Melbourne Tigers W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jul 2023

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 71-64

27-15 17-20 15-13 12-16

Position#17

Record4-16

FormLLLLL

Points / game65.2

Allowed / game80.0

Melbourne Tigers W 🏆

Casey Cavaliers W

Position#18

Record3-16

FormLLLWL

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game84.9

NBL1 South Women

Women2023

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Casey Cavaliers W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Casey Cavaliers W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley W

61-81

-20

H21/05

NBL1 South Women

Nunawading W

#13

60-77

-17

A27/05

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

#19

68-75

-7

H04/06

NBL1 South Women

Sandringham W

61-88

-27

A08/06

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

57-88

-31

H18/06

NBL1 South Women

Bendigo W

51-89

-38

A23/06

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

75-88

-13

H25/06

NBL1 South Women

Geelong W

56-84

-28

A30/06

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

50-84

-34

A02/07

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#11

65-89

-24

H07/07

NBL1 South Women

24-22

11-25

14-15

12-19

18-22

11-19

17-16

14-20

25-18

15-20

20-17

8-20

19-24

17-21

13-26

12-17

10-24

11-22

18-17

18-25

15-27

13-21

11-27

12-14

24-19

23-20

16-22

12-27

17-24

12-20

12-23

15-17

19-25

12-29

9-22

10-8

16-22

14-25

16-12

19-30

144.7Avg total

60.4Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	65.2	80.0	145.2	-14.8	20%
Season at home (9)	70.7	79.7	150.3	-9.0	33%
Season away (11)	60.7	80.3	141.0	-19.5	9%
Last 10 (10)	60.4	84.3	144.7	-23.9	0%
Last 5 (5)	59.4	86.8	146.2	-27.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	61.5	82.2	143.6	-20.7	12%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	65.8	64.0	129.8	+1.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Casey Cavaliers W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston W

84-80

H14/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#11

60-64

-4

A20/05

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

#19

66-79

-13

H27/05

NBL1 South Women

Eltham W

67-81

-14

A03/06

NBL1 South Women

Bendigo W

91-97

-6

A04/06

NBL1 South Women

Sandringham W

69-96

-27

H17/06

NBL1 South Women

Diamond Valley W

88-92

-4

A18/06

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

59-88

-29

H24/06

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#15

110-85

110

+25

H01/07

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

74-91

-17

A08/07

NBL1 South Women

24-18

16-25

23-20

21-17

21-16

11-17

17-17

11-14

18-21

11-18

21-25

16-15

16-17

22-20

12-23

17-21

27-25

23-29

19-21

22-22

15-16

19-25

28-20

7-35

25-25

30-25

18-14

15-28

15-18

11-25

16-20

17-25

21-18

34-29

22-20

33-18

18-20

23-22

14-31

19-18

162.1Avg total

76.8Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	74.5	84.9	159.5	-10.4	16%
Season at home (9)	74.7	83.4	158.1	-8.8	33%
Season away (10)	74.4	86.3	160.7	-11.9	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	85.3	162.1	-8.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	90.4	170.4	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	74.3	85.0	159.3	-10.6	14%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	62.5	74.5	137.0	-12.0	0%
vs Weaker (7)	83.0	79.4	162.4	+3.6	71%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne Tigers WCasey Cavaliers W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	22.1	37.8	-6.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.7	41.4	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.4	41.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	16.3	22.0	38.3	-5.6	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	20.1	19.4	39.6	+0.7	48%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	12.0	21.0	33.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.3	22.7	47.0	+1.6	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.8	20.0	34.8	-5.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.5	20.6	35.1	-6.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.1	19.4	34.5	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.9	22.2	36.1	-8.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	23.0	37.8	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	15.1	20.5	35.5	-5.4	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	13.0	17.0	30.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.5	40.3	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.3	40.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	25.2	48.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.6	20.9	40.4	-1.3	43%	-

Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley W

35-47

-12

H21/05

NBL1 South Women

Nunawading W

#13

29-41

-12

A27/05

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

#19

40-38

H04/06

NBL1 South Women

Sandringham W

36-45

-9

A08/06

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

21-46

-25

H18/06

NBL1 South Women

Bendigo W

28-48

-20

A23/06

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

47-39

H25/06

NBL1 South Women

Geelong W

29-44

-15

A30/06

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

31-54

-23

A02/07

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#11

30-47

-17

H07/07

NBL1 South Women

77.5Avg total

32.6Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.6	41.2	72.8	-9.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.4	40.9	73.3	-8.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	30.8	41.5	72.3	-10.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.6	44.9	77.5	-12.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	46.4	79.4	-13.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	31.4	42.4	73.8	-11.0	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	32.8	33.2	66.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston W

40-43

-3

H14/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#11

32-33

-1

A20/05

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

#19

29-39

-10

H27/05

NBL1 South Women

Eltham W

38-37

A03/06

NBL1 South Women

Bendigo W

50-54

-4

A04/06

NBL1 South Women

Sandringham W

34-41

-7

H17/06

NBL1 South Women

Diamond Valley W

55-50

A18/06

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

26-43

-17

H24/06

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#15

55-47

H01/07

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

41-42

-1

A08/07

NBL1 South Women

82.9Avg total

40.0Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	41.8	81.2	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	41.3	80.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	42.3	81.7	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	42.9	82.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	44.6	86.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	39.0	41.2	80.2	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	28.5	41.0	69.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.9	43.6	87.4	+0.3	57%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.7	20.3	35.0	-5.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.3	18.4	33.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.0	22.3	36.3	-8.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	19.7	34.3	-5.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	21.2	34.0	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	14.0	21.3	35.3	-7.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.8	14.2	33.0	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.7	39.0	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	17.2	20.9	38.1	-3.7	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.3	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	18.2	34.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	13.1	17.6	30.7	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.2	19.7	32.9	-6.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	19.2	32.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	14.2	16.5	30.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	21.1	39.1	-3.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.6	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	14.0	13.0	27.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.4	38.5	69.0	-8.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.8	37.2	71.0	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.1	39.9	66.9	-12.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.8	39.4	67.2	-11.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	40.4	66.8	-14.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	30.0	39.7	69.8	-9.7	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	33.0	30.8	63.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	41.2	77.4	-5.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	39.5	76.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	42.9	78.1	-7.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	42.4	79.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	45.8	83.6	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	35.4	43.7	79.1	-8.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	34.0	33.5	67.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	39.1	35.9	75.0	+3.3	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers W wins

Casey Cavaliers W wins

Date	Game	Score
22/04/22	Casey Cavaliers W v Melbourne Tigers W	94-44

Melbourne Tigers Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/07/23	H	Kilsyth W	65-89
02/07/23	A	Waverley W	50-84
30/06/23	A	Geelong W	56-84
25/06/23	H	Frankston W	75-88
23/06/23	A	Bendigo W	51-89
18/06/23	H	Ringwood W	57-88
08/06/23	A	Sandringham W	61-88
04/06/23	H	Ballarat W	68-75
27/05/23	A	Nunawading W	60-77
21/05/23	H	Diamond Valley W	61-81

Casey Cavaliers Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/07/23	A	Frankston W	74-91
01/07/23	H	Hobart Chargers W	110-85
24/06/23	H	Waverley W	59-88
18/06/23	A	Diamond Valley W	88-92
17/06/23	H	Sandringham W	69-96
04/06/23	A	Bendigo W	91-97
03/06/23	A	Eltham W	67-81
27/05/23	H	Ballarat W	66-79
20/05/23	A	Kilsyth W	60-64
14/05/23	H	Frankston W	84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W

NBL1 South Women 2023

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	20%
Home	LLLLL	33%
Away	LLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	20%	33%	9%
Points / game	65.2	70.7	60.7
Allowed / game	80.0	79.7	80.3
Point differential	-14.8	-9.0	-19.5
Avg total	145.2	150.3	141.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	11%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Casey Cavaliers W

NBL1 South Women 2023

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	16%
Home	WLLLW	33%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	16%	33%	0%
Points / game	74.5	74.7	74.4
Allowed / game	84.9	83.4	86.3
Point differential	-10.4	-8.8	-11.9
Avg total	159.5	158.1	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo W	20	20	0	100%	88.8	66.4	+22.4
2	Waverley W	20	16	4	80%	82.0	71.2	+10.8
3	Mt. Gambier W	20	15	5	75%	85.6	73.5	+12.2
4	Frankston W	21	15	6	71%	77.2	72.2	+5.0
5	Geelong W	20	14	6	70%	80.2	72.0	+8.2
6	Ringwood W	21	13	8	62%	75.6	74.7	+0.9
7	Sandringham W	20	11	9	55%	82.2	77.3	+4.8
8	Eltham W	20	11	9	55%	74.8	73.0	+1.8
9	Diamond Valley W	21	11	10	52%	76.5	75.4	+1.0
10	Dandenong Rangers W	21	10	11	48%	74.9	77.1	-2.2
11	Knox W	20	9	11	45%	72.8	70.7	+2.1
12	Kilsyth W	21	9	12	43%	68.5	72.4	-3.9
13	Launceston W	21	9	12	43%	73.9	78.1	-4.2
14	Nunawading W	21	8	13	38%	75.1	77.2	-2.1
15	Hobart Chargers W	21	7	14	33%	73.4	80.0	-6.6
16	Keilor Thunder W	20	6	14	30%	66.5	77.6	-11.1
17	Melbourne Tigers W	20	4	16	20%	65.2	80.0	-14.8
18	Casey Cavaliers W	19	3	16	16%	74.5	84.9	-10.4
19	Ballarat W	21	3	18	14%	66.0	79.1	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne Tigers W	27	17	15	12	71
Casey Cavaliers W	15	20	13	16	64

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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