Melbourne Tigers vs Bendigo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Aug 2017

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 97-84

26-18 19-17 23-26 29-23

Position#13

Record6-17

FormLLWLL

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game89.0

Melbourne Tigers 🏆

Bendigo

Position#8

Record11-12

FormLLWWL

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game87.3

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Bendigo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bendigo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

67-82

-15

H04/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

80-107

107

-27

A17/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

66-88

-22

H24/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

85-69

+16

H01/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

84-81

H08/07

SEABL

Geelong

72-100

100

-28

A15/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

67-84

-17

A22/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

83-65

+18

H23/07

SEABL

Nunawading

63-79

-16

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

83-110

110

-27

H30/07

SEABL

13-25

17-18

19-20

18-19

17-25

25-31

24-32

14-19

24-17

9-22

18-27

15-22

22-20

15-19

25-19

23-11

21-17

17-23

27-22

19-19

20-18

15-28

16-23

21-31

16-12

10-23

21-22

20-27

18-27

22-12

17-18

26-8

12-18

15-18

17-22

19-21

26-27

18-30

23-26

16-27

161.5Avg total

75.0Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	75.7	89.0	164.7	-13.3	26%
Season at home (11)	75.0	85.5	160.5	-10.5	36%
Season away (12)	76.2	92.2	168.4	-15.9	17%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	86.5	161.5	-11.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	87.6	161.2	-14.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	77.0	93.7	170.7	-16.7	18%
vs Similar (2)	76.5	64.5	141.0	+12.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bendigo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

100-83

100

+17

A28/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

105-83

105

+22

H03/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

89-87

H16/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

85-97

-12

H24/06

SEABL

Dandenong

78-98

-20

A01/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

107-111 OT

107

111

-4

A08/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

95-102 OT

102

-7

A14/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

92-82

+10

H15/07

SEABL

Ballarat

94-80

+14

H22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

73-112

112

-39

H29/07

SEABL

25-26

26-16

21-24

28-17

24-21

28-14

28-17

25-31

22-17

25-30

17-21

25-19

24-19

25-31

18-21

18-26

30-22

16-31

15-23

17-22

27-22

18-23

27-16

21-32

24-28

19-21

25-24

21-16

25-20

22-18

22-23

23-21

26-22

29-22

13-22

26-14

21-33

19-23

22-31

11-25

185.3Avg total

91.8Scored

93.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	87.1	87.3	174.4	-0.2	48%
Season at home (12)	90.2	84.8	175.1	+5.4	75%
Season away (11)	83.6	90.0	173.6	-6.4	18%
Last 10 (10)	91.8	93.5	185.3	-1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	97.4	189.6	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	82.2	84.2	166.4	-1.9	42%
vs Similar (7)	85.1	81.0	166.1	+4.1	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	93.9	85.5	179.4	+8.5	73%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne TigersBendigo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	23.3	43.8	-2.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	23.4	43.1	-3.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	23.2	44.3	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	20.6	23.3	43.9	-2.8	46%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.4	44.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.8	19.3	43.2	+4.5	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.0	24.4	47.4	-1.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	23.0	47.8	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	25.0	49.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.1	22.1	45.2	+1.0	42%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.1	23.7	47.9	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.5	19.1	42.6	+4.5	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	23.2	41.3	-5.1	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	23.2	40.6	-5.9	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	22.4	38.7	-6.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.2	38.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.2	24.0	42.2	-5.9	14%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	12.0	29.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.9	45.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	22.8	21.6	44.3	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.7	45%	-

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

30-43

-13

H04/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

42-56

-14

A17/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

33-39

-6

H24/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

37-39

-2

H01/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

38-40

-2

H08/07

SEABL

Geelong

35-46

-11

A15/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

26-35

-9

A22/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

40-39

H23/07

SEABL

Nunawading

27-36

-9

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

44-57

-13

H30/07

SEABL

78.2Avg total

35.2Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	46.5	85.1	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.1	46.6	83.7	-9.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	46.4	86.3	-6.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	43.0	78.2	-7.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	42.6	77.0	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	38.8	47.4	86.1	-8.6	14%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.0	35.0	71.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bendigo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BendigoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

