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Melilla vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-93
19-24 31-24 18-25 16-20
Position#17
Record7-23
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Ourense 🏆
Spain
Position#11
Record11-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game81.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 33
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melilla v Ourense
03 May 2026
MELI84
OURE93
19 Jan 2024
MELI67
OURE81
06 Nov 2022
MELI95
OURE77
18 Dec 2020
MELI81
OURE70
13 Dec 2019
MELI80
OURE75
03 May 2019
MELI69
OURE63
21 Mar 2018
MELI91
OURE80
03 Feb 2017
MELI80
OURE77
03 Jan 2016
MELI98
OURE71
28 Apr 2015
MELI77
OURE81
10 Oct 2014
MELI61
OURE81
15 Nov 2013
MELI65
OURE50
07 Dec 2012
MELI76
OURE75
29 Dec 2010
MELI87
OURE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H22/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H11/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A15/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H22/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A27/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H05/04
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A12/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
H19/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A22/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
H26/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-22
21-16
22-17
21-21
22-20
24-19
12-27
16-21
17-17
13-25
22-19
24-17
16-26
26-16
18-18
19-20
12-28
11-16
20-18
21-17
20-8
13-16
19-13
19-18
18-21
18-22
27-14
17-19
20-17
27-21
17-24
21-26
17-12
20-24
15-24
16-25
26-18
25-24
14-29
158.2Avg total
77.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.385.8162.1-9.523%
Season at home (15)78.484.2162.6-5.840%
Season away (15)74.287.4161.6-13.27%
Last 10 (10)77.980.3158.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)80.679.6160.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.487.4162.8-12.017%
vs Similar (6)79.879.5159.3+0.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H21/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A07/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H11/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H14/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
84-105
84
105
-21
H28/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A05/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H11/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
A17/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H21/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A26/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
17-18
21-15
24-20
19-20
22-20
15-23
23-18
10-17
23-20
15-19
11-18
23-25
17-20
17-19
22-13
19-21
21-28
19-33
25-23
16-14
13-14
8-28
19-16
22-11
12-19
15-24
18-18
12-25
9-24
23-21
13-24
16-23
26-22
21-34
27-14
16-22
21-19
14-10
19-22
153.2Avg total
72.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.981.5160.4-2.637%
Season at home (15)82.780.3163.1+2.460%
Season away (15)75.182.7157.8-7.713%
Last 10 (10)72.281.0153.2-8.820%
Last 5 (5)68.080.8148.8-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.286.0164.2-7.823%
vs Similar (10)81.080.7161.7+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.174.4151.6+2.743%
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
MelillaOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A27/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H05/04
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H19/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H26/04
Primera FEB
77.7Avg total
38.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.943.281.1-5.420%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.042.780.7-4.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.743.881.5-6.113%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.577.7-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.843.881.7-6.021%-
vs Similar (6)38.040.878.8-2.817%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H11/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H14/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H28/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A05/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A17/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/04
Primera FEB
75.1Avg total
35.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.680.6+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.839.781.5+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.579.7+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.875.1-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.671.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.243.283.4-3.138%-
vs Similar (10)42.138.981.0+3.270%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.934.074.9+6.971%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melilla: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.414.8
47.1%
51.5%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.911.7
32.6%
33.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.2
75.0%
73.4%13.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.218.3
43.4%
51.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.5
28.9%
33.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.1
70.6%
73.4%16.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melilla
LLWWWLWLLW
Ourense
LLLLLLWLLW
#17
League position
#11
-3.2
Net rating
-12.2
105.0
Offensive rating
99.9
108.2
Defensive rating
112.0
48.1%
Effective FG%
43.4%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.6%
3-point %
28.9%
62.3%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 99.9Defence108.2 · 112.0Shooting48.1% · 43.4%3-point %32.6% · 28.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Melilla   ■ Ourense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Melilla wins
5
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Ourense v Melilla98-75
19/01/24Melilla v Ourense67-81
09/12/23Ourense v Melilla59-65
11/03/23Ourense v Melilla74-54
06/11/22Melilla v Ourense95-77
07/03/21Ourense v Melilla70-66
18/12/20Melilla v Ourense81-70
13/12/19Melilla v Ourense80-75
03/05/19Melilla v Ourense69-63
12/01/19Ourense v Melilla68-60
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HTizona Burgos81-96
22/04/26AEstudiantes73-86
19/04/26HZamora94-87 OT
12/04/26APalmer Basket82-75
05/04/26HGipuzkoa73-54
27/03/26APalencia62-82
22/03/26HFuenlabrada84-77
15/03/26ACartagena68-82
11/03/26HOviedo79-87
22/02/26HEstela83-77
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AHestia Menorca70-73
21/04/26HPalencia90-93
17/04/26AObradoiro CAB57-94
11/04/26HEstela67-72
05/04/26APalmer Basket56-72
28/03/26HZamora84-105
14/03/26HTizona Burgos79-77
11/03/26HLeyma Coruna59-74
07/03/26AGipuzkoa79-81
21/02/26HFibwi Palma81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL23%
HomeLWWWL40%
AwayLLLWL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %23%40%7%
Points / game76.378.474.2
Allowed / game85.884.287.4
Point differential-9.5-5.8-13.2
Avg total162.1162.6161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL37%
HomeLWLLL60%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %37%60%13%
Points / game78.982.775.1
Allowed / game81.580.382.7
Point differential-2.6+2.4-7.7
Avg total160.4163.1157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna3228488%90.578.2+12.3
2 Obradoiro CAB3127487%92.375.9+16.4
3 Palencia3124777%83.172.7+10.4
4 Estudiantes31201165%84.380.1+4.1
5 Gipuzkoa31191261%79.174.2+4.9
6 Oviedo31181358%82.378.2+4.1
7 Fuenlabrada31181358%79.981.0-1.2
8 Hestia Menorca31161552%79.776.9+2.8
9 Alicante31151648%82.582.1+0.4
10 Zamora31141745%83.686.1-2.5
11 Estela31121939%77.884.1-6.4
12 Ourense30111937%78.981.5-2.6
13 Tizona Burgos3192229%83.189.3-6.2
14 Fibwi Palma3192229%75.982.9-7.0
15 Palmer Basket3182326%72.882.8-10.0
16 Cartagena3182326%73.884.5-10.7
17 Melilla3072323%76.385.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melilla1931181684
Ourense2424252093
← all games of the day
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