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Geelong vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jul 2017
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 100-72
18-20 28-15 23-16 31-21
Position#4
Record12-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game82.0
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#13
Record5-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game89.4
AustraliaSEABL
Other2017
Meetings · Geelong v Melbourne Tigers
31 May 2025
GEEL89
MELB86
15 Jun 2024
GEEL72
MELB66
30 Jun 2023
GEEL71
MELB72
15 May 2021
GEEL90
MELB66
15 Jul 2017
GEEL100
MELB72
13 Aug 2016
GEEL115
MELB93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#7
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H26/05
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
102-94
102
94
+8
A27/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A03/06
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A04/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
H17/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
94-104
94
104
-10
A23/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A30/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A01/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
84-107
84
107
-23
A07/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H09/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
25-19
17-22
21-24
29-26
34-24
17-31
22-13
18-24
22-18
14-13
25-18
29-19
21-24
15-16
17-18
14-23
13-17
26-31
19-24
27-41
21-35
19-6
27-22
18-23
12-22
31-29
27-19
26-15
24-15
15-30
27-25
22-25
18-37
28-23
16-22
15-13
21-18
20-21
23-10
174.1Avg total
85.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.282.0168.2+4.360%
Season at home (8)83.675.5159.1+8.162%
Season away (12)88.086.2174.2+1.858%
Last 10 (10)85.988.2174.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)87.490.2177.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.893.8179.6-8.020%
vs Similar (5)80.884.2165.0-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.679.0169.6+11.575%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
55-86
55
86
-31
H20/05
SEABL
Frankston
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A21/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A27/05
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
L
67-97
67
97
-30
A28/05
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
L
83-105
83
105
-22
A03/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H04/06
SEABL
Albury
#11
L
80-107
80
107
-27
A17/06
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H24/06
SEABL
Frankston
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H01/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H08/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
14-25
9-19
8-19
18-22
25-15
22-17
13-26
27-27
19-24
16-25
21-23
13-24
20-17
20-27
14-29
21-24
14-28
17-28
31-25
13-25
17-18
19-20
18-19
17-25
25-31
24-32
14-19
24-17
9-22
18-27
15-22
22-20
15-19
25-19
23-11
21-17
17-23
27-22
19-19
164.2Avg total
74.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.289.4165.6-13.228%
Season at home (9)73.285.1158.3-11.933%
Season away (9)79.293.7172.9-14.422%
Last 10 (10)74.889.4164.2-14.620%
Last 5 (5)76.485.4161.8-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)77.693.2170.8-15.618%
vs Similar (2)68.069.5137.5-1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
GeelongMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H26/05
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A27/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/06
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A04/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H17/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
48-76
48
76
-28
A23/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A30/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A01/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A07/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H09/07
SEABL
89.8Avg total
43.3Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.487.4+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.440.185.5+5.279%-
Last 30 away (16)44.744.389.0+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)43.346.589.8-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.848.889.6-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.252.890.0-15.60%-
vs Similar (5)37.844.482.2-6.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.839.288.0+9.595%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H20/05
SEABL
Frankston
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A21/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A27/05
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A28/05
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A03/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H04/06
SEABL
Albury
#11
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A17/06
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H24/06
SEABL
Frankston
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H08/07
SEABL
82.1Avg total
37.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.446.585.9-7.127%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.746.082.7-9.315%-
Last 30 away (17)41.446.988.3-5.535%-
Last 10 (10)37.544.682.1-7.110%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.479.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)39.947.587.3-7.625%-
vs Similar (2)32.533.065.5-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Geelong wins
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateGameScore
23/04/17Melbourne Tigers v Geelong80-83
13/08/16Geelong v Melbourne Tigers115-93
01/05/16Melbourne Tigers v Geelong88-96
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/17HKilsyth79-62
07/07/17ABallarat84-107
01/07/17ANW Tasmania92-85
30/06/17AHobart Chargers88-93
23/06/17AMt Gambier94-104
17/06/17HMt Gambier72-95
04/06/17AKilsyth82-77
03/06/17ANunawading79-73
27/05/17ACanberra102-94
26/05/17HNW Tasmania87-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/17HHobart Chargers84-81
01/07/17HFrankston85-69
24/06/17HKilsyth66-88
17/06/17AAlbury80-107
04/06/17HDandenong67-82
03/06/17ABendigo83-105
28/05/17ASouthern Sabres67-97
27/05/17ABallarat83-99
21/05/17AFrankston78-80
20/05/17HBallarat55-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
SEABL 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWLLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %60%62%58%
Points / game86.283.688.0
Allowed / game82.075.586.2
Point differential+4.3+8.1+1.8
Avg total168.2159.1174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
SEABL 2017
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW28%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game76.273.279.2
Allowed / game89.485.193.7
Point differential-13.2-11.9-14.4
Avg total165.6158.3172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1816289%91.879.1+12.7
2 Nunawading2014670%89.382.4+6.9
3 Dandenong1913668%81.677.9+3.7
4 Hobart Chargers1912763%94.180.9+13.2
5 Ballarat1912763%88.084.1+3.9
6 Geelong2012860%86.282.0+4.3
7 NW Tasmania20101050%80.882.8-2.0
8 Southern Sabres1991047%82.283.6-1.4
9 Bendigo2091145%87.286.7+0.5
10 Albury2091145%92.093.0-1.0
11 Kilsyth2081240%78.181.1-3.0
12 Frankston2071335%81.087.6-6.7
13 Melbourne Tigers1851328%76.289.4-13.2
14 BA CoE112918%78.589.5-11.0
15 Canberra1931616%79.891.3-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong18282331100
Melbourne Tigers2015162172
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