51-42

A28/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

52-35

+17

H03/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

47-47

H16/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

49-50

-1

H24/06

SEABL

Dandenong

46-53

-7

A01/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

45-45

A08/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

43-49

-6

A14/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

47-38

H15/07

SEABL

Ballarat

55-44

+11

H22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

40-56

-16

H29/07

SEABL

93.4Avg total

47.5Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	41.8	87.0	+3.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	45.4	39.1	84.6	+6.3	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	44.9	45.8	90.7	-0.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	45.9	93.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	46.4	92.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	45.8	43.7	89.5	+2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.1	42.1	87.3	+3.0	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.6	39.5	84.1	+5.2	55%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	23.4	41.7	-5.0	13%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	22.7	41.6	-3.8	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	23.9	41.8	-6.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.1	43.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.6	24.0	42.5	-5.4	11%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	15.0	30.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.3	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.2	19.9	37.2	-2.7	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.1	17.4	41.5	+6.7	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.8	41.9	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	23.9	44.7	-3.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.7	22.4	42.0	-2.7	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.0	14.5	39.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.2	21.3	41.4	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.3	43.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	42%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.5	24.3	44.7	-3.8	18%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	45.2	83.6	-6.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	42.2	80.3	-4.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	47.8	86.5	-9.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	43.5	83.3	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	45.0	84.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	38.2	46.3	84.6	-8.1	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	40.5	29.5	70.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.5	80.8	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.8	39.6	81.4	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.8	41.9	79.8	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	44.5	86.8	-2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	44.8	87.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.4	40.5	76.9	-4.1	42%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.0	38.9	78.9	+1.1	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.5	41.6	86.2	+2.9	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers wins

Bendigo wins

Date	Game	Score
03/06/17	Bendigo v Melbourne Tigers	105-83
21/05/16	Melbourne Tigers v Bendigo	69-88
07/05/16	Bendigo v Melbourne Tigers	81-51

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/07/17	H	Mt Gambier	83-110
29/07/17	A	Nunawading	63-79
23/07/17	H	BA CoE	83-65
22/07/17	A	Kilsyth	67-84
15/07/17	A	Geelong	72-100
08/07/17	H	Hobart Chargers	84-81
01/07/17	H	Frankston	85-69
24/06/17	H	Kilsyth	66-88
17/06/17	A	Albury	80-107
04/06/17	H	Dandenong	67-82

Bendigolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/07/17	H	NW Tasmania	73-112
22/07/17	H	Ballarat	94-80
15/07/17	H	Southern Sabres	92-82
14/07/17	A	Frankston	95-102 OT
08/07/17	A	Canberra	107-111 OT
01/07/17	A	Dandenong	78-98
24/06/17	H	Frankston	85-97
16/06/17	H	Hobart Chargers	89-87
03/06/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	105-83
28/05/17	A	Kilsyth	100-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers

SEABL 2017

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	26%
Home	LWWWL	36%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	26%	36%	17%
Points / game	75.7	75.0	76.2
Allowed / game	89.0	85.5	92.2
Point differential	-13.3	-10.5	-15.9
Avg total	164.7	160.5	168.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bendigo

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	48%
Home	WLWWL	75%
Away	LWLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	48%	75%	18%
Points / game	87.1	90.2	83.6
Allowed / game	87.3	84.8	90.0
Point differential	-0.2	+5.4	-6.4
Avg total	174.4	175.1	173.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	0%	18%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	23	20	3	87%	93.0	79.5	+13.4
2	Nunawading	23	16	7	70%	88.6	82.3	+6.3
3	Dandenong	23	16	7	70%	82.5	78.3	+4.2
4	Geelong	24	16	8	67%	88.2	81.5	+6.7
5	Hobart Chargers	23	15	8	65%	94.0	81.2	+12.8
6	Ballarat	23	15	8	65%	88.7	84.3	+4.3
7	NW Tasmania	23	12	11	52%	82.6	83.1	-0.5
8	Bendigo	23	11	12	48%	87.1	87.3	-0.2
9	Kilsyth	23	11	12	48%	79.9	80.7	-0.9
10	Southern Sabres	24	11	13	46%	83.6	84.0	-0.4
11	Albury	24	9	15	38%	91.0	94.6	-3.6
12	Frankston	23	7	16	30%	80.9	87.8	-6.9
13	Melbourne Tigers	23	6	17	26%	75.7	89.0	-13.3
14	BA CoE	15	2	13	13%	74.7	89.1	-14.4
15	Canberra	23	3	20	13%	79.5	92.1	-12.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne Tigers	26	19	23	29	97
Bendigo	18	17	26	23	84

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers vs Bendigo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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