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Melilla vs Fuenlabrada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-77
24-17 16-26 26-16 18-18
Position#17
Record3-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game87.7
Melilla 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#6
Record13-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game82.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 26
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melilla v Fuenlabrada
22 Mar 2026
MELI84
FUE77
13 Oct 2023
MELI65
FUE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fuenlabrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelilla
Date
Competition
Zamora
#9
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 68
A04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 68
H11/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-101
70
101
-31
no box
A17/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
72-105
72
105
-33
67avg 68
H01/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 68
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 68
A11/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
62avg 68
H15/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 68
H22/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
73avg 68
H11/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
68-82
68
82
-14
53avg 68
A15/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
21-24
28-26
19-20
27-30
12-19
19-19
26-23
25-16
17-27
12-28
16-30
11-28
22-25
26-19
13-33
23-21
24-21
18-16
13-26
11-14
20-19
13-22
27-23
19-26
21-22
14-21
16-23
23-22
17-22
21-16
22-17
21-21
22-20
24-19
12-27
16-21
17-17
13-25
22-19
165.7Avg total
76.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.787.7163.3-12.013%
Season at home (11)76.786.3163.0-9.527%
Season away (12)74.789.0163.7-14.30%
Last 10 (10)76.389.4165.7-13.110%
Last 5 (5)74.283.2157.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.689.7164.3-15.16%
vs Similar (7)82.982.9165.7+0.043%
vs Weaker (5)97.078.4175.4+18.680%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Palmer Basket
#15
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
no box
A18/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
72-69
72
69
+3
76avg 73
A31/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
81avg 73
H04/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
73avg 73
H07/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 73
A11/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 73
H15/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
74-97
74
97
-23
57avg 73
A20/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
77-97
77
97
-20
74avg 73
H07/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
74-90
74
90
-16
59avg 73
A11/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
78-71
78
71
+7
72avg 73
H15/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
15-21
19-17
16-21
18-13
19-31
17-14
18-11
23-27
13-19
24-15
18-10
13-15
24-10
21-16
18-28
25-12
23-23
22-24
10-20
15-21
17-21
24-22
31-26
19-23
22-30
16-20
17-24
30-27
16-21
10-23
21-26
16-30
18-15
19-16
21-29
25-19
21-25
16-13
16-14
159.6Avg total
78.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.482.5161.9-3.154%
Season at home (12)80.077.8157.8+2.267%
Season away (12)78.887.2165.9-8.442%
Last 10 (10)78.481.2159.6-2.860%
Last 5 (5)78.089.0167.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.488.8162.2-15.317%
vs Similar (12)83.679.4163.0+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.873.0156.8+10.8100%
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
MelillaFuenlabrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zamora
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H11/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H01/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A11/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/03
Primera FEB
83.1Avg total
38.9Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.183.9-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.543.685.1-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.582.7-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.283.1-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.878.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.745.583.2-7.817%-
vs Similar (7)38.744.483.1-5.714%-
vs Weaker (5)48.838.487.2+10.480%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palmer Basket
#15
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A18/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A31/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H04/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A11/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H15/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A20/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H07/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A11/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/03
Primera FEB
81.0Avg total
39.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.482.8-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.840.380.1-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)41.144.585.6-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.681.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.486.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.846.485.2-7.717%-
vs Similar (12)41.140.281.3+0.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.538.781.2+3.867%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melilla: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.2
50.7%
51.5%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.8
35.7%
33.9%32.5
🏀 Free throws14.810.2
68.5%
73.4%10.2
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.7
47.2%
51.5%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.7
40.9%
33.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.114.3
71.1%
73.4%14.3
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melilla
LLWLLLLLLL
Fuenlabrada
WLLLLWWWWW
#17
League position
#6
-14.6
Net rating
-11.2
106.2
Offensive rating
105.3
120.8
Defensive rating
116.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
8.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.7%
3-point %
40.9%
55.2%
Assist %
61.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 105.3Defence120.8 · 116.5Shooting52.0% · 52.9%3-point %35.7% · 40.9%Ball care0.0% · 8.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Melilla   ■ Fuenlabrada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Melilla wins
3
Fuenlabrada wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Fuenlabrada v Melilla82-73
03/02/24Fuenlabrada v Melilla93-74
13/10/23Melilla v Fuenlabrada65-87
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ACartagena68-82
11/03/26HOviedo79-87
22/02/26HEstela83-77
15/02/26HObradoiro CAB70-92
11/02/26AAlicante71-78
08/02/26AFibwi Palma78-84
01/02/26HLeyma Coruna72-105
17/01/26AOviedo70-101
11/01/26HCartagena84-91
04/01/26AZamora88-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HHestia Menorca78-71
11/03/26AGipuzkoa74-90
07/03/26HObradoiro CAB77-97
20/02/26APalencia74-97
15/02/26HAlicante87-90
11/02/26AFibwi Palma80-79
07/02/26HTizona Burgos76-69
04/02/26HOurense78-71
31/01/26AOurense72-69
18/01/26APalmer Basket88-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL13%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %13%27%0%
Points / game75.776.774.7
Allowed / game87.786.389.0
Point differential-12.0-9.5-14.3
Avg total163.3163.0163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW54%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%67%42%
Points / game79.480.078.8
Allowed / game82.577.887.2
Point differential-3.1+2.2-8.4
Avg total161.9157.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2523292%92.078.0+14.0
2 Obradoiro CAB2421388%92.877.2+15.6
3 Palencia2519676%84.072.5+11.6
4 Estudiantes2415962%84.780.8+3.8
5 Gipuzkoa25151060%79.674.7+4.9
6 Hestia Menorca24131154%81.577.3+4.2
7 Oviedo24131154%83.279.8+3.4
8 Fuenlabrada24131154%79.482.5-3.1
9 Alicante25131252%83.382.1+1.2
10 Ourense24111346%81.080.7+0.2
11 Zamora24101442%83.287.1-4.0
12 Estela24101442%78.184.0-5.8
13 Fibwi Palma2491538%77.382.0-4.7
14 Cartagena2471729%72.984.8-12.0
15 Palmer Basket2461825%73.284.6-11.4
16 Tizona Burgos2552020%82.089.5-7.4
17 Melilla2332013%75.787.7-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melilla2416261884
Fuenlabrada1726161877
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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