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Cincinnati vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-51
50-25 38-26
Position#161
Record6-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#330
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cincinnati v Alabama State
17 Dec 2025
CINC88
ALAB51
27 Nov 2024
CINC77
ALAB59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H16/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-28
45-35
39-30
35-34
33-26
41-36
30-36
42-19
32-28
32-46
42-28
52-39
23-36
33-28
31-29
45-29
37-37
37-42
37-37
28-47
141.3Avg total
74.3Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.367.0141.3+7.360%
Season at home (8)75.563.4138.9+12.175%
Season away (2)69.581.5151.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)74.367.0141.3+7.360%
Last 5 (5)73.070.4143.4+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.876.9142.6-11.112%
vs Similar (9)60.063.8123.8-3.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.766.5143.2+10.277%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A08/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
124-68
124
68
+56
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-46
34-55
36-35
41-39
63-29
61-39
22-46
44-48
39-32
25-34
59-45
42-35
37-28
31-55
51-38
36-55
35-30
29-44
39-52
38-33
161.0Avg total
79.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.281.8161.0-2.630%
Season at home (2)112.574.0186.5+38.5100%
Season away (8)70.983.8154.6-12.912%
Last 10 (10)79.281.8161.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)79.483.0162.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.483.3154.7-11.930%
vs Similar (10)70.167.4137.5+2.780%
vs Weaker (10)76.863.7140.5+13.160%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -5.6-5.6
CincinnatiAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H16/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
35.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.265.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.130.564.6+3.571%-
Last 30 away (13)31.834.566.3-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)35.331.566.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.467.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.135.867.9-3.612%-
vs Similar (9)30.030.960.9-0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)35.831.066.8+4.869%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A12/12
NCAA
79.2Avg total
41.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.768.6+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.332.469.6+4.964%-
Last 30 away (19)33.634.568.1-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.179.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.682.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.538.473.9-2.960%-
vs Similar (10)33.832.566.3+1.340%-
vs Weaker (10)35.530.265.7+5.360%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cincinnati wins
0
Alabama State wins
DateGameScore
28/11/24Cincinnati v Alabama State77-59
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AGeorgia65-84
06/12/25AXavier74-79
02/12/25HTarleton76-58
27/11/25HEastern Michigan56-64
25/11/25HNJIT94-67
21/11/25HLouisville64-74
16/11/25HMount St. Mary's72-55
12/11/25HDayton74-62
08/11/25HGeorgia State74-64
04/11/25HWestern Carolina94-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25AMissouri77-85
07/12/25AUT Martin64-74
27/11/25ANew Mexico87-93
23/11/25ASiu Edwardsville68-83
21/11/25HIU Indy101-80
19/11/25AAir Force64-66
18/11/25AColorado66-94
15/11/25HVirginia-Lynchburg124-68
12/11/25AUAB77-74
08/11/25AFlorida State64-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game74.375.569.5
Allowed / game67.063.481.5
Point differential+7.3+12.1-12.0
Avg total141.3138.9151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %30%100%12%
Points / game79.2112.570.9
Allowed / game81.874.083.8
Point differential-2.6+38.5-12.9
Avg total161.0186.5154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona10100100%90.067.4+22.6
2 Iowa State1110191%89.064.7+24.3
3 Houston1110191%78.257.7+20.5
4 Brigham Young1110191%85.665.3+20.4
5 Oklahoma State109190%89.877.3+12.5
6 Colorado109190%88.477.0+11.4
7 UCF Knights98189%88.075.1+12.9
8 Arizona State119282%80.773.6+7.1
9 Baylor97278%88.879.4+9.3
10 Kansas129375%74.763.5+11.2
11 Texas Tech118373%83.673.9+9.7
12 TCU107370%77.766.8+10.9
13 West Virginia128467%75.360.9+14.4
14 Kansas State117464%86.477.1+9.3
15 Utah Utes117464%80.779.0+1.7
16 Cincinnati106460%74.367.0+7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs106460%66.271.0-4.8
2 Prairie View A&M104640%82.277.3+4.9
3 Southern Univ.114736%87.080.0+7.0
4 Grambling St.93633%69.472.8-3.3
5 Alabama State103730%79.281.8-2.6
6 Bethune-Cookman103730%72.479.1-6.7
7 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1331023%78.890.5-11.7
8 Florida A&M61517%66.386.8-20.5
9 Texas Southern81712%71.187.0-15.9
10 Alcorn State101910%66.590.3-23.8
11 Jackson State101910%58.090.0-32.0
12 Miss. Valley St.111109%66.890.2-23.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati503888
Alabama State252651
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