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Mega Soccerbet vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 78-72
27-18 19-10 14-21 18-23
Position#6
Record7-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game74.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11
Domestic2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Soccerbet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#4
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A03/10
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H11/10
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A18/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H25/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A31/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A06/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H15/11
ABA League
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A21/11
ABA League
Split
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A12/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
26-15
21-14
15-12
27-25
20-23
24-16
19-23
31-20
13-22
13-16
20-15
18-24
17-16
18-15
20-21
28-25
15-19
8-15
22-21
24-19
31-22
20-24
22-18
17-14
19-17
15-23
20-16
–
–
–
–
29-22
11-11
21-11
30-31
27-16
23-24
15-16
12-23
143.8Avg total
75.3Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.368.5143.8+6.870%
Season at home (4)81.277.0158.2+4.275%
Season away (6)71.362.8134.2+8.567%
Last 10 (10)75.368.5143.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)71.261.4132.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.289.4166.6-12.20%
vs Similar (4)82.876.0158.8+6.850%
vs Weaker (13)89.873.1162.9+16.892%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H25/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A28/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#10
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H18/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#20
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A20/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H22/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A06/12
ABA League
Ulm
#13
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A08/12
Eurocup
Levallois
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H11/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H13/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H16/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
30-16
23-26
12-18
22-22
20-17
14-20
20-17
12-23
25-22
12-22
17-23
17-21
14-19
22-7
22-19
26-17
27-14
20-20
14-17
17-20
27-19
12-16
11-10
12-24
25-11
18-14
22-24
17-29
21-12
14-16
19-16
17-27
26-18
20-14
18-15
17-22
25-25
16-18
20-19
151.5Avg total
76.1Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.374.9158.1+8.4100%
Season at home (5)83.072.0155.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.175.4151.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)74.873.8148.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.084.0155.0-13.050%
vs Similar (11)82.280.8163.0+1.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.778.3168.0+11.475%
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
Mega SoccerbetBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/10
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H11/10
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H25/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A31/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A06/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H15/11
ABA League
Split
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A12/12
ABA League
83.7Avg total
44.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)47.039.686.6+7.371%-
Last 30 at home (10)47.038.485.4+8.670%-
Last 30 away (11)46.940.787.6+6.273%-
Last 10 (9)44.239.483.7+4.867%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.882.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.044.082.0-6.040%-
vs Similar (4)49.040.289.2+8.875%-
vs Weaker (12)50.037.687.6+12.483%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H25/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A28/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H18/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#20
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A20/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H22/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A06/12
ABA League
Ulm
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A08/12
Eurocup
Levallois
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H16/12
Eurocup
80.3Avg total
40.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.082.6+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.538.683.2+5.959%-
Last 30 away (13)42.439.481.8+3.085%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.480.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.482.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.044.589.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (11)40.538.779.3+1.873%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.038.984.9+7.169%-
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Soccerbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Soccerbet: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.7
53.6%
52.4%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.5%
36.1%26.0
🏀 Free throws21.015.2
72.5%
75.0%15.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.9
49.1%
52.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.3
30.4%
36.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws21.817.9
82.1%
75.0%17.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Soccerbet
LWWWWLLWWW
Buducnost
LWLWWWWLLW
#6
League position
#2
+6.8
Net rating
+3.2
107.8
Offensive rating
104.1
100.9
Defensive rating
100.9
53.5%
Effective FG%
47.9%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.5%
3-point %
30.4%
74.1%
Assist %
44.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 104.1Defence100.9 · 100.9Shooting53.5% · 47.9%3-point %35.5% · 30.4%Ball care17.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds29.8% · 27.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Mega Soccerbet   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mega Soccerbet wins
0
Buducnost wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/20APartizan77-79
06/12/20HSplit91-75
21/11/20APrimorska20-0
15/11/20HKK Krka Novo mesto71-70
06/11/20ABorac Mozzart97-83
31/10/20AMornar Bar73-80
25/10/20HCrvena zvezda73-76
18/10/20ACibona77-73
11/10/20HZadar90-87
03/10/20AIgokea84-62
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/20HMornar Bar78-84
13/12/20HMornar Bar81-74
11/12/20HLevallois71-73
08/12/20AUlm77-73
06/12/20ACrvena zvezda67-65
22/11/20HCibona87-68
20/11/20ABrescia75-66
18/11/20HUnicaja66-90
28/10/20AMornar Bar82-85 OT
25/10/20HFMP Beograd77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Soccerbet
ABA League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game75.381.271.3
Allowed / game68.577.062.8
Point differential+6.8+4.2+8.5
Avg total143.8158.2134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buducnost
ABA League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.383.084.0
Allowed / game74.972.082.0
Point differential+8.4+11.0+2.0
Avg total158.1155.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost770100%83.374.9+8.4
2 Crvena zvezda109190%81.663.0+18.6
3 Cedevita Olimpija76186%81.168.0+13.1
4 Igokea108280%73.069.1+3.9
5 Mornar Bar97278%75.968.7+7.2
6 Mega Soccerbet107370%75.368.5+6.8
7 Partizan115645%81.881.1+0.7
8 KK Krka Novo mesto115645%67.268.5-1.4
9 Split114736%70.473.8-3.5
10 Cibona113827%70.278.8-8.6
11 Zadar82625%64.969.5-4.6
12 Borac Mozzart92722%74.378.8-4.4
13 FMP Beograd92722%74.282.2-8.0
14 Primorska110110%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Soccerbet2719141878
Buducnost1810212372
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