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Mercer vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-63
37-30 38-33
Position#264
Record5-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game74.4
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#368
Record0-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.4
Allowed / game84.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
125-54
125
54
+71
H08/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A12/11
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
101-43
101
43
+58
H14/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-37
29-33
59-29
66-25
22-51
42-44
45-13
56-30
32-42
34-33
32-36
40-48
30-40
44-34
30-35
42-40
40-29
46-43
40-38
33-35
156.2Avg total
82.2Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.074.4159.4+10.656%
Season at home (5)94.866.6161.4+28.280%
Season away (4)72.884.2157.0-11.525%
Last 10 (10)82.274.0156.2+8.250%
Last 5 (5)81.880.6162.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.274.8144.9-4.638%
vs Similar (10)71.477.1148.5-5.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)96.264.2160.3+32.0100%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#117
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H10/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
58-105
58
105
-47
A13/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
L
37-82
37
82
-45
A17/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H20/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
61-97
61
97
-36
A23/11
NCAA
Radford
#125
L
48-63
48
63
-15
H25/11
NCAA
Drexel
#161
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A30/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A03/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
31-48
18-50
40-55
12-44
25-38
34-47
32-39
30-35
31-62
19-21
29-42
28-35
43-48
25-32
28-42
25-47
51-51
33-41
29-44
144.5Avg total
59.2Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)60.484.7145.1-24.40%
Season at home (3)58.076.3134.3-18.30%
Season away (8)61.287.9149.1-26.60%
Last 10 (10)59.285.3144.5-26.10%
Last 5 (5)62.080.6142.6-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)62.281.7143.9-19.46%
vs Similar (7)61.370.1131.4-8.929%
vs Weaker (4)82.563.8146.2+18.875%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -13.1-13.12nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -13.0-13.0
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -13.1-13.12nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -13.0-13.0
MercerChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H08/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A12/11
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H14/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A08/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
35.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.068.8+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.231.667.8+4.650%-
Last 30 away (14)33.136.869.9-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.835.070.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.670.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.436.467.8-5.015%-
vs Similar (10)31.534.766.2-3.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.829.276.0+17.7100%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#117
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H10/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
18-50
18
50
-32
A13/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
L
12-44
12
44
-32
A17/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H20/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A23/11
NCAA
Radford
#125
L
19-21
19
21
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Drexel
#161
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A30/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A03/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/12
NCAA
63.7Avg total
25.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.935.667.5-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (9)38.030.868.8+7.256%-
Last 30 away (21)29.337.767.0-8.419%-
Last 10 (10)25.338.463.7-13.10%-
Last 5 (5)26.035.261.2-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.138.466.5-10.26%-
vs Similar (7)30.134.764.9-4.643%-
vs Weaker (4)40.029.869.8+10.275%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mercer wins
0
Chicago State wins
DateGameScore
10/11/23Chicago State v Mercer61-66
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AStetson89-83 OT
04/12/24HWest Georgia86-72
26/11/24HMiami (Ohio)72-75
25/11/24HJacksonville Dolphins90-89 OT
22/11/24ASouth Carolina72-84
16/11/24ASouth Alabama66-75
14/11/24HTrinity Baptist101-43
12/11/24ADePaul64-95
08/11/24HVirginia-Lynchburg125-54
09/03/24ASamford57-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ASt. Louis Billikens62-85
03/12/24ASt. Thomas (Minn.)76-98
30/11/24AWisconsin53-74
26/11/24ADrexel71-83
25/11/24HRadford48-63
23/11/24AIndiana State61-97
20/11/24HEastern Kentucky66-86
17/11/24ASan Francisco37-82
13/11/24ATexas58-105
10/11/24HYoungstown State60-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game85.094.872.8
Allowed / game74.466.684.2
Point differential+10.6+28.2-11.5
Avg total159.4161.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %22%20%25%
Chicago State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.458.061.2
Allowed / game84.776.387.9
Point differential-24.4-18.3-26.6
Avg total145.1134.3149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1110191%77.262.9+14.3
2 Samford119282%90.575.1+15.5
3 Chattanooga Mocs106460%72.772.7+0.0
4 Mercer95456%85.074.4+10.6
5 Citadel95456%76.168.6+7.6
6 East Tennessee St116555%75.067.7+7.3
7 VMI126650%80.770.7+10.0
8 NC Greensboro105550%70.766.1+4.6
9 Wofford104640%73.171.8+1.3
10 Western Carolina93633%72.976.1-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State106460%70.566.6+3.9
2 Wagner106460%57.957.3+0.6
3 Stonehill116555%70.370.1+0.2
4 Mercyhurst Lakers126650%68.868.6+0.2
5 Fairleigh Dickinson124833%80.980.9+0.0
6 Le Moyne124833%76.479.3-2.9
7 St. Francis (PA)124833%69.975.7-5.8
8 LIU Sharks134931%70.972.2-1.3
9 Chicago State110110%60.484.7-24.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer373875
Chicago State303363
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