Melilla vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 63-76

25-17 11-17 9-17 18-25

Position#5

Record8-5

FormWWLWW

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game76.8

Melilla

Bilbao 🏆

Position#2

Record9-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game70.5

Primera FEBRound 14

Other2018-19

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bilbao winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#16

63-95

-32

H19/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

78-75

A27/10

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

82-72

+10

H02/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

66-67

-1

A09/11

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

69-79

-10

H16/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

76-72

A23/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

79-72

H27/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

64-85

-21

A02/12

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

75-63

+12

H07/12

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

77-73

A15/12

Primera FEB

25-23

14-18

14-34

10-20

17-21

13-19

22-13

26-22

15-17

29-16

15-19

23-20

22-19

18-16

9-13

17-19

22-22

20-19

21-13

6-25

27-20

19-16

16-19

14-17

18-11

33-15

15-20

13-26

18-23

20-19

11-27

15-16

21-19

18-13

22-9

14-22

21-14

28-31

14-14

148.2Avg total

72.9Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	75.0	76.8	151.8	-1.8	62%
Season at home (6)	72.5	72.3	144.8	+0.2	67%
Season away (7)	77.1	80.7	157.9	-3.6	57%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	75.3	148.2	-2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	73.0	147.2	+1.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	72.3	74.3	146.7	-2.0	67%
vs Similar (21)	73.7	73.0	146.7	+0.7	57%
vs Weaker (6)	83.8	82.0	165.8	+1.8	67%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Huesca

#10

69-76

-7

H19/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

74-64

+10

A26/10

Primera FEB

Valladolid

84-77

H04/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

64-70

-6

A09/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

77-71

H18/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

73-66

A24/11

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

76-77

-1

H27/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

82-53

+29

H02/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

71-78

-7

A07/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

73-60

+13

H16/12

Primera FEB

26-19

14-23

17-14

12-20

12-17

18-9

19-16

25-22

26-22

16-20

25-19

17-16

14-22

20-18

10-9

20-21

15-24

16-14

22-8

24-25

14-17

16-12

19-18

24-19

23-13

17-19

20-22

16-23

18-17

28-14

15-9

21-13

15-20

16-26

16-18

24-14

20-16

9-18

22-14

22-12

143.5Avg total

74.3Scored

69.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	75.9	70.5	146.5	+5.4	69%
Season at home (7)	78.3	70.3	148.6	+8.0	71%
Season away (6)	73.2	70.8	144.0	+2.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	69.2	143.5	+5.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	66.8	141.8	+8.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	72.5	83.2	155.8	-10.8	8%
vs Similar (8)	73.4	79.1	152.5	-5.8	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	77.3	70.1	147.4	+7.2	70%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MelillaBilbao

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	17.3	39.1	+4.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.5	37.8	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.3	18.0	43.3	+7.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	20.7	36.9	-4.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.4	21.8	38.1	-5.4	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.4	39.5	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.7	19.2	39.0	+0.5	52%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	19.7	36.3	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.7	20.7	36.4	-4.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.7	36.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.3	34.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	15.2	20.8	36.0	-5.7	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	40%	-

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#16

39-41

-2

H19/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

30-40

-10

A27/10

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

44-33

+11

H02/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

40-35

A09/11

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

42-41

H16/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

46-36

+10

A23/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

51-26

+25

H27/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

38-42

-4

A02/12

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

39-32

H07/12

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

49-45

A15/12

Primera FEB

78.9Avg total

41.8Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	37.4	77.9	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	34.7	76.3	+6.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	39.7	79.2	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	37.1	78.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	36.2	80.8	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	35.7	38.0	73.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	39.0	36.7	75.8	+2.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (6)	48.0	39.3	87.3	+8.7	83%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Huesca

