Palencia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 78-71

20-15 26-16 18-16 14-24

Position#9

Record8-3

FormWWLLW

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game81.4

Palencia 🏆

Bilbao

Position#2

Record8-3

FormLWWLW

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game70.8

Primera FEBRound 12

Other2018-19

Meetings · Palencia v Bilbao

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#16

86-83

H09/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

83-81

A13/10

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

84-59

+25

H19/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

80-90

-10

A26/10

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

77-76

H02/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

109-95

109

+14

A09/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

101-97 OT

101

H16/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

69-94

-25

A23/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

87-95 OT

-8

H28/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

98-55

+43

A02/12

Primera FEB

10-20

26-23

24-21

26-19

20-18

17-29

19-13

27-21

19-13

22-25

20-13

23-8

21-30

22-24

21-20

16-16

20-25

20-21

25-13

12-17

30-19

23-29

32-22

24-25

24-20

21-19

17-23

25-25

24-21

13-23

19-26

13-24

24-16

21-21

22-19

11-22

21-8

19-20

25-13

33-14

169.9Avg total

87.4Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	87.1	81.4	168.5	+5.7	73%
Season at home (5)	87.0	82.0	169.0	+5.0	80%
Season away (6)	87.2	80.8	168.0	+6.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.4	82.5	169.9	+4.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	87.2	180.0	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	81.5	87.2	168.7	-5.7	50%
vs Similar (18)	78.3	75.3	153.6	+3.1	61%
vs Weaker (6)	83.8	68.0	151.8	+15.8	83%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

#13

87-78

H10/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

75-70

A14/10

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

69-76

-7

H19/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

74-64

+10

A26/10

Primera FEB

Valladolid

84-77

H04/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

64-70

-6

A09/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

77-71

H18/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

73-66

A24/11

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

76-77

-1

H27/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

82-53

+29

H02/12

Primera FEB

20-24

24-17

21-21

22-16

19-14

12-21

19-20

25-15

26-19

14-23

17-14

12-20

12-17

18-9

19-16

25-22

26-22

16-20

25-19

17-16

14-22

20-18

10-9

20-21

15-24

16-14

22-8

24-25

14-17

16-12

19-18

24-19

23-13

17-19

20-22

16-23

18-17

28-14

15-9

21-13

146.3Avg total

76.1Scored

70.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	76.6	70.8	147.5	+5.8	73%
Season at home (6)	79.2	72.0	151.2	+7.2	67%
Season away (5)	73.6	69.4	143.0	+4.2	80%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	70.2	146.3	+5.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	67.4	141.8	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	72.6	83.3	155.9	-10.7	8%
vs Similar (9)	76.2	78.6	154.8	-2.3	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	78.6	70.4	149.0	+8.2	75%

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaBilbao

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.7	39.2	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	16.8	41.4	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	22.2	19.5	41.7	+2.7	83%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.2	19.2	38.4	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	16.5	39.0	+6.0	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.2	37.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.6	35.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.6	20.8	38.3	-3.2	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.8	38.8	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.8	22.8	39.7	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.7	36.8	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.5	21.1	37.6	-4.6	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	18.1	35.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	16.7	34.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.4	34.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	15.5	21.1	36.6	-5.5	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.2	17.1	35.4	+1.1	50%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona B

#16

36-43

-7

H09/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

37-47

-10

A13/10

Primera FEB

Castello

#13

41-38

H19/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

43-54

-11

A26/10

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

40-46

-6

H02/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

53-48

A09/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

45-39

H16/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

37-44

-7

A23/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

45-37

H28/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

40-28

+12

A02/12

Primera FEB

84.1Avg total

41.7Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	38.6	77.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	40.4	79.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	36.9	76.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	42.4	84.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	39.2	83.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.0	42.3	81.3	-3.3	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.5	38.3	76.8	+0.2	39%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.3	35.5	77.8	+6.8	67%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

