PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Melilla vs Ponferrada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 82-69
26-15 26-21 18-10 12-23
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game59.0
Melilla 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#14
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game86.0
SpainSegunda FEBRound 2
Other2026-27
Meetings · Melilla v Ponferrada
11 Oct 2026
MELI82
PONF69
06 Oct 2024
MELI84
PONF71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ponferrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelilla
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
74avg 69
H22/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
62-82
62
82
-20
53avg 69
A27/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
73-54
73
54
+19
68avg 69
H05/04
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 69
A12/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
86avg 69
H19/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
64avg 69
A22/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
67avg 69
H26/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 69
H03/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
72-102
72
102
-30
64avg 69
A08/05
Primera FEB
CBC Valladolid
#6
W
70-59
70
59
+11
no box
A03/10
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
16-26
26-16
18-18
19-20
12-28
11-16
20-18
21-17
20-8
13-16
19-13
19-18
18-21
18-22
27-14
17-19
20-17
27-21
17-24
21-26
17-12
20-24
15-24
16-25
26-18
25-24
14-29
19-24
31-24
18-25
16-20
16-19
18-17
19-29
19-37
11-12
17-15
23-15
19-17
158.6Avg total
77.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.059.0129.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.059.0129.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.581.1158.6-3.650%
Last 5 (5)76.087.2163.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)75.387.9163.2-12.617%
vs Similar (6)79.879.5159.3+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)70.059.0129.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Ponferrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PonferradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonferrada
Date
Competition
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
58-86
58
86
-28
no box
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A15/03
Segunda FEB
Jaen
#23
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
H21/03
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
64-85
64
85
-21
no box
A29/03
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
no box
H04/04
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A11/04
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
83-54
83
54
+29
no box
H18/04
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H26/04
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
A03/05
Segunda FEB
Spanish Basketball Academy
#20
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
H03/10
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
18-25
15-30
11-11
20-25
12-17
16-16
18-15
15-21
19-19
18-26
27-18
10-16
14-20
21-23
19-26
17-22
18-18
24-20
21-20
10-23
17-17
21-18
27-29
25-12
18-17
21-10
19-15
26-23
14-19
17-11
16-21
17-23
21-17
22-14
15-26
19-22
23-17
28-29
24-18
154.6Avg total
75.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.086.0180.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)94.086.0180.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.379.3154.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)80.076.2156.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.276.0151.2-0.850%
vs Similar (18)77.778.2155.8-0.550%
vs Weaker (8)81.675.5157.1+6.175%
This opponent (Melilla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
MelillaPonferrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A27/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H05/04
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H19/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H26/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H03/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A08/05
Primera FEB
CBC Valladolid
#6
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A03/10
Segunda FEB
76.1Avg total
37.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.742.580.2-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.243.182.3-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.978.2-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.376.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.143.681.7-5.526%-
vs Similar (6)38.040.878.8-2.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)28.027.055.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Ponferrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PonferradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A15/03
Segunda FEB
Jaen
#23
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H21/03
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A29/03
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/04
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A11/04
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H18/04
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H26/04
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/05
Segunda FEB
Spanish Basketball Academy
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H03/10
Segunda FEB
74.0Avg total
34.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.675.1-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.337.876.1+0.538%-
Last 30 away (14)34.439.674.0-5.136%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.374.0-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.076.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.044.881.8-7.80%-
vs Similar (18)35.738.674.3-2.933%-
vs Weaker (8)38.035.673.6+2.462%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melilla: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.413.9
45.7%
-27.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.3
31.7%
-33.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.6
78.0%
-15.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ponferradatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Melilla wins
1
Ponferrada wins
DateGameScore
14/01/25Ponferrada v Melilla59-58
06/10/24Melilla v Ponferrada84-71
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26ACBC Valladolid70-59
08/05/26AHestia Menorca72-102
03/05/26HOurense84-93
26/04/26HTizona Burgos81-96
22/04/26AEstudiantes73-86
19/04/26HZamora94-87 OT
12/04/26APalmer Basket82-75
05/04/26HGipuzkoa73-54
27/03/26APalencia62-82
22/03/26HFuenlabrada84-77
Ponferradalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HSpanish Basketball Academy94-86
03/05/26AAlbacete75-80
26/04/26HAlbacete73-74
18/04/26HGijon83-54
11/04/26AMoron75-87
04/04/26HLogrono86-84 OT
29/03/26AIraurgi SB64-85
21/03/26HJaen79-84
15/03/26ACaja 8766-73
08/03/26ACBC Valladolid58-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Segunda FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game59.0-59.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total129.0-129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Ponferrada
Segunda FEB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sant Antoni110100%88.064.0+24.0
2 Prat Joventut110100%81.063.0+18.0
3 CB Zaragoza220100%84.068.0+16.0
4 Caceres220100%84.068.5+15.5
5 Logrono110100%81.067.0+14.0
6 Melilla110100%70.059.0+11.0
7 Leonesa110100%83.073.0+10.0
8 Ponferrada110100%94.086.0+8.0
9 Cartagena110100%93.086.0+7.0
10 Gandia110100%94.088.0+6.0
11 Lliria110100%84.082.0+2.0
12 CBC Valladolid21150%75.072.5+2.5
13 Algeciras21150%79.077.5+1.5
14 Tres Cantos21150%83.582.0+1.5
15 Huesca21150%86.085.5+0.5
16 Jaen Paraiso21150%80.079.5+0.5
17 Moron21150%83.086.5-3.5
18 Toledo21150%76.080.0-4.0
19 Badajoz21150%79.086.0-7.0
20 Estudiantes B2020%74.581.5-7.0
21 Iraurgi SB1010%86.093.0-7.0
22 Castello2020%76.584.5-8.0
23 Spanish Basketball Academy1010%86.094.0-8.0
24 CB Getafe2020%72.583.0-10.5
25 Clavijo2020%75.085.5-10.5
26 Molina Basket1010%67.081.0-14.0
27 Sol Girones Bisbal2020%67.590.5-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 27 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melilla2626181282
Ponferrada1521102369
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.