#10

40-42

-2

H19/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

30-26

A26/10

Primera FEB

Valladolid

42-42

H04/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

34-40

-6

A09/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

31-38

-7

H18/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

30-29

A24/11

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

40-32

H27/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

46-31

+15

H02/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

31-46

-15

A07/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

29-34

-5

H16/12

Primera FEB

71.3Avg total

35.3Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	39.3	74.0	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.8	39.2	75.0	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.7	39.3	73.1	-5.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	36.0	71.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	34.4	69.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	33.7	41.0	74.7	-7.3	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	34.6	41.6	76.2	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	36.2	35.3	71.5	+0.9	60%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.2	35.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	17.6	36.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.6	18.8	34.3	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	18.1	34.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	17.8	33.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	16.3	34.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (21)	17.2	17.3	34.5	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	15.8	22.5	38.3	-6.7	17%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	17.7	40.1	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	21.5	37.7	-5.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	14.7	33.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.3	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	17.5	36.8	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	17.9	34.4	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.7	18.5	35.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	17.3	33.7	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.2	20.1	35.3	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	15.9	17.4	33.2	-1.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.9	37.5	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.2	37.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.7	19.8	39.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.1	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.7	17.0	38.7	+4.7	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.6	36.1	69.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.4	36.1	71.6	-0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.9	36.1	68.0	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.1	38.2	69.3	-7.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	36.8	66.4	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.7	36.3	73.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (21)	33.0	34.7	67.7	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	33.8	41.0	74.8	-7.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.3	77.6	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	35.6	77.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	41.1	77.5	-4.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	33.2	72.2	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	32.4	72.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.8	42.2	81.1	-3.4	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.5	36.9	74.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.1	34.8	75.9	+6.3	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 74.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	16.9	49.1%	51.8%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.3	35.0%	33.7%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.4	67.4%	73.6%	12.4

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.4	52.3%	51.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	10.0	38.5%	33.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.9	76.8%	73.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	16.9	50.5%	51.8%	33.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.9	34.5%	33.7%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.3	71.3%	73.6%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	18.7	55.0%	51.8%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.7	37.3%	33.7%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.5	75.7%	73.6%	16.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melilla wins

Bilbao wins

No previous meetings.

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/18	A	Prat Joventut	77-73
07/12/18	H	Iberojet Palma	75-63
02/12/18	A	Real Betis	64-85
27/11/18	H	Valladolid	79-72
23/11/18	A	Leyma Coruna	76-72
16/11/18	H	Huesca	69-79
09/11/18	A	Forca Lleida	66-67
02/11/18	H	Castello	82-72
27/10/18	A	Oviedo	78-75
19/10/18	H	Barcelona B	63-95

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/18	H	Ourense	73-60
07/12/18	A	Palencia	71-78
02/12/18	H	Caceres	82-53
27/11/18	H	Araberri	76-77
24/11/18	A	Prat Joventut	73-66
18/11/18	H	Iberojet Palma	77-71
09/11/18	A	Real Betis	64-70
04/11/18	H	Valladolid	84-77
26/10/18	A	Leyma Coruna	74-64
19/10/18	H	Huesca	69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	62%
Home	LWLWW	67%
Away	WLWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	62%	67%	57%
Points / game	75.0	72.5	77.1
Allowed / game	76.8	72.3	80.7
Point differential	-1.8	+0.2	-3.6
Avg total	151.8	144.8	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	-	80% (5)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Bilbao

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	69%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	WWLWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	69%	71%	67%
Points / game	75.9	78.3	73.2
Allowed / game	70.5	70.3	70.8
Point differential	+5.4	+8.0	+2.3
Avg total	146.5	148.6	144.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	29%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Betis	13	11	2	85%	85.6	74.1	+11.5
2	Palencia	13	10	3	77%	86.4	80.8	+5.5
3	Forca Lleida	13	9	4	69%	74.3	68.5	+5.8
4	Bilbao	13	9	4	69%	75.9	70.5	+5.4
5	Huesca	13	9	4	69%	79.1	74.7	+4.4
6	Oviedo	13	8	5	62%	75.2	70.8	+4.4
7	Melilla	13	8	5	62%	75.0	76.8	-1.8
8	Granada	13	7	6	54%	74.5	71.3	+3.2
9	Ourense	14	7	7	50%	73.1	71.5	+1.6
10	Valladolid	14	7	7	50%	78.9	77.5	+1.4
11	Iberojet Palma	14	7	7	50%	76.9	76.3	+0.6
12	Real Canoe	14	6	8	43%	69.9	76.6	-6.7
13	Araberri	13	5	8	38%	79.9	85.5	-5.6
14	Barcelona B	13	4	9	31%	75.2	75.1	+0.2
15	Leyma Coruna	13	4	9	31%	80.1	82.5	-2.5
16	Castello	14	4	10	29%	73.4	79.0	-5.6
17	Caceres	14	4	10	29%	69.9	77.1	-7.2
18	Prat Joventut	13	1	12	8%	71.6	84.9	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melilla	25	11	9	18	63
Bilbao	17	17	17	25	76

← all games of the day

Melilla vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature