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Meralco Bolts vs Phoenix Fuelmasters Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 84-88
22-30 21-25 19-22 22-11
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game96.5
vs
Position#5
Record8-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game100.6
PhilippinesCommissioners CupCommissioners Cup - Quarter-finals· Mall of Asia Arena
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Meralco Bolts v Phoenix Fuelmasters
15 Jul 2026
MERA97
PHOE98
21 Jan 2024
MERA84
PHOE88
05 Mar 2023
MERA92
PHOE86
19 Oct 2022
MERA82
PHOE89
11 Jun 2022
MERA109
PHOE98
07 Jun 2019
MERA101
PHOE95
07 Nov 2018
MERA90
PHOE74
08 Jun 2018
MERA103
PHOE100
03 May 2017
MERA81
PHOE66
15 Jul 2016
MERA108
PHOE103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Meralco Bolts winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Fuelmasters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Meralco BoltsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBolts
Date
Competition
NorthPort
#7
W
125-99
125
99
+26
129avg 88
A10/12
Commissioners Cup
Ryukyu
#4
W
97-88 OT
97
88
+9
no box
H13/12
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#11
W
105-99
105
99
+6
97avg 88
A17/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#4
L
96-110
96
110
-14
80avg 88
H22/12
Commissioners Cup
Seoul Knights
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
79avg 88
H27/12
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 88
H03/01
EASL
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 88
A06/01
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#5
L
83-93
83
93
-10
70avg 88
A10/01
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
109-102
109
102
+7
106avg 88
H12/01
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#5
W
116-107 OT
116
107
+9
no box
A17/01
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
33-23
43-16
33-35
17-21
21-16
19-20
23-23
27-18
28-19
25-24
25-38
25-24
25-29
25-31
21-26
20-20
13-25
23-19
24-17
21-21
26-21
11-24
19-23
20-16
15-21
22-21
28-22
19-31
28-23
19-24
17-15
30-31
29-23
26-33
24-15
13-21
26-26
14-15
31-22
192.1Avg total
97.3Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)100.596.5197.0+4.075%
Season at home (5)98.4100.2198.6-1.860%
Season away (7)102.093.9195.9+8.186%
Last 10 (10)97.394.8192.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)94.094.2188.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)91.498.9190.3-7.629%
vs Similar ◀ (9)102.8100.8203.6+2.067%
vs Weaker (7)106.394.7201.0+11.6100%
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuelmasters
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#6
W
99-98
99
98
+1
89avg 92
A18/11
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
111-106
111
106
+5
100avg 92
H24/11
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
103-84
103
84
+19
no box
A29/11
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#11
W
99-98
99
98
+1
88avg 92
H02/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
73avg 92
H09/12
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#7
W
113-104
113
104
+9
113avg 92
H20/12
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
96-117
96
117
-21
87avg 92
A25/12
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
85avg 92
H10/01
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#8
L
96-116
96
116
-20
89avg 92
A14/01
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
L
107-116 OT
107
116
-9
no box
H17/01
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
24-33
23-29
25-20
31-22
21-27
25-27
34-30
23-19
25-13
30-23
25-29
27-27
20-21
23-22
29-28
22-20
14-23
22-20
24-14
26-28
30-32
31-29
26-15
34-30
24-24
22-25
16-38
31-19
23-28
24-19
15-17
27-23
26-28
25-37
18-28
21-13
26-26
15-14
22-31
199.8Avg total
99.9Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)100.3100.6200.9-0.267%
Season at home (7)99.698.7198.3+0.971%
Season away (5)101.4103.2204.6-1.860%
Last 10 (10)99.999.9199.8+0.070%
Last 5 (5)101.0107.2208.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)97.9111.7209.6-13.811%
vs Similar ◀ (13)99.2100.7199.8-1.546%
vs Weaker (8)113.198.4211.5+14.888%
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
Meralco BoltsPhoenix Fuelmasters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Meralco BoltsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NorthPort
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/12
Commissioners Cup
Ryukyu
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H13/12
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#11
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A17/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Commissioners Cup
Seoul Knights
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/12
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H03/01
EASL
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/01
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#5
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A10/01
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H12/01
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/01
Commissioners Cup
90.6Avg total
