 64.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.318.4
44.6%
46.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.2
28.9%
28.7%15.6
🏀 Free throws18.612.3
66.1%
68.5%12.3
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen W
WWWWWWWLLW
Liege W
LLLWWWWLLW
#1
League position
#7
+31.2
Net rating
-2.9
106.3
Offensive rating
86.0
75.1
Defensive rating
88.9
48.7%
Effective FG%
44.2%
37.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
25.8%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.3%
3-point %
28.9%
55.2%
Assist %
63.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 86.0Defence75.1 · 88.9Shooting48.7% · 44.2%3-point %30.3% · 28.9%Ball care18.9% · 25.8%Off. rebounds38.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Mechelen W   ■ Liege W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Mechelen W wins
0
Liege W wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Mechelen W v Liege W85-42
14/11/24Liege W v Mechelen W36-77
03/03/24Mechelen W v Liege W95-50
09/12/23Liege W v Mechelen W35-78
15/04/23Mechelen W v Liege W99-50
13/04/23Liege W v Mechelen W45-95
26/03/23Mechelen W v Liege W99-54
12/11/22Liege W v Mechelen W25-64
20/03/22Mechelen W v Liege W63-56
20/11/21Liege W v Mechelen W42-75
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ASan Giovanni W72-54
12/10/25ASpirou Basket W79-42
09/10/25HSepsi SIC W91-55
05/10/25HLummen W110-49
27/09/25APhantoms W78-51
21/09/25HCharleroi W96-48
13/09/25AJeugd Gentson W90-58
22/04/25ABraine W69-81
20/04/25ABraine W77-82 OT
18/04/25HBraine W77-69
Liege Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HBraine W60-78
04/10/25ADonza W67-78
27/09/25HKortrijk W61-81
20/09/25ALummen W74-57
10/09/25HNamur W67-64
06/04/25AJeugd Gentson W75-69
03/04/25HLummen W72-54
29/03/25HJeugd Gentson W70-73
22/03/25ADonza W59-81
15/03/25HPhantoms W81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.6103.082.3
Allowed / game49.648.550.3
Point differential+41.0+54.5+32.0
Avg total140.2151.5132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liege W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game65.862.770.5
Allowed / game71.674.367.5
Point differential-5.8-11.7+3.0
Avg total137.4137.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braine W660100%87.045.3+41.7
2 Mechelen W550100%90.649.6+41.0
3 Kortrijk W65183%79.867.7+12.2
4 Namur W54180%83.657.6+26.0
5 Donza W63350%78.279.3-1.2
6 Jeugd Gentson W63350%65.368.3-3.0
7 Phantoms W63350%68.572.0-3.5
8 Liege W52340%65.871.6-5.8
9 Spirou Basket W62433%59.275.3-16.2
10 Waregem W61517%58.576.3-17.8
11 Charleroi W5050%57.686.4-28.8
12 Lummen W6060%52.591.7-39.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen W2622231788
Liege W121142148
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