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Samford vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-57
37-28 33-29
Position#12
Record26-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game74.5
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Mercer
USA
Position#223
Record16-16
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samford v Mercer
07 Feb 2026
SAMF69
MERC49
05 Feb 2025
SAMF100
MERC79
09 Mar 2024
SAMF70
MERC57
20 Jan 2024
SAMF87
MERC80
28 Dec 2022
SAMF78
MERC69
26 Jan 2022
SAMF75
MERC61
10 Feb 2021
SAMF70
MERC77
18 Jan 2020
SAMF75
MERC90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#183
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A09/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
102-63
102
63
+39
A10/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A29/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
41-43
43-23
35-33
35-42
43-27
56-35
46-28
38-29
50-33
40-38
44-50
30-26
44-46
53-27
34-44
29-37
40-54
39-37
53-43
156.4Avg total
83.3Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.974.5161.4+12.384%
Season at home (18)94.975.6170.4+19.3100%
Season away (13)75.873.2148.9+2.662%
Last 10 (10)83.373.1156.4+10.280%
Last 5 (5)81.280.4161.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)81.566.5148.0+15.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.074.8161.8+12.185%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#365
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
46-79
46
79
-33
A10/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H15/02
NCAA
Samford
#12
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H24/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A29/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A02/03
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-38
41-31
34-40
44-29
19-33
27-46
31-26
29-47
38-40
50-44
41-38
46-40
38-39
48-33
33-41
42-43
34-29
48-46
37-27
47-49
153.5Avg total
77.6Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.671.9143.5-0.350%
Season at home (17)73.569.5143.1+4.065%
Season away (15)69.474.6144.0-5.233%
Last 10 (10)77.675.9153.5+1.770%
Last 5 (5)82.877.0159.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.877.0147.8-6.242%
vs Similar (14)68.870.5139.3-1.743%
vs Weaker (2)88.066.5154.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.4+1.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.4+1.4
SamfordMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#183
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A10/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A29/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H02/03
NCAA
73.3Avg total
40.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.032.375.3+10.790%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.132.980.0+14.1100%-
Last 30 away (12)36.831.368.2+5.575%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.073.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.071.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.529.066.5+8.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.333.075.4+9.388%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#365
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A10/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H08/03
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.268.9+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.733.168.8+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.435.669.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.170.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.871.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.437.869.2-6.317%-
vs Similar (14)34.031.965.9+2.164%-
vs Weaker (2)48.533.081.5+15.5100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Samford wins
6
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Mercer v Samford88-84
20/01/24Samford v Mercer87-80
09/02/23Mercer v Samford69-70 OT
29/12/22Samford v Mercer78-69
27/01/22Samford v Mercer75-61
06/01/22Mercer v Samford83-80
06/03/21Mercer v Samford87-59
11/02/21Samford v Mercer70-77 OT
09/02/21Mercer v Samford89-82 OT
20/02/20Mercer v Samford106-66
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HCitadel92-80
29/02/24AWofford69-91
24/02/24HEast Tennessee St87-71
22/02/24HFurman74-72
17/02/24AMercer84-88
15/02/24HWestern Carolina88-62
10/02/24AVMI102-63
09/02/24ANC Greensboro78-69
03/02/24AChattanooga Mocs78-56
01/02/24HWofford81-79
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HCitadel84-76
02/03/24AFurman82-75
29/02/24AChattanooga Mocs75-84
24/02/24HNC Greensboro86-72
22/02/24HCitadel87-78
17/02/24HSamford88-84
15/02/24HWofford60-73
10/02/24AWestern Carolina46-79
08/02/24HFurman78-69
03/02/24HVMI90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %84%100%62%
Points / game86.994.975.8
Allowed / game74.575.673.2
Point differential+12.3+19.3+2.6
Avg total161.4170.4148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %50%65%33%
Points / game71.673.569.4
Allowed / game71.969.574.6
Point differential-0.3+4.0-5.2
Avg total143.5143.1144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford3126584%86.974.5+12.3
2 Western Carolina3122971%76.968.4+8.5
3 NC Greensboro31211068%76.169.7+6.5
4 Chattanooga Mocs30191163%78.071.5+6.5
5 East Tennessee St31171455%71.068.8+2.2
6 Wofford31171455%75.173.8+1.3
7 Furman31161552%79.675.7+3.9
8 Mercer32161650%71.671.9-0.3
9 Citadel32112134%70.671.5-0.9
10 VMI3242812%68.982.6-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford373370
Mercer282957
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