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Mercyhurst Lakers vs Wagner Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-83 (OT)
0-0 26-35 0-0 44-35 10-13
Position#206
Record13-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Wagner 🏆
USA
Position#249
Record9-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game73.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mercyhurst Lakers v Wagner
19 Feb 2026
MERC80
WAGN83
24 Jan 2025
MERC71
WAGN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercyhurst Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wagner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#283
L
57-62 OT
57
62
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H19/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H25/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H30/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A31/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A13/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-18
0-0
29-37
0-0
42-28
0-0
37-33
0-0
27-28
0-0
34-29
0-0
26-28
0-0
35-31
0-0
41-25
0-0
29-26
0-0
30-35
0-0
44-43
0-0
45-37
0-0
34-42
0-0
30-28
0-0
22-27
0-0
29-25
0-0
28-33
0-0
50-36
0-0
44-43
135.2Avg total
70.3Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.066.0134.0+2.048%
Season at home (11)77.062.1139.1+14.982%
Season away (16)61.968.7130.6-6.825%
Last 10 (10)70.364.9135.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)75.071.8146.8+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)61.265.9127.1-4.740%
vs Weaker (13)75.668.3143.9+7.362%
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A19/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H30/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H06/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A07/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H13/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A14/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A17/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-44
0-0
41-36
0-0
29-31
0-0
32-37
0-0
34-29
0-0
33-40
0-0
26-32
0-0
29-30
0-0
33-29
0-0
33-37
0-0
40-35
0-0
39-43
0-0
28-38
0-0
39-46
0-0
35-33
0-0
22-34
0-0
26-24
0-0
42-33
0-0
31-37
0-0
34-46
138.8Avg total
66.8Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.673.6145.2-1.936%
Season at home (11)73.067.2140.2+5.855%
Season away (14)70.678.6149.1-8.021%
Last 10 (10)66.872.0138.8-5.230%
Last 5 (5)67.273.8141.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.872.0134.8-9.20%
vs Similar ◀ (16)64.870.4135.2-5.625%
vs Weaker (8)77.867.8145.5+10.075%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
Mercyhurst LakersWagner
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#283
W
26-18
26
18
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H19/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H25/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H30/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A31/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A13/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A14/02
NCAA
63.4Avg total
34.6Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.262.9+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.825.963.7+11.885%-
Last 30 away (17)28.833.562.4-4.724%-
Last 10 (10)34.628.863.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.269.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.037.066.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)28.331.159.5-2.833%-
vs Weaker (13)37.229.766.8+7.569%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A19/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A07/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A14/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A17/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
31.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.364.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.230.564.7+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)31.333.865.1-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)31.533.264.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.465.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.232.865.0-0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.032.662.6-2.644%-
vs Weaker (8)36.829.666.4+7.162%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
0
Wagner wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Wagner v Mercyhurst Lakers69-70
25/01/25Mercyhurst Lakers v Wagner71-66
18/01/25Wagner v Mercyhurst Lakers65-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ASt. Francis (PA)94-79
13/02/26ALe Moyne57-58
07/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson52-55
06/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)98-89 OT
31/01/26AChicago State74-78
30/01/26HNew Haven Chargers70-51
25/01/26HChicago State61-59
23/01/26ANew Haven Chargers61-57
19/01/26HCentral Connecticut State79-61
17/01/26HStonehill57-62 OT
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26ALIU Sharks65-83
14/02/26AStonehill68-57
13/02/26HLIU Sharks57-67
07/02/26ACentral Connecticut State67-84
06/02/26HLe Moyne79-78
31/01/26HFairleigh Dickinson75-72 OT
30/01/26HCentral Connecticut State55-62
24/01/26ALe Moyne67-69
19/01/26AFairleigh Dickinson61-68
17/01/26ANew Haven Chargers74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %48%82%25%
Points / game68.077.061.9
Allowed / game66.062.168.7
Point differential+2.0+14.9-6.8
Avg total134.0139.1130.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%64%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (2)25% (8)
Overtime %7%18%0%
Wagner
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %36%55%21%
Points / game71.673.070.6
Allowed / game73.667.278.6
Point differential-1.9+5.8-8.0
Avg total145.2140.2149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %16%18%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LIU Sharks2718967%73.271.1+2.0
2 Central Connecticut State25151060%75.170.7+4.4
3 Le Moyne27141352%73.573.3+0.2
4 Mercyhurst Lakers27131448%68.066.0+2.0
5 New Haven Chargers26111542%64.266.5-2.3
6 Fairleigh Dickinson27101737%67.969.7-1.8
7 Stonehill27101737%65.468.2-2.7
8 Wagner2591636%71.673.6-1.9
9 St. Francis (PA)2662023%71.481.3-9.9
10 Chicago State2762122%66.177.4-11.4
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mercyhurst Lakers0260441080
Wagner0350351383
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