45.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.647.695.2+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.448.496.8+0.053%-
Last 30 away (15)46.846.793.5+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)45.245.490.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.892.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)43.148.191.2-5.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)49.748.898.4+0.944%-
vs Weaker (7)54.044.998.9+9.186%-
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#6
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A18/11
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H24/11
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A29/11
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#11
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H02/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/12
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#7
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H20/12
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A25/12
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H10/01
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A14/01
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/01
Commissioners Cup
97.4Avg total
50.2Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.951.1101.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.950.4102.2+1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)50.051.7101.7-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)50.247.297.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)53.650.2103.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)47.456.7104.1-9.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)50.850.6101.4+0.254%-
vs Weaker (8)54.945.5100.4+9.462%-
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Meralco Boltstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Meralco Bolts: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 98.3 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.0
51.5%
50.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.2
33.6%
32.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.116.5
68.5%
68.5%16.5
They take 78.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Fuelmasterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Fuelmasters: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 98.3 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.026.3
54.8%
50.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.1
34.4%
32.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.414.9
58.7%
68.5%14.9
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Meralco Bolts
WWLWLLLWWW
Phoenix Fuelmasters
LLWLWWWWWW
#2
League position
#5
+3.3
Net rating
+0.0
107.1
Offensive rating
107.3
103.8
Defensive rating
107.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.6%
3-point %
34.4%
57.4%
Assist %
51.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 107.3Defence103.8 · 107.3Shooting51.1% · 53.6%3-point %33.6% · 34.4%Ball care17.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Meralco Bolts   ■ Phoenix Fuelmasters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24APhoenix Fuelmasters116-107 OT
12/01/24HTerrafirma Dyip109-102
10/01/24APhoenix Fuelmasters83-93
06/01/24AMagnolia Hotshots85-80
03/01/24HNew Taipei Kings77-89
27/12/23HSeoul Knights80-81
22/12/23HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel96-110
17/12/23AConverge FiberXers105-99
13/12/23HRyukyu97-88 OT
10/12/23ANorthPort125-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HMeralco Bolts107-116 OT
14/01/24ATNT Tropang Giga96-116
10/01/24HMeralco Bolts93-83
25/12/23ASan Miguel Beermen96-117
20/12/23HNorthPort113-104
09/12/23HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel82-77
02/12/23HConverge FiberXers99-98
29/11/23ATerrafirma Dyip103-84
24/11/23HBlackwater Bossing111-106
18/11/23ARain or Shine Elasto Painters99-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Meralco Bolts
Commissioners Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%60%86%
Points / game100.598.4102.0
Allowed / game96.5100.293.9
Point differential+4.0-1.8+8.1
Avg total197.0198.6195.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Phoenix Fuelmasters
Commissioners Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%71%60%
Points / game100.399.6101.4
Allowed / game100.698.7103.2
Point differential-0.2+0.9-1.8
Avg total200.9198.3204.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%14%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Magnolia Hotshots1210283%100.989.0+11.9
2 San Miguel Beermen129375%109.2102.9+6.3
3 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel129375%97.191.9+5.2
4 Meralco Bolts129375%100.596.5+4.0
5 Phoenix Fuelmasters128467%100.3100.6-0.2
6 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters126650%110.4109.8+0.7
7 NorthPort126650%104.0107.1-3.1
8 TNT Tropang Giga125742%105.4103.2+2.2
9 NLEX Road Warriors114736%101.5106.2-4.7
10 Terrafirma Dyip112918%99.2110.6-11.5
11 Converge FiberXers111109%95.7102.3-6.5
12 Blackwater Bossing111109%96.4103.0-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Meralco Bolts2221192284
Phoenix Fuelmasters3025221188
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