#13

44-41

H10/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#11

31-35

-4

A14/10

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

40-42

-2

H19/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

#12

30-26

A26/10

Primera FEB

Valladolid

42-42

H04/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

34-40

-6

A09/11

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

31-38

-7

H18/11

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

30-29

A24/11

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

40-32

H27/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

46-31

+15

H02/12

Primera FEB

72.4Avg total

36.8Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	38.9	74.5	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	38.9	76.0	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	38.9	72.8	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	35.6	72.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	34.0	70.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	34.2	40.5	74.7	-6.2	23%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.7	40.9	76.6	-5.2	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	37.8	34.1	71.9	+3.6	75%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.3	40.7	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	67%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	15.3	35.7	+5.0	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.7	38.9	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	17.9	39.8	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	21.7	37.9	-5.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	15.6	34.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	13.2	30.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.3	22.5	40.8	-4.2	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.5	18.2	37.8	+1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	16.5	35.1	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.3	20.8	40.2	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.8	17.5	36.3	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	17.2	38.3	+4.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	36.7	76.7	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	33.4	72.1	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	39.7	80.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	37.4	80.8	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.6	86.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.7	40.3	79.0	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	39.8	36.9	76.8	+2.9	61%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	32.5	74.0	+9.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.4	78.7	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	37.3	79.4	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	41.7	77.9	-5.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	34.6	73.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	33.4	71.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.4	42.8	81.2	-4.5	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.4	37.1	76.6	+2.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.9	36.2	77.1	+4.6	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 74.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	16.9	49.1%	51.8%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.3	35.0%	33.7%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.4	67.4%	73.6%	12.4

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.4	52.3%	51.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	10.0	38.5%	33.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.9	76.8%	73.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	16.9	50.5%	51.8%	33.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.9	34.5%	33.7%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.3	71.3%	73.6%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	18.7	55.0%	51.8%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.7	37.3%	33.7%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.5	75.7%	73.6%	16.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Bilbao wins

No previous meetings.

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/18	A	Prat Joventut	98-55
28/11/18	H	Iberojet Palma	87-95 OT
23/11/18	A	Real Betis	69-94
16/11/18	H	Valladolid	101-97 OT
09/11/18	A	Leyma Coruna	109-95
02/11/18	H	Huesca	77-76
26/10/18	A	Forca Lleida	80-90
19/10/18	H	Castello	84-59
13/10/18	A	Oviedo	83-81
09/10/18	H	Barcelona B	86-83

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/18	H	Caceres	82-53
27/11/18	H	Araberri	76-77
24/11/18	A	Prat Joventut	73-66
18/11/18	H	Iberojet Palma	77-71
09/11/18	A	Real Betis	64-70
04/11/18	H	Valladolid	84-77
26/10/18	A	Leyma Coruna	74-64
19/10/18	H	Huesca	69-76
14/10/18	A	Forca Lleida	75-70
10/10/18	H	Castello	87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	73%
Home	WWWWL	80%
Away	WLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	73%	80%	67%
Points / game	87.1	87.0	87.2
Allowed / game	81.4	82.0	80.8
Point differential	+5.7	+5.0	+6.3
Avg total	168.5	169.0	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	20%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	18%	40%	0%

Bilbao

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	73%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	WWWLW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	67%	80%
Points / game	76.6	79.2	73.6
Allowed / game	70.8	72.0	69.4
Point differential	+5.8	+7.2	+4.2
Avg total	147.5	151.2	143.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	17%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	9%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Betis	11	9	2	82%	84.8	75.9	+8.9
2	Bilbao	11	8	3	73%	76.6	70.8	+5.8
3	Palencia	11	8	3	73%	87.1	81.4	+5.7
4	Huesca	11	8	3	73%	79.5	74.0	+5.5
5	Forca Lleida	12	8	4	67%	73.1	68.1	+5.0
6	Oviedo	11	7	4	64%	75.3	69.5	+5.8
7	Melilla	12	7	5	58%	74.8	77.2	-2.3
8	Granada	11	6	5	55%	75.5	71.5	+4.0
9	Iberojet Palma	12	6	6	50%	78.5	76.9	+1.6
10	Valladolid	12	6	6	50%	80.7	79.8	+0.8
11	Real Canoe	12	6	6	50%	70.3	74.9	-4.6
12	Ourense	11	5	6	45%	73.1	72.4	+0.7
13	Araberri	11	5	6	45%	82.0	86.0	-4.0
14	Castello	12	4	8	33%	74.0	78.4	-4.4
15	Barcelona B	11	3	8	27%	76.5	74.7	+1.8
16	Caceres	11	3	8	27%	67.5	76.6	-9.1
17	Leyma Coruna	11	2	9	18%	77.7	84.7	-7.0
18	Prat Joventut	11	1	10	9%	72.6	86.6	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	20	26	18	14	78
Bilbao	15	16	16	24	71

← all games of the day

Palencia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature