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Melbourne Tigers W vs Eltham W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 70-95
15-24 12-23 15-21 28-27
Position#15
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.8
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Eltham W
27 Apr 2024
MELB70
ELTH95
01 May 2022
MELB41
ELTH80
21 Jul 2019
MELB72
ELTH93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
50-84
50
84
-34
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#11
L
65-89
65
89
-24
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
12-29
9-22
10-8
16-22
14-25
16-12
19-30
27-15
17-20
15-13
12-16
17-21
16-15
19-14
18-24
23-21
25-17
31-19
24-18
28-23
22-20
17-17
19-19
27-24
18-20
16-23
24-25
19-19
14-27
20-33
22-14
18-19
18-13
21-14
11-10
24-20
20-20
21-17
18-15
153.4Avg total
75.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.377.8161.2+5.567%
Season at home (4)87.284.8172.0+2.550%
Season away (2)75.564.0139.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)75.677.8153.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)79.478.4157.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)68.080.0148.0-12.024%
vs Similar (4)68.567.5136.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Eltham W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eltham WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#11
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A22/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
17-13
20-15
24-14
26-28
27-17
20-12
19-26
16-26
19-28
24-20
11-18
10-19
28-14
15-6
22-14
16-20
10-22
16-12
15-26
22-23
20-26
25-28
23-20
16-17
5-15
25-20
16-14
15-26
25-20
22-26
22-21
24-10
12-12
18-15
30-22
23-16
23-16
21-15
18-22
153.0Avg total
77.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.076.8157.8+4.240%
Season at home (3)86.375.0161.3+11.367%
Season away (2)73.079.5152.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)77.675.4153.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)81.076.8157.8+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.087.9154.9-20.90%
vs Similar (11)71.570.3141.7+1.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.467.6153.0+17.892%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
Melbourne Tigers WEltham W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#11
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
80.9Avg total
39.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.877.0-4.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.240.778.9-2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.840.974.7-7.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.580.9-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.082.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.241.676.8-6.436%-
vs Similar (4)39.035.274.2+3.875%-
vs Weaker (1)50.043.093.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Eltham W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eltham WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A22/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
75.8Avg total
37.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.877.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.577.7+4.860%-
Last 30 away (15)37.439.176.5-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.875.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.746.181.9-10.414%-
vs Similar (11)39.536.976.4+2.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.333.775.0+7.775%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Melbourne Tigers W wins
3
Eltham W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ADiamond Valley W83-72
20/04/24AWaverley W68-56
14/04/24HKnox W75-93
13/04/24HRingwood W85-92
07/04/24HNunawading W86-79
04/04/24HDandenong Rangers W103-75
16/07/23HSandringham W70-74
09/07/23HCasey Cavaliers W71-64
07/07/23HKilsyth W65-89
02/07/23AWaverley W50-84
Eltham Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HKilsyth W85-69
13/04/24HNunawading W84-59
10/04/24ADandenong Rangers W84-93
07/04/24AFrankston W62-66
06/04/24HDiamond Valley W90-97
30/07/23AWaverley W57-80
22/07/23AFrankston W75-53
16/07/23HMt. Gambier W70-92
15/07/23HDiamond Valley W92-83
09/07/23AKilsyth W77-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game83.387.275.5
Allowed / game77.884.864.0
Point differential+5.5+2.5+11.5
Avg total161.2172.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eltham W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game81.086.373.0
Allowed / game76.875.079.5
Point differential+4.2+11.3-6.5
Avg total157.8161.3152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt. Gambier W660100%81.861.5+20.3
2 Keilor Thunder W76186%83.166.0+17.1
3 Ringwood W76186%83.171.1+12.0
4 Bendigo Braves W65183%99.375.7+23.7
5 Knox W54180%81.872.8+9.0
6 Dandenong Rangers W75271%77.175.6+1.6
7 Sandringham W64267%80.573.3+7.2
8 Melbourne Tigers W64267%83.377.8+5.5
9 Eltham W52340%81.076.8+4.2
10 Waverley W52340%74.078.0-4.0
11 Diamond Valley W52340%77.883.8-6.0
12 Ballarat W52340%71.880.6-8.8
13 Hobart Chargers W62433%66.872.3-5.5
14 Geelong W41325%86.591.2-4.8
15 Frankston W61517%69.881.2-11.3
16 Launceston W61517%67.581.7-14.2
17 Casey Cavaliers W61517%69.090.7-21.7
18 Kilsyth W5050%63.881.0-17.2
19 Nunawading W5050%65.686.8-21.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W1512152870
Eltham W2423212795
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