PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mechelen W vs Lummen W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:15
Final 110-49
34-17 35-13 22-10 19-9
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game52.3
Mechelen W 🏆
Belgium
vs
Lummen W
Belgium
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game55.3
Allowed / game85.7
BelgiumTop Division Women· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Women2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen W v Lummen W
27 Feb 2027
MECH v LUMM
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
MECH110
LUMM49
19 Jan 2025
MECH101
LUMM47
19 Nov 2023
MECH106
LUMM34
05 Nov 2022
MECH82
LUMM42
04 Dec 2021
MECH83
LUMM48
23 Jan 2021
MECH74
LUMM65
05 Oct 2019
MECH90
LUMM62
26 Jan 2019
MECH80
LUMM43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lummen W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#7
W
99-73
99
73
+26
91avg 79
A03/04
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
88-53
88
53
+35
no box
H06/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 79
A11/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
66avg 79
H13/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 79
H18/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
63avg 79
A20/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 79
A22/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
90-58
90
58
+32
86avg 79
A13/09
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
96-48
96
48
+48
98avg 79
H21/09
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
78-51
78
51
+27
64avg 79
A27/09
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
22-16
32-20
24-18
23-6
21-11
25-22
19-14
23-16
24-15
23-14
12-22
22-22
16-17
17-26
22-4
19-17
13-15
24-14
21-23
16-12
14-23
21-21
18-13
21-17
19-22
11-20
18-22
20-19
26-11
18-12
26-16
27-13
21-9
23-11
25-15
16-9
14-17
29-14
19-11
148.4Avg total
83.3Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.052.3140.3+35.7100%
Season at home (1)96.048.0144.0+48.0100%
Season away (2)84.054.5138.5+29.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.365.1148.4+18.280%
Last 5 (5)82.064.0146.0+18.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.064.0124.0-4.00%
vs Similar (5)70.672.4143.0-1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.556.6147.1+33.9100%
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lummen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
L
62-112
62
112
-50
50avg 42
A15/02
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
L
58-65
58
65
-7
43avg 42
H22/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
77-64
77
64
+13
70avg 42
A01/03
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
37-100
37
100
-63
18avg 42
A15/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
48-91
48
91
-43
31avg 42
H22/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
43-142
43
142
-99
32avg 42
A28/03
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
L
54-72
54
72
-18
47avg 42
A03/04
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
L
59-74
59
74
-15
52avg 42
A12/09
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
L
57-74
57
74
-17
37avg 42
H20/09
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
50-109
50
109
-59
30avg 42
A27/09
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
13-35
13-22
11-27
10-17
11-13
19-12
18-23
15-12
17-13
24-16
21-23
7-21
12-26
11-28
7-25
9-29
15-17
14-14
10-31
4-42
12-36
15-28
12-36
17-18
18-22
10-25
9-7
6-23
19-17
24-18
10-16
18-15
12-15
11-16
16-28
15-28
6-26
16-28
13-27
144.8Avg total
54.5Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)55.385.7141.0-30.30%
Season at home (1)57.074.0131.0-17.00%
Season away (2)54.591.5146.0-37.00%
Last 10 (10)54.590.3144.8-35.810%
Last 5 (5)52.694.2146.8-41.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)54.186.5140.6-32.44%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)66.062.5128.5+3.550%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -10.7-10.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -8.5-8.5Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -11.6-11.6
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -10.7-10.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -8.5-8.5Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -11.6-11.6
Mechelen WLummen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/04
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H06/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A11/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H18/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A20/04
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A13/09
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H21/09
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A27/09
Top Division Women
70.4Avg total
39.8Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.829.273.0+14.680%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.727.274.8+20.575%-
Last 30 away (18)41.230.671.8+10.683%-
Last 10 (10)39.830.670.4+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.830.469.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.037.065.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (5)32.435.668.0-3.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.827.674.4+19.396%-
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lummen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A15/02
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H22/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A01/03
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A15/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#4
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H22/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#1
L
16-78
16
78
-62
A28/03
Top Division Women
Liege W
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A03/04
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A12/09
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/09
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A27/09
Top Division Women
71.4Avg total
26.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.043.770.7-16.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.542.370.8-13.814%-
Last 30 away (16)25.644.970.6-19.319%-
Last 10 (10)26.145.371.4-19.210%-
Last 5 (5)25.448.473.8-23.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)26.544.471.0-17.914%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)33.033.566.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.023.0
45.1%
46.2%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.95.2
27.5%
28.7%15.6
🏀 Free throws27.820.3
73.0%
68.5%20.3
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lummen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lummen W: 54.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.716.5
36.9%
46.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.23.6
22.2%
28.7%10.8
🏀 Free throws16.110.2
63.4%
68.5%10.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen W
WWWLLWWWWW
Lummen W
LLLLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#12
+20.8
Net rating
-44.7
100.7
Offensive rating
66.8
79.9
Defensive rating
111.5
44.1%
Effective FG%
36.0%
40.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
28.7%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.5%
3-point %
22.2%
46.5%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 66.8Defence79.9 · 111.5Shooting44.1% · 36.0%3-point %27.5% · 22.2%Ball care18.8% · 28.7%Off. rebounds35.0% · 25.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Mechelen W   ■ Lummen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Mechelen W wins
0
Lummen W wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Mechelen W v Lummen W101-47
21/09/24Lummen W v Mechelen W43-91
23/03/24Lummen W v Mechelen W29-103
19/11/23Mechelen W v Lummen W106-34
21/01/23Lummen W v Mechelen W52-91
05/11/22Mechelen W v Lummen W82-42
02/04/22Lummen W v Mechelen W45-88
04/12/21Mechelen W v Lummen W83-48
20/03/21Lummen W v Mechelen W73-90
23/01/21Mechelen W v Lummen W74-65
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25APhantoms W78-51
21/09/25HCharleroi W96-48
13/09/25AJeugd Gentson W90-58
22/04/25ABraine W69-81
20/04/25ABraine W77-82 OT
18/04/25HBraine W77-69
13/04/25HNamur W77-69
11/04/25ANamur W82-67
06/04/25HCharleroi W88-53
03/04/25ACharleroi W99-73
Lummen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25ANamur W50-109
20/09/25HLiege W57-74
12/09/25ASpirou Basket W59-74
03/04/25ALiege W54-72
28/03/25ABraine W43-142
22/03/25HWaregem W48-91
15/03/25AKortrijk W37-100
01/03/25ACharleroi W77-64
22/02/25HLiege W58-65
15/02/25ANamur W62-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.096.084.0
Allowed / game52.348.054.5
Point differential+35.7+48.0+29.5
Avg total140.3144.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lummen W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game55.357.054.5
Allowed / game85.774.091.5
Point differential-30.3-17.0-37.0
Avg total141.0131.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braine W440100%90.042.8+47.2
2 Mechelen W330100%88.052.3+35.7
3 Kortrijk W330100%76.066.7+9.3
4 Donza W43175%79.070.5+8.5
5 Namur W32167%85.753.3+32.3
6 Liege W42250%67.270.0-2.8
7 Spirou Basket W42250%68.072.2-4.2
8 Phantoms W41325%62.276.8-14.5
9 Jeugd Gentson W41325%59.280.2-21.0
10 Waregem W41325%58.880.0-21.2
11 Charleroi W4040%58.085.2-27.2
12 Lummen W3030%55.385.7-30.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen W34352219110
Lummen W171310949
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.