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Memphis vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-67
42-33 46-34
Position#277
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game76.4
Memphis 🏆
USA
vs
Position#330
Record3-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game82.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Memphis v Alabama State
22 Dec 2025
MEMP88
ALAB67
17 Nov 2023
MEMP92
ALAB75
21 Dec 2022
MEMP83
ALAB61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H16/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A20/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H04/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H18/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-42
44-41
36-49
42-43
35-36
36-44
33-27
35-42
42-29
32-29
48-28
38-42
37-34
41-37
37-57
36-42
22-28
40-34
30-34
36-37
151.1Avg total
74.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.376.4150.6-2.136%
Season at home (7)75.772.4148.1+3.357%
Season away (4)71.883.2155.0-11.50%
Last 10 (10)74.177.0151.1-2.930%
Last 5 (5)74.677.6152.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.277.0150.2-3.840%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.773.9152.6+4.862%
vs Weaker (12)80.273.7153.9+6.683%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#99
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
124-68
124
68
+56
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
51-88
51
88
-37
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
41-39
63-29
61-39
22-46
44-48
39-32
25-34
59-45
42-35
37-28
31-55
51-38
36-55
35-30
29-44
39-52
38-33
25-50
26-38
158.4Avg total
77.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.682.4159.0-5.727%
Season at home (2)112.574.0186.5+38.5100%
Season away (9)68.784.2152.9-15.611%
Last 10 (10)77.980.5158.4-2.630%
Last 5 (5)69.484.6154.0-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.583.7153.3-14.227%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.167.4137.5+2.780%
vs Weaker (9)78.163.3141.4+14.867%
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -4.7-4.7
MemphisAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H16/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H18/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A20/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.070.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.732.769.3+4.061%-
Last 30 away (12)35.536.071.5-0.542%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.471.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.271.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.636.871.4-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.733.870.5+2.962%-
vs Weaker (12)36.333.169.4+3.250%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#99
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A18/12
NCAA
79.1Avg total
40.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.369.1+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.332.469.6+4.964%-
Last 30 away (19)33.335.468.7-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.579.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.677.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.539.574.0-4.955%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.832.566.3+1.340%-
vs Weaker (9)36.130.066.1+6.167%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Memphis wins
0
Alabama State wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Memphis v Alabama State92-75
22/12/22Memphis v Alabama State83-61
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AMississippi St.66-71
18/12/25HVanderbilt70-77 OT
13/12/25ALouisville73-99
06/12/25HBaylor78-71
04/12/25HNew Orleans86-70
27/11/25HSouthern Illinois74-58
22/11/25HWake Forest68-69
20/11/25APurdue71-80
16/11/25HUNLV78-92
12/11/25AOle Miss77-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25ACincinnati51-88
12/12/25AMissouri77-85
07/12/25AUT Martin64-74
27/11/25ANew Mexico87-93
23/11/25ASiu Edwardsville68-83
21/11/25HIU Indy101-80
19/11/25AAir Force64-66
18/11/25AColorado66-94
15/11/25HVirginia-Lynchburg124-68
12/11/25AUAB77-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %36%57%0%
Points / game74.375.771.8
Allowed / game76.472.483.2
Point differential-2.1+3.3-11.5
Avg total150.6148.1155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%14%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1129
Win %27%100%11%
Points / game76.6112.568.7
Allowed / game82.474.084.2
Point differential-5.7+38.5-15.6
Avg total159.0186.5152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1312192%89.471.8+17.6
2 UAB139469%83.270.4+12.8
3 North Texas139469%71.563.6+7.8
4 Tulane139469%73.475.2-1.8
5 Florida Atlantic128467%83.272.7+10.5
6 Wichita State138562%77.966.5+11.5
7 Temple138562%77.871.4+6.4
8 South Florida127558%89.480.8+8.7
9 Rice136746%76.272.2+3.9
10 Charlotte136746%72.171.8+0.2
11 East Carolina125742%68.474.3-5.9
12 Memphis114736%74.376.4-2.1
13 UTSA Roadrunners124833%71.274.7-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs126650%66.271.9-5.8
2 Grambling St.115645%71.572.3-0.8
3 Prairie View A&M125742%84.378.4+5.9
4 Southern Univ.124833%85.382.6+2.8
5 Alabama State113827%76.682.4-5.7
6 Bethune-Cookman113827%70.682.1-11.5
7 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1331023%78.890.5-11.7
8 Florida A&M92722%64.482.7-18.2
9 Texas Southern101910%70.987.9-17.0
10 Alcorn State111109%65.592.4-26.8
11 Jackson State121118%60.888.8-28.1
12 Miss. Valley St.131128%64.290.3-26.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Memphis424688
Alabama State333467
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