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New Mexico vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 93-87
38-51 55-36
Position#50
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#330
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game80.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#251
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H13/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A24/03
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H06/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H08/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H21/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-23
31-29
34-28
35-44
35-32
40-34
31-29
32-42
34-14
42-40
31-19
43-37
36-32
46-36
27-27
41-49
25-43
47-41
40-39
40-39
139.9Avg total
72.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.369.3144.7+6.067%
Season at home (5)76.868.0144.8+8.880%
Season away (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)72.267.7139.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)75.272.4147.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (12)74.670.0144.6+4.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.467.2145.6+11.188%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A16/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H18/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A20/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A08/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
124-68
124
68
+56
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-26
35-30
34-39
36-29
31-41
32-42
30-46
34-55
36-35
41-39
63-29
61-39
22-46
44-48
39-32
25-34
59-45
42-35
37-28
31-55
153.0Avg total
75.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.680.9161.4-0.343%
Season at home (2)112.574.0186.5+38.5100%
Season away (5)67.883.6151.4-15.820%
Last 10 (10)75.777.3153.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)84.678.2162.8+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.483.0152.4-13.643%
vs Similar (11)70.168.3138.4+1.873%
vs Weaker (12)78.865.2144.0+13.567%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -2.5-2.5
New MexicoAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#251
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A24/03
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
34-14
34
14
+20
H06/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H08/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A16/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H21/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H22/11
NCAA
61.1Avg total
32.5Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.366.8+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.130.366.4+5.876%-
Last 30 away (13)34.832.667.4+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)32.528.661.1+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)31.832.063.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (12)34.431.866.2+2.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.231.067.2+5.271%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A16/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A20/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/11
NCAA
74.3Avg total
37.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.668.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.733.571.2+4.262%-
Last 30 away (17)32.233.665.9-1.441%-
Last 10 (10)37.636.774.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.080.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.937.770.6-4.957%-
vs Similar (11)33.932.966.8+1.036%-
vs Weaker (12)36.231.868.0+4.558%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HMississippi St.80-78
21/11/25HNebraska72-84
16/11/25ANew Mexico State68-76
12/11/25HUC Riverside82-68
08/11/25HUT Arlington74-56
06/11/25HEast Texas A&M76-54
24/03/25AMichigan State63-71
21/03/25AMarquette75-66
15/03/25HBoise State69-72
13/03/25HSan Jose State63-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25ASiu Edwardsville68-83
21/11/25HIU Indy101-80
19/11/25AAir Force64-66
18/11/25AColorado66-94
15/11/25HVirginia-Lynchburg124-68
12/11/25AUAB77-74
08/11/25AFlorida State64-101
20/03/25AAuburn63-83
18/03/25HSt. Francis (PA)70-68
16/03/25AJackson State60-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%80%0%
Points / game75.376.868.0
Allowed / game69.368.076.0
Point differential+6.0+8.8-8.0
Avg total144.7144.8144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game80.6112.567.8
Allowed / game80.974.083.6
Point differential-0.3+38.5-15.8
Avg total161.4186.5151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming76186%87.068.9+18.1
3 Fresno State86275%78.167.4+10.8
4 Colorado State64267%85.572.2+13.3
5 Grand Canyon64267%79.371.3+8.0
6 New Mexico64267%75.369.3+6.0
7 Nevada64267%78.774.2+4.5
8 San Diego State53260%81.676.8+4.8
9 Boise State74357%75.069.9+5.1
10 San Jose State73443%73.371.7+1.6
11 UNLV73443%87.087.0+0.0
12 Air Force83538%68.073.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%68.271.8-3.5
2 Prairie View A&M73443%77.777.4+0.3
3 Alabama State73443%80.680.9-0.3
4 Grambling St.73443%71.774.6-2.9
5 Southern Univ.62433%93.783.8+9.8
6 Bethune-Cookman72529%75.478.6-3.1
7 Texas Southern61517%74.387.5-13.2
8 Miss. Valley St.81712%71.291.2-20.0
9 Alcorn State7070%65.487.7-22.3
10 Arkansas-Pine Bluff8080%69.298.1-28.9
11 Florida A&M4040%64.094.5-30.5
12 Jackson State6060%60.899.0-38.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico385593
Alabama State